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Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 113-97
33-29 29-26 32-20 19-22
Position#9
Record18-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game114.3
vs
Position#18
Record20-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· Footprint Center (Phoenix)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat
19 Mar 2027
PHX v MIA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PHX102
MIA111
06 Nov 2024
PHX115
MIA112
05 Jan 2024
PHX113
MIA97
06 Jan 2023
PHX96
MIA104
08 Jan 2022
PHX100
MIA123
13 Apr 2021
PHX106
MIA86
07 Nov 2019
PHX108
MIA124
07 Dec 2018
PHX98
MIA115
08 Nov 2017
PHX115
MIA126
03 Jan 2017
PHX99
MIA90
08 Jan 2016
PHX95
MIA103
09 Dec 2014
PHX97
MIA103
11 Feb 2014
PHX97
MIA103
17 Nov 2012
PHX88
MIA97
23 Dec 2010
PHX83
MIA95
08 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIA109
28 Nov 2008
PHX92
MIA107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
L
122-139
122
139
-17
114avg 108
H16/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
112-108
112
108
+4
110avg 108
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
104-109
104
109
-5
92avg 108
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
105-120
105
120
-15
92avg 108
A23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
114-128
114
128
-14
108avg 108
H26/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
129-113
129
113
+16
130avg 108
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
133-119
133
119
+14
142avg 108
H30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
112-107
112
107
+5
99avg 108
H01/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
109-88
109
88
+21
104avg 108
H02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
122-131
122
131
-9
114avg 108
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
38-32
31-34
23-42
21-29
25-29
35-31
31-19
36-20
25-29
20-38
23-22
30-35
24-30
30-38
21-17
24-36
30-28
38-27
22-37
30-24
43-31
31-29
25-29
36-30
32-28
35-31
30-30
37-24
30-34
22-29
23-20
20-29
35-18
31-14
23-27
20-35
31-35
40-37
31-24
232.4Avg total
116.2Scored
116.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)115.8114.3230.2+1.555%
Season at home (20)117.2115.8232.9+1.450%
Season away (13)113.8112.2225.9+1.662%
Last 10 (10)116.2116.2232.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)121.0111.6232.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.0111.0210.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)116.5118.6235.1-2.147%
vs Weaker (14)117.6112.5230.1+5.164%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
116-124
116
124
-8
111avg 103
H15/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
118-116
118
116
+2
108avg 103
H17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
108-112
108
112
-4
101avg 103
H19/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
115-106
115
106
+9
108avg 103
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
122-113
122
113
+9
114avg 103
H23/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
119-113
119
113
+6
120avg 103
H26/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
114-102
114
102
+12
106avg 103
A29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
109-117
109
117
-8
102avg 103
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
104-121
104
121
-17
92avg 103
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
110-96
110
96
+14
100avg 103
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-36
34-24
32-33
28-31
36-24
22-33
33-23
27-36
33-22
33-32
17-23
25-35
25-24
43-26
21-22
26-34
33-26
29-34
26-26
34-27
26-22
37-27
23-37
33-27
22-25
36-26
33-25
23-26
28-27
25-27
35-34
21-29
35-23
23-36
27-36
19-26
25-18
28-27
19-22
38-29
225.5Avg total
113.5Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)112.9111.5224.4+1.459%
Season at home (15)116.7116.5233.2+0.360%
Season away (19)109.9107.6217.5+2.358%
Last 10 (10)113.5112.0225.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)111.2109.8221.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)108.0112.0220.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)114.4112.3226.8+2.157%
vs Weaker (8)113.8109.0222.8+4.888%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
Phoenix SunsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H16/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H26/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
73-55
73
55
+18
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H01/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
51-70
51
70
-19
H04/01
NBA
118.4Avg total
59.7Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.657.1116.7+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (19)59.257.4116.6+1.858%-
Last 30 away (11)60.356.6116.9+3.655%-
Last 10 (10)59.758.7118.4+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)62.857.6120.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.054.0113.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)60.758.1118.8+2.553%-
vs Weaker (14)58.556.2114.7+2.357%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H15/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H19/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H23/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H26/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A04/01
NBA
113.4Avg total
59.5Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.954.1112.9+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.156.1116.3+4.071%-
Last 30 away (16)57.852.2110.0+5.562%-
Last 10 (10)59.553.9113.4+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)57.051.6108.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.054.0120.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)59.454.9114.2+4.567%-
vs Weaker (8)56.652.0108.6+4.662%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.331.8
57.5%
54.4%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.8
35.8%
36.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws25.320.2
79.8%
78.2%20.2
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.126.6
52.1%
54.4%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.9
38.3%
36.3%38.7
🏀 Free throws27.521.6
78.5%
78.2%21.6
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWWWWLLLWL
Miami Heat
WLLWWWWLWL
#9
League position
#18
+0.0
Net rating
+1.5
116.4
Offensive rating
114.0
116.4
Defensive rating
112.5
56.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.2%
Turnover %
12.2%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.8%
3-point %
38.3%
60.8%
Assist %
63.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 114.0Defence116.4 · 112.5Shooting56.1% · 54.2%3-point %35.8% · 38.3%Ball care14.2% · 12.2%Off. rebounds26.6% · 22.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Phoenix Suns wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HLos Angeles Clippers122-131
02/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers109-88
01/01/24HOrlando Magic112-107
30/12/23HCharlotte Hornets133-119
28/12/23AHouston Rockets129-113
26/12/23HDallas Mavericks114-128
23/12/23ASacramento Kings105-120
20/12/23APortland Trail Blazers104-109
18/12/23HWashington Wizards112-108
16/12/23HNew York Knicks122-139
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24ALos Angeles Lakers110-96
02/01/24ALos Angeles Clippers104-121
30/12/23AUtah Jazz109-117
29/12/23AGolden State Warriors114-102
26/12/23HPhiladelphia 76ers119-113
23/12/23HAtlanta Hawks122-113
21/12/23AOrlando Magic115-106
19/12/23HMinnesota Timberwolves108-112
17/12/23HChicago Bulls118-116
15/12/23HChicago Bulls116-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %55%50%62%
Points / game115.8117.2113.8
Allowed / game114.3115.8112.2
Point differential+1.5+1.4+1.6
Avg total230.2232.9225.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)50% (6)71% (7)
Overtime %6%0%15%
Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341519
Win %59%60%58%
Points / game112.9116.7109.9
Allowed / game111.5116.5107.6
Point differential+1.4+0.3+2.3
Avg total224.4233.2217.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%13%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3327682%121.2110.0+11.2
2 Minnesota Timberwolves3425974%113.1107.4+5.6
3 Milwaukee Bucks3324973%124.3119.4+4.9
4 Denver Nuggets36251169%115.6110.2+5.3
5 Philadelphia 76ers34231168%119.8111.0+8.8
6 Oklahoma City Thunder34231168%121.8114.2+7.6
7 Los Angeles Clippers34221265%117.0111.7+5.3
8 Sacramento Kings32201262%117.8116.8+0.9
9 New Orleans Pelicans34201459%115.7111.2+4.6
10 New York Knicks34201459%115.4111.7+3.8
11 Miami Heat34201459%112.9111.5+1.4
12 Dallas Mavericks36211558%119.1117.0+2.1
13 Cleveland Cavaliers35201557%113.1111.4+1.7
14 Indiana Pacers32181456%127.8124.9+2.8
15 Orlando Magic34191556%113.6111.8+1.8
16 Phoenix Suns33181555%115.8114.3+1.5
17 Houston Rockets33171652%112.5109.9+2.5
18 Golden State Warriors34161847%117.2116.7+0.5
19 Los Angeles Lakers33151845%113.4115.7-2.4
20 Brooklyn Nets36162044%114.6116.1-1.5
21 Utah Jazz36162044%114.4119.0-4.6
22 Chicago Bulls37162143%109.1111.5-2.4
23 Toronto Raptors34142041%114.0115.1-1.0
24 Atlanta Hawks34142041%122.6123.9-1.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies34112332%106.9113.4-6.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers3492526%108.2116.0-7.8
27 Charlotte Hornets3382524%109.5120.1-10.6
28 Washington Wizards3462818%115.4126.2-10.8
29 San Antonio Spurs3452915%111.2122.9-11.6
30 Detroit Pistons343319%111.5122.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns33293219113
Miami Heat2926202297
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