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Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 108-109
29-29 26-22 27-31 26-27
Position#16
Record16-21
FormLWWWL
Points / game106.8
Allowed / game108.4
vs
Position#11
Record19-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game101.2
Allowed / game101.6
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Atlanta Hawks
17 Dec 2026
DEN v ATL
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
DEN87
ATL110
01 Jan 2025
DEN139
ATL120
06 Apr 2024
DEN142
ATL110
09 Jul 2023
DEN93
ATL98
04 Feb 2023
DEN128
ATL108
12 Nov 2021
DEN105
ATL96
28 Mar 2021
DEN126
ATL102
12 Nov 2019
DEN121
ATL125
15 Nov 2018
DEN138
ATL93
10 Jan 2018
DEN97
ATL110
23 Dec 2016
DEN108
ATL109
25 Jan 2016
DEN105
ATL119
16 Jul 2015
DEN73
ATL82
10 Jul 2015
DEN86
ATL71
11 Mar 2015
DEN115
ATL102
07 Nov 2013
DEN109
ATL107
04 Mar 2013
DEN104
ATL88
13 Mar 2012
DEN118
ATL117
28 Feb 2011
DEN100
ATL90
23 Dec 2009
DEN124
ATL104
25 Feb 2009
DEN110
ATL109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
106-98
106
98
+8
A06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
111-116
111
116
-5
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A09/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
121-113
121
113
+8
A11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
92-112
92
112
-20
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
132-120
132
120
+12
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
127-114
127
114
+13
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
117-107
117
107
+10
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-119
102
119
-17
A21/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
26-25
16-33
35-23
18-27
33-26
23-17
32-28
23-36
29-32
27-28
32-20
29-18
23-29
21-28
12-17
32-29
33-29
27-37
29-18
19-27
24-38
24-27
25-20
38-28
36-28
26-29
32-35
33-22
29-32
34-26
31-34
28-31
32-27
33-27
24-22
26-36
27-32
19-27
30-24
218.7Avg total
109.1Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)106.8108.4215.2-1.643%
Season at home (15)113.1111.5224.6+1.747%
Season away (22)102.5106.3208.8-3.841%
Last 10 (10)109.1109.6218.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)114.0114.4228.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.5126.5232.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (23)105.7106.9212.5-1.239%
vs Weaker (5)115.6109.0224.6+6.680%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
85-121
85
121
-36
H03/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
84-128
84
128
-44
A04/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
99-102
99
102
-3
H06/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
103-95
103
95
+8
H08/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
114-110
114
110
+4
A10/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
120-131
120
131
-11
H14/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
125-121
125
121
+4
A17/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
99-107
99
107
-8
H18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
110-108
110
108
+2
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H22/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
15-31
18-32
28-31
22-32
25-30
23-24
14-42
21-23
33-32
15-28
30-19
29-25
24-21
25-17
25-32
23-30
21-34
40-28
30-18
34-35
28-37
34-27
24-32
35-27
34-25
26-30
30-39
22-22
20-31
32-27
25-27
22-16
26-37
33-25
29-30
26-28
18-21
25-18
15-25
213.8Avg total
102.3Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)101.2101.6202.9-0.453%
Season at home (17)103.5103.4206.9+0.153%
Season away (19)99.2100.1199.2-0.953%
Last 10 (10)102.3111.5213.8-9.240%
Last 5 (5)107.6111.8219.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.0101.0207.0+5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (22)99.3102.4201.7-3.155%
vs Weaker (6)109.7106.7216.3+3.033%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
Denver NuggetsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A09/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
43-65
43
65
-22
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A21/12
NBA
113.5Avg total
55.9Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.955.1110.9+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.554.9112.4+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)54.455.2109.7-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)55.957.6113.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)58.460.2118.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.069.0126.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)55.254.3109.5+0.948%-
vs Weaker (5)58.453.0111.4+5.460%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H03/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A04/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H06/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H08/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
44-64
44
64
-20
A10/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H14/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A17/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H22/12
NBA
106.6Avg total
50.2Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.451.2101.6-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.753.8107.5-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)47.549.096.5-1.544%-
Last 10 (10)50.256.4106.6-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)53.055.8108.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.054.5113.5+4.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)48.450.598.9-2.245%-
vs Weaker (6)55.052.7107.7+2.350%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.429.9
53.0%
50.2%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.5
36.7%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws23.817.8
74.8%
77.0%17.8
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 102.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.830.6
52.0%
50.2%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.4
32.9%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.615.9
73.6%
77.0%15.9
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWLWLLWL
Atlanta Hawks
LWLWLWWLLL
#16
League position
#11
-0.5
Net rating
-9.4
111.9
Offensive rating
104.2
112.4
Defensive rating
113.5
53.7%
Effective FG%
51.2%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.3%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.7%
3-point %
32.9%
56.7%
Assist %
64.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 104.2Defence112.4 · 113.5Shooting53.7% · 51.2%3-point %36.7% · 32.9%Ball care15.6% · 14.3%Off. rebounds30.3% · 23.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers102-119
20/12/16HDallas Mavericks117-107
18/12/16HNew York Knicks127-114
16/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers132-120
13/12/16ADallas Mavericks92-112
11/12/16AOrlando Magic121-113
09/12/16AWashington Wizards85-92
08/12/16ABrooklyn Nets111-116
06/12/16APhiladelphia 76ers106-98
04/12/16AUtah Jazz98-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves84-92
20/12/16AOklahoma City Thunder110-108
18/12/16HCharlotte Hornets99-107
17/12/16AToronto Raptors125-121
14/12/16HOrlando Magic120-131
10/12/16AMilwaukee Bucks114-110
08/12/16HMiami Heat103-95
06/12/16HOklahoma City Thunder99-102
04/12/16AToronto Raptors84-128
03/12/16HDetroit Pistons85-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeLLWWW47%
AwayLLWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371522
Win %43%47%41%
Points / game106.8113.1102.5
Allowed / game108.4111.5106.3
Point differential-1.6+1.7-3.8
Avg total215.2224.6208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%40%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)20% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %11%27%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL53%
HomeLWLLL53%
AwayLLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %53%53%53%
Points / game101.2103.599.2
Allowed / game101.6103.4100.1
Point differential-0.4+0.1-0.9
Avg total202.9206.9199.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%24%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)0% (2)56% (9)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3833587%116.6103.6+12.9
2 San Antonio Spurs3527877%102.797.3+5.5
3 Cleveland Cavaliers34241071%109.3103.4+5.9
4 Houston Rockets37261170%113.5106.8+6.6
5 Los Angeles Clippers36251169%106.8101.7+5.1
6 Toronto Raptors34231168%110.3102.8+7.5
7 Memphis Grizzlies38241463%99.098.0+1.0
8 Boston Celtics37221559%104.8102.3+2.5
9 Oklahoma City Thunder34201459%106.4104.9+1.5
10 Utah Jazz36211558%98.994.9+4.0
11 New York Knicks35201557%105.9107.5-1.5
12 Charlotte Hornets37201754%101.9101.5+0.4
13 Atlanta Hawks36191753%101.2101.6-0.4
14 Milwaukee Bucks34171750%102.0101.4+0.5
15 Indiana Pacers37181949%104.9106.2-1.3
16 Chicago Bulls36171947%101.7100.1+1.6
17 Washington Wizards36171947%105.2105.1+0.1
18 Detroit Pistons38172145%97.896.8+1.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers38172145%107.9110.8-2.8
20 Denver Nuggets37162143%106.8108.4-1.6
21 Sacramento Kings35152043%102.2104.3-2.1
22 Orlando Magic39162341%98.4103.2-4.8
23 Minnesota Timberwolves36142239%103.3103.9-0.6
24 Miami Heat39142536%99.8100.9-1.1
25 Phoenix Suns35122334%106.0111.7-5.7
26 Los Angeles Lakers41132832%104.6110.1-5.5
27 New Orleans Pelicans38122632%103.1107.3-4.3
28 Dallas Mavericks36102628%94.2100.6-6.4
29 Philadelphia 76ers3592626%97.7106.1-8.3
30 Brooklyn Nets3582723%105.3114.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29262726108
Atlanta Hawks29223127109
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