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Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2013
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 104-88
28-27 30-23 23-23 23-15
Position#5
Record41-26
FormLWWWW
Points / game104.3
Allowed / game101.5
vs
Position#14
Record36-29
FormWWWLL
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game96.3
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Atlanta Hawks
17 Dec 2026
DEN v ATL
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
DEN87
ATL110
01 Jan 2025
DEN139
ATL120
06 Apr 2024
DEN142
ATL110
09 Jul 2023
DEN93
ATL98
04 Feb 2023
DEN128
ATL108
12 Nov 2021
DEN105
ATL96
28 Mar 2021
DEN126
ATL102
12 Nov 2019
DEN121
ATL125
15 Nov 2018
DEN138
ATL93
10 Jan 2018
DEN97
ATL110
23 Dec 2016
DEN108
ATL109
25 Jan 2016
DEN105
ATL119
16 Jul 2015
DEN73
ATL82
10 Jul 2015
DEN86
ATL71
11 Mar 2015
DEN115
ATL102
07 Nov 2013
DEN109
ATL107
04 Mar 2013
DEN104
ATL88
13 Mar 2012
DEN118
ATL117
28 Feb 2011
DEN100
ATL90
23 Dec 2009
DEN124
ATL104
25 Feb 2009
DEN110
ATL109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
111-103
111
103
+8
A10/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
114-118 OT
114
118
-4
A10/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
108-109
108
109
-1
A13/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
L
108-119
108
119
-11
A14/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H20/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
113-119
113
119
-6
A23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
113-99
113
99
+14
A24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
W
119-108
119
108
+11
H26/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
111-109
111
109
+2
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
105-103
105
103
+2
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-32
28-20
26-21
27-30
19-29
27-21
24-28
22-14
21-28
31-26
26-28
30-27
26-23
31-39
24-33
27-24
21-22
28-28
29-20
19-20
28-33
36-31
14-30
35-25
31-29
29-25
23-20
30-25
35-29
32-25
28-29
24-25
31-25
27-25
21-32
32-27
26-29
30-18
29-28
20-28
217.6Avg total
109.9Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)104.3101.5205.8+2.861%
Season at home (30)108.399.5207.8+8.887%
Season away (37)101.0103.1204.2-2.141%
Last 10 (10)109.9107.7217.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)112.2107.6219.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)107.7112.7220.3-5.067%
vs Similar ◀ (8)102.997.5200.4+5.475%
vs Weaker (19)110.7102.9213.7+7.874%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
L
100-111
100
111
-11
H09/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#15
W
105-101
105
101
+4
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
108-76
108
76
+32
A14/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
90-103
90
103
-13
H21/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
122-108
122
108
+14
H23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
103-102
103
102
+1
A24/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
114-103
114
103
+11
A26/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A28/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
L
98-99
98
99
-1
A04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
29-25
16-29
29-32
31-23
18-25
33-33
23-20
25-19
32-17
33-20
18-20
17-24
32-21
24-18
17-40
25-33
36-30
32-25
29-20
19-27
35-26
22-27
27-22
27-24
34-27
27-19
26-33
30-25
26-23
26-18
20-25
19-21
20-23
22-28
26-20
26-30
19-22
28-27
25-20
201.5Avg total
102.9Scored
98.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)97.696.3194.0+1.355%
Season at home (31)100.196.2196.3+4.068%
Season away (34)95.496.5191.9-1.144%
Last 10 (10)102.998.6201.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)100.897.4198.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.5100.5192.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)97.199.5196.6-2.547%
vs Weaker (9)99.794.7194.3+5.056%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
Denver NuggetsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A10/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A10/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A13/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A14/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H20/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H26/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H02/03
NBA
110.4Avg total
56.7Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.452.5105.9+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.651.9105.4+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)53.253.4106.7-0.242%-
Last 10 (10)56.753.7110.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)61.053.8114.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.354.7106.0-3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)49.949.499.2+0.550%-
vs Weaker (19)55.353.5108.7+1.847%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H09/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#15
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A14/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H21/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A24/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A26/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A28/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A04/03
NBA
101.6Avg total
52.6Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.749.997.5-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (12)49.049.798.7-0.750%-
Last 30 away (18)46.850.096.8-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)52.649.0101.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)51.049.6100.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.548.594.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)47.050.597.5-3.537%-
vs Weaker (9)49.648.998.4+0.744%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/13HOklahoma City Thunder105-103
28/02/13APortland Trail Blazers111-109
26/02/13HLos Angeles Lakers119-108
24/02/13ACharlotte Hornets113-99
23/02/13AWashington Wizards113-119
20/02/13HBoston Celtics97-90
14/02/13ABrooklyn Nets108-119
13/02/13AToronto Raptors108-109
10/02/13ABoston Celtics114-118 OT
10/02/13ACleveland Cavaliers111-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/13ALos Angeles Lakers98-99
02/03/13APhoenix Suns87-92
28/02/13AUtah Jazz102-91
26/02/13ADetroit Pistons114-103
24/02/13AMilwaukee Bucks103-102
23/02/13HSacramento Kings122-108
21/02/13HMiami Heat90-103
14/02/13AOrlando Magic108-76
12/02/13ADallas Mavericks105-101
09/02/13HNew Orleans Pelicans100-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLLLWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673037
Win %61%87%41%
Points / game104.3108.3101.0
Allowed / game101.599.5103.1
Point differential+2.8+8.8-2.1
Avg total205.8207.8204.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)70% (10)36% (11)
Overtime %6%7%5%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeLWLLW68%
AwayWWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653134
Win %55%68%44%
Points / game97.6100.195.4
Allowed / game96.396.296.5
Point differential+1.3+4.0-1.1
Avg total194.0196.3191.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%32%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)71% (7)25% (12)
Overtime %6%10%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs67501775%104.596.1+8.4
2 Miami Heat66481873%102.495.8+6.6
3 Oklahoma City Thunder66471971%106.097.2+8.8
4 Los Angeles Clippers70482269%99.993.8+6.1
5 Memphis Grizzlies65422365%94.290.6+3.6
6 Indiana Pacers67422563%93.689.9+3.8
7 New York Knicks63392462%99.796.8+3.0
8 Denver Nuggets67412661%104.3101.5+2.8
9 Chicago Bulls67392858%92.490.8+1.6
10 Golden State Warriors67382957%100.3100.3-0.0
11 Brooklyn Nets66372956%95.195.5-0.4
12 Houston Rockets68383056%106.7103.3+3.4
13 Atlanta Hawks65362955%97.696.3+1.3
14 Utah Jazz68373154%98.797.8+0.9
15 Boston Celtics64333152%96.095.9+0.1
16 Milwaukee Bucks66333350%98.098.8-0.7
17 Portland Trail Blazers65303546%97.499.6-2.2
18 Dallas Mavericks65293645%100.5101.7-1.2
19 Philadelphia 76ers65293645%93.195.2-2.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers68303844%100.4101.1-0.7
21 Toronto Raptors66283842%97.698.5-0.8
22 Detroit Pistons70274339%94.197.3-3.2
23 Sacramento Kings68264238%98.5103.9-5.4
24 Minnesota Timberwolves63243938%94.496.3-1.9
25 Phoenix Suns67254237%94.899.2-4.4
26 New Orleans Pelicans69254436%93.296.8-3.6
27 Washington Wizards66224433%92.495.8-3.4
28 Cleveland Cavaliers66224433%97.2101.1-3.9
29 Orlando Magic69195028%94.6100.8-6.2
30 Charlotte Hornets67145321%92.6102.3-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28302323104
Atlanta Hawks2723231588
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