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Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 142-110
33-26 36-30 42-30 31-24
Position#3
Record53-24
FormLLWWL
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game109.6
vs
Position#21
Record36-41
FormWLWWL
Points / game118.8
Allowed / game120.0
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Atlanta Hawks
17 Dec 2026
DEN v ATL
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
DEN87
ATL110
01 Jan 2025
DEN139
ATL120
06 Apr 2024
DEN142
ATL110
04 Feb 2023
DEN128
ATL108
12 Nov 2021
DEN105
ATL96
28 Mar 2021
DEN126
ATL102
12 Nov 2019
DEN121
ATL125
15 Nov 2018
DEN138
ATL93
10 Jan 2018
DEN97
ATL110
23 Dec 2016
DEN108
ATL109
25 Jan 2016
DEN105
ATL119
11 Mar 2015
DEN115
ATL102
07 Nov 2013
DEN109
ATL107
04 Mar 2013
DEN104
ATL88
13 Mar 2012
DEN118
ATL117
28 Feb 2011
DEN100
ATL90
23 Dec 2009
DEN124
ATL104
25 Feb 2009
DEN110
ATL109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
105-107
105
107
-2
96avg 110
A17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-112
115
112
+3
116avg 110
A20/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
113-100
113
100
+13
114avg 110
H22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
114-111
114
111
+3
105avg 110
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
128-103
128
103
+25
135avg 110
H26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
97-104
97
104
-7
86avg 110
H28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
98-111
98
111
-13
91avg 110
H30/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
130-101
130
101
+29
138avg 110
H31/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
110-105
110
105
+5
103avg 110
H03/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
100-102
100
102
-2
98avg 110
A05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-30
27-28
18-26
26-23
35-28
35-27
17-29
28-28
32-30
29-26
27-20
25-24
26-22
31-25
28-36
29-28
39-24
30-20
30-32
29-27
29-29
23-30
21-24
24-21
26-33
17-29
21-25
34-24
30-26
35-30
36-21
29-24
30-23
25-31
31-31
24-20
31-20
18-33
21-22
30-27
216.6Avg total
111.0Scored
105.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)114.3109.6224.0+4.769%
Season at home (39)118.0108.7226.7+9.279%
Season away (38)110.6110.6221.2+0.058%
Last 10 (10)111.0105.6216.6+5.460%
Last 5 (5)107.0104.6211.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)115.0109.0224.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (17)106.8105.8212.6+1.047%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)121.9109.8231.8+12.1100%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
105-136
105
136
-31
95avg 109
A19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
115-128
115
128
-13
102avg 109
A22/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
132-91
132
91
+41
138avg 109
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
120-118
120
118
+2
118avg 109
H25/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
120-106
120
106
+14
113avg 109
H27/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
123-122 OT
123
122
+1
112avg 109
H28/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
113-122
113
122
-9
100avg 109
H30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
113-101
113
101
+12
112avg 109
A02/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
121-113
121
113
+8
125avg 109
H03/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
95-109
95
109
-14
89avg 109
A04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-38
31-35
27-38
19-25
37-30
23-35
33-31
22-32
30-28
36-20
33-26
33-17
22-44
34-30
34-22
30-22
26-29
39-29
35-28
20-20
28-29
31-34
30-27
23-22
28-33
17-26
29-30
39-33
32-30
29-23
29-21
23-27
28-23
31-27
33-29
29-34
31-25
26-40
24-28
14-16
230.3Avg total
115.7Scored
114.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)118.8120.0238.8-1.247%
Season at home (39)122.4121.0243.4+1.454%
Season away (38)115.1119.0234.1-3.939%
Last 10 (10)115.7114.6230.3+1.160%
Last 5 (5)113.0113.4226.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)118.7117.8236.5+0.957%
vs Similar (9)113.7116.2229.9-2.644%
vs Weaker (7)113.4107.6221.0+5.957%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
Denver NuggetsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A20/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H30/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H31/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H03/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A05/04
NBA
112.6Avg total
58.2Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.254.5112.7+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.254.8114.1+4.465%-
Last 30 away (13)56.854.2110.9+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)58.254.4112.6+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)52.856.8109.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.054.0116.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (17)55.555.6111.2-0.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)61.653.0114.6+8.675%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A22/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-48
66
48
+18
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
56-74
56
74
-18
H25/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H27/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H28/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A02/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H03/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A04/04
NBA
119.5Avg total
58.7Scored
60.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.657.5116.1+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.257.2115.5+1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)59.057.7116.7+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)58.760.8119.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)56.258.0114.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)58.760.3119.0-1.629%-
vs Similar (9)58.856.1114.9+2.767%-
vs Weaker (7)58.153.6111.7+4.657%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.329.9
52.2%
54.4%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.6
38.5%
36.3%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.816.4
78.8%
78.2%16.4
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 115.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.429.0
56.4%
54.4%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.014.9
38.2%
36.3%44.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.4%
78.2%13.0
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLLWWWWL
Atlanta Hawks
LWWLWWWWLL
#3
League position
#21
+5.5
Net rating
+1.1
113.5
Offensive rating
115.7
108.0
Defensive rating
114.6
54.1%
Effective FG%
56.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
12.1%
Turnover %
12.7%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.20
38.5%
3-point %
38.2%
69.9%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 115.7Defence108.0 · 114.6Shooting54.1% · 56.8%3-point %38.5% · 38.2%Ball care12.1% · 12.7%Off. rebounds25.2% · 24.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24ALos Angeles Clippers100-102
03/04/24HSan Antonio Spurs110-105
31/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers130-101
30/03/24HMinnesota Timberwolves98-111
28/03/24HPhoenix Suns97-104
26/03/24HMemphis Grizzlies128-103
24/03/24APortland Trail Blazers114-111
22/03/24HNew York Knicks113-100
20/03/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-112
17/03/24ADallas Mavericks105-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24ADallas Mavericks95-109
03/04/24HDetroit Pistons121-113
02/04/24AChicago Bulls113-101
30/03/24HMilwaukee Bucks113-122
28/03/24HBoston Celtics123-122 OT
27/03/24HPortland Trail Blazers120-106
25/03/24HBoston Celtics120-118
23/03/24HCharlotte Hornets132-91
22/03/24APhoenix Suns115-128
19/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers105-136

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL69%
HomeWLLWW79%
AwayWLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %69%79%58%
Points / game114.3118.0110.6
Allowed / game109.6108.7110.6
Point differential+4.7+9.2+0.0
Avg total224.0226.7221.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%49%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)50% (6)53% (15)
Overtime %1%3%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL47%
HomeWWWLW54%
AwayWLLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %47%54%39%
Points / game118.8122.4115.1
Allowed / game120.0121.0119.0
Point differential-1.2+1.4-3.9
Avg total238.8243.4234.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)50% (12)57% (7)
Overtime %6%10%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics76611580%120.9109.0+11.9
2 Minnesota Timberwolves77532469%112.8105.8+6.9
3 Denver Nuggets77532469%114.3109.6+4.7
4 Oklahoma City Thunder77522568%119.8113.4+6.4
5 Los Angeles Clippers77492864%116.0112.4+3.7
6 Milwaukee Bucks75462961%119.5116.5+3.0
7 Dallas Mavericks77473061%118.2115.7+2.5
8 Phoenix Suns76463061%116.8113.6+3.1
9 New York Knicks76453159%112.2107.4+4.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers78463259%112.4110.0+2.4
11 New Orleans Pelicans75443159%115.2110.2+5.0
12 Orlando Magic77453258%110.6108.4+2.2
13 Sacramento Kings76443258%116.8115.4+1.4
14 Los Angeles Lakers76433357%117.8117.8+0.1
15 Miami Heat77433456%109.9108.4+1.6
16 Indiana Pacers76423455%122.7120.4+2.4
17 Philadelphia 76ers78433555%114.3111.8+2.5
18 Golden State Warriors77423555%117.8115.5+2.4
19 Houston Rockets77383949%113.9112.9+1.0
20 Chicago Bulls77374048%111.9113.4-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks77364147%118.8120.0-1.2
22 Brooklyn Nets78314740%111.2113.6-2.4
23 Utah Jazz77294838%116.0120.8-4.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies78275135%105.9112.7-6.8
25 Toronto Raptors77245331%112.4118.6-6.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers77215627%106.9115.5-8.5
27 San Antonio Spurs77195825%112.1119.0-6.9
28 Charlotte Hornets77195825%106.3116.5-10.2
29 Washington Wizards78156319%113.3122.7-9.4
30 Detroit Pistons78136517%110.3119.2-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets33364231142
Atlanta Hawks26303024110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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