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Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 126-102
31-35 34-20 32-24 29-23
Position#6
Record29-19
FormWLWLW
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game110.2
vs
Position#10
Record25-24
FormWWLLW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game111.1
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Atlanta Hawks
17 Dec 2026
DEN v ATL
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
DEN87
ATL110
01 Jan 2025
DEN139
ATL120
06 Apr 2024
DEN142
ATL110
04 Feb 2023
DEN128
ATL108
12 Nov 2021
DEN105
ATL96
28 Mar 2021
DEN126
ATL102
12 Nov 2019
DEN121
ATL125
15 Nov 2018
DEN138
ATL93
10 Jan 2018
DEN97
ATL110
23 Dec 2016
DEN108
ATL109
25 Jan 2016
DEN105
ATL119
11 Mar 2015
DEN115
ATL102
07 Nov 2013
DEN109
ATL107
04 Mar 2013
DEN104
ATL88
13 Mar 2012
DEN118
ATL117
28 Feb 2011
DEN100
ATL90
23 Dec 2009
DEN124
ATL104
25 Feb 2009
DEN110
ATL109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
113-103
113
103
+10
114avg 108
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
103-102
103
102
+1
95avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
103-116
103
116
-13
93avg 108
H14/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
121-106
121
106
+15
119avg 108
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
129-104
129
104
+25
135avg 108
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
131-127 OT
131
127
+4
126avg 108
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
108-113
108
113
-5
103avg 108
H21/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
110-99
110
99
+11
107avg 108
A23/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
111-135
111
135
-24
98avg 108
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
113-108
113
108
+5
104avg 108
A27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
33-23
21-22
31-29
26-31
27-24
28-22
22-25
29-28
22-34
22-31
30-23
32-32
33-24
22-35
34-15
26-25
31-20
38-22
34-37
20-30
27-25
34-34
35-27
30-22
21-36
29-25
28-30
30-15
31-24
19-30
30-30
30-38
24-34
27-26
30-37
26-33
28-30
31-23
28-22
225.5Avg total
114.2Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)115.8110.2226.0+5.760%
Season at home (23)117.2109.9227.1+7.361%
Season away (25)114.6110.4225.0+4.260%
Last 10 (10)114.2111.3225.5+2.970%
Last 5 (5)114.6116.4231.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)112.6111.8224.4+0.858%
vs Weaker (18)116.7108.8225.4+7.967%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#28
W
115-112
115
112
+3
110avg 106
A04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
121-120
121
120
+1
111avg 106
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
121-106
121
106
+15
113avg 106
H14/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
100-82
100
82
+18
102avg 106
H14/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
119-107
119
107
+12
117avg 106
A17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
116-93
116
93
+23
116avg 106
H18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
99-94
99
94
+5
88avg 106
A20/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
110-119
110
119
-9
98avg 106
A23/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
108-110
108
110
-2
96avg 106
A25/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
124-108
124
108
+16
126avg 106
A27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-39
15-22
36-29
37-22
37-26
27-33
20-35
37-26
22-33
39-18
37-30
23-25
26-22
23-24
20-20
31-16
35-22
38-36
20-34
26-15
31-21
30-20
30-26
25-26
28-25
24-28
22-12
25-29
29-30
34-18
27-34
20-37
27-29
30-28
17-28
34-25
33-26
37-26
30-32
24-24
218.4Avg total
113.3Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)112.7111.1223.8+1.651%
Season at home (22)112.7109.6222.3+3.155%
Season away (27)112.7112.4225.1+0.348%
Last 10 (10)113.3105.1218.4+8.280%
Last 5 (5)111.4104.8216.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.0112.0203.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)114.2114.0228.1+0.248%
vs Weaker (8)112.4105.0217.4+7.462%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
Denver NuggetsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H14/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H21/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A23/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A27/03
NBA
111.1Avg total
55.4Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.954.8113.7+4.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.354.9113.2+3.450%-
Last 30 away (18)59.354.7114.0+4.750%-
Last 10 (10)55.455.7111.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)53.457.4110.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)61.257.2118.4+4.150%-
vs Weaker (18)57.453.2110.6+4.250%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#28
L
42-61
42
61
-19
A04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H14/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H14/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A20/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A23/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A25/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A27/03
NBA
111.8Avg total
59.2Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.755.1110.8+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.153.5108.6+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)56.256.2112.4-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)59.252.6111.8+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)60.650.2110.8+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.045.082.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)56.255.8112.0+0.452%-
vs Weaker (8)56.654.4111.0+2.250%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.031.1
55.5%
52.8%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.713.4
38.6%
36.6%40.2
🏀 Free throws15.211.8
77.6%
77.7%11.8
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 113.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.727.9
54.0%
52.8%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.813.3
38.2%
36.6%39.9
🏀 Free throws21.417.6
82.2%
77.7%17.6
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWWLWW
Atlanta Hawks
WLLWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#10
+3.0
Net rating
+8.5
116.2
Offensive rating
117.4
113.3
Defensive rating
108.9
56.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
12.2%
Turnover %
11.7%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.6%
3-point %
38.2%
64.5%
Assist %
58.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 117.4Defence113.3 · 108.9Shooting56.4% · 55.3%3-point %38.6% · 38.2%Ball care12.2% · 11.7%Off. rebounds26.5% · 26.2%Free throws0.17 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans113-108
24/03/21AToronto Raptors111-135
23/03/21AOrlando Magic110-99
21/03/21HNew Orleans Pelicans108-113
20/03/21HChicago Bulls131-127 OT
18/03/21HCharlotte Hornets129-104
16/03/21HIndiana Pacers121-106
14/03/21HDallas Mavericks103-116
13/03/21AMemphis Grizzlies103-102
05/03/21AIndiana Pacers113-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/21AGolden State Warriors124-108
25/03/21ASacramento Kings108-110
23/03/21ALos Angeles Clippers110-119
20/03/21ALos Angeles Lakers99-94
18/03/21HOklahoma City Thunder116-93
17/03/21AHouston Rockets119-107
14/03/21HCleveland Cavaliers100-82
14/03/21HSacramento Kings121-106
12/03/21AToronto Raptors121-120
04/03/21AOrlando Magic115-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLWWWL61%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %60%61%60%
Points / game115.8117.2114.6
Allowed / game110.2109.9110.4
Point differential+5.7+7.3+4.2
Avg total226.0227.1225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%43%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)38% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %10%13%8%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW51%
HomeWWWWW55%
AwayWWLLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492227
Win %51%55%48%
Points / game112.7112.7112.7
Allowed / game111.1109.6112.4
Point differential+1.6+3.1+0.3
Avg total223.8222.3225.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%32%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)0% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz48371177%117.1107.8+9.4
2 Philadelphia 76ers48341471%114.6109.2+5.3
3 Brooklyn Nets48331569%119.1114.5+4.6
4 Los Angeles Lakers50331766%111.0105.9+5.1
5 Phoenix Suns49311863%112.7107.6+5.1
6 Los Angeles Clippers50311962%113.9109.0+4.9
7 Denver Nuggets48291960%115.8110.2+5.7
8 Milwaukee Bucks48291960%118.7113.2+5.5
9 Portland Trail Blazers50292158%114.1115.8-1.7
10 New York Knicks50272354%104.8103.5+1.3
11 Dallas Mavericks47252253%112.5111.3+1.2
12 Memphis Grizzlies47242351%112.1111.1+1.0
13 Atlanta Hawks49252451%112.7111.1+1.6
14 San Antonio Spurs46232350%109.1110.9-1.8
15 Charlotte Hornets49242549%111.7112.5-0.8
16 Golden State Warriors49242549%112.5113.4-1.0
17 Boston Celtics48232548%111.6111.2+0.4
18 Miami Heat48232548%106.4108.1-1.7
19 New Orleans Pelicans47222547%115.6114.3+1.3
20 Sacramento Kings50232746%114.4118.3-3.8
21 Chicago Bulls48222646%112.5113.1-0.6
22 Indiana Pacers47212645%112.6112.7-0.1
23 Oklahoma City Thunder48202842%106.3112.0-5.8
24 Toronto Raptors49202941%112.1112.2-0.0
25 Cleveland Cavaliers50193138%103.2110.7-7.5
26 Washington Wizards47173036%113.4118.3-4.9
27 Orlando Magic49173235%105.4111.8-6.4
28 Houston Rockets49163333%107.8112.4-4.7
29 Detroit Pistons49143529%105.9109.3-3.4
30 Minnesota Timberwolves49123724%109.4117.3-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31343229126
Atlanta Hawks35202423102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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