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Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 128-108
35-30 35-22 27-34 31-22
Position#2
Record36-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game117.0
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Position#16
Record27-26
FormWLLWW
Points / game116.5
Allowed / game116.3
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Atlanta Hawks
17 Dec 2026
DEN v ATL
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
DEN87
ATL110
01 Jan 2025
DEN139
ATL120
06 Apr 2024
DEN142
ATL110
04 Feb 2023
DEN128
ATL108
12 Nov 2021
DEN105
ATL96
28 Mar 2021
DEN126
ATL102
12 Nov 2019
DEN121
ATL125
15 Nov 2018
DEN138
ATL93
10 Jan 2018
DEN97
ATL110
23 Dec 2016
DEN108
ATL109
25 Jan 2016
DEN105
ATL119
11 Mar 2015
DEN115
ATL102
07 Nov 2013
DEN109
ATL107
04 Mar 2013
DEN104
ATL88
13 Mar 2012
DEN118
ATL117
28 Feb 2011
DEN100
ATL90
23 Dec 2009
DEN124
ATL104
25 Feb 2009
DEN110
ATL109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
119-116
119
116
+3
115avg 114
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
122-113
122
113
+9
119avg 114
H18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-118
122
118
+4
113avg 114
H19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
134-111
134
111
+23
139avg 114
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
99-101
99
101
-2
86avg 114
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
99-98
99
98
+1
93avg 114
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
99-107
99
107
-8
85avg 114
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
119-126
119
126
-7
116avg 114
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
122-113
122
113
+9
122avg 114
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
134-117
134
117
+17
133avg 114
H03/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
38-29
25-34
25-28
34-31
39-36
28-22
21-24
30-27
25-33
33-35
34-23
37-28
24-25
38-29
35-29
18-27
29-25
27-29
25-20
28-24
35-23
20-27
16-24
27-26
26-32
20-23
26-26
38-29
35-29
26-38
20-30
31-35
26-25
36-24
29-29
34-35
36-34
35-22
29-26
228.9Avg total
116.9Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)117.0112.8229.8+4.269%
Season at home (28)120.3109.4229.7+10.986%
Season away (24)113.1116.8229.9-3.750%
Last 10 (10)116.9112.0228.9+4.970%
Last 5 (5)114.6112.2226.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)115.6111.4227.1+4.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)121.4113.6235.1+7.886%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
121-113
121
113
+8
117avg 106
H16/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
130-122
130
122
+8
126avg 106
A19/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
139-124
139
124
+15
129avg 106
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
118-122
118
122
-4
114avg 106
H22/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
100-111
100
111
-11
92avg 106
A24/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
137-132
137
132
+5
137avg 106
A26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
113-120
113
120
-7
103avg 106
H29/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
125-129
125
129
-4
115avg 106
A31/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
132-100
132
100
+32
133avg 106
A02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
115-108
115
108
+7
109avg 106
A04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-26
32-24
21-30
30-33
40-37
25-25
33-35
32-25
35-38
33-33
34-30
37-23
31-25
34-24
28-36
25-37
21-17
27-40
30-21
22-33
39-43
38-34
32-27
28-28
28-22
25-36
28-26
32-36
23-31
37-33
32-35
33-30
26-23
40-24
36-20
30-33
32-22
30-28
29-28
24-30
241.1Avg total
123.0Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)116.5116.3232.8+0.151%
Season at home (24)115.8114.7230.5+1.054%
Season away (29)117.0117.7234.7-0.648%
Last 10 (10)123.0118.1241.1+4.960%
Last 5 (5)124.4117.8242.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (26)117.3119.1236.5-1.846%
vs Weaker (4)124.5115.5240.0+9.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
Denver NuggetsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H03/02
NBA
119.9Avg total
62.1Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.156.6117.7+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (20)61.255.7116.9+5.570%-
Last 30 away (10)60.958.5119.4+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)62.157.8119.9+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)63.258.4121.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)60.856.0116.8+4.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)61.557.4118.9+4.157%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H16/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A19/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H22/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A24/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
D
77-77
77
77
+0
A26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H29/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A31/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
66-47
66
47
+19
A02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A04/02
NBA
121.9Avg total
63.4Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.260.3120.5-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.758.8119.5+1.858%-
Last 30 away (18)59.961.3121.2-1.439%-
Last 10 (10)63.458.5121.9+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)63.659.2122.8+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (26)59.560.6120.0-1.146%-
vs Weaker (4)65.058.8123.8+6.250%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.231.5
58.1%
54.5%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.012.4
38.8%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws23.216.7
72.0%
78.1%16.7
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 123.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.834.9
59.4%
54.5%69.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.112.0
39.9%
35.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws21.417.2
80.4%
78.1%17.2
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWLWWWW
Atlanta Hawks
WWLLWLLWWW
#2
League position
#16
+4.9
Net rating
+4.9
116.7
Offensive rating
122.9
111.8
Defensive rating
118.0
58.1%
Effective FG%
59.5%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
13.8%
Turnover %
12.0%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.8%
3-point %
39.9%
67.2%
Assist %
56.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 122.9Defence111.8 · 118.0Shooting58.1% · 59.5%3-point %38.8% · 39.9%Ball care13.8% · 12.0%Off. rebounds24.6% · 25.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23HGolden State Warriors134-117
01/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans122-113
28/01/23APhiladelphia 76ers119-126
26/01/23AMilwaukee Bucks99-107
25/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans99-98
23/01/23HOklahoma City Thunder99-101
21/01/23HIndiana Pacers134-111
19/01/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-118
18/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers122-113
16/01/23HOrlando Magic119-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23AUtah Jazz115-108
02/02/23APhoenix Suns132-100
31/01/23APortland Trail Blazers125-129
29/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers113-120
26/01/23AOklahoma City Thunder137-132
24/01/23AChicago Bulls100-111
22/01/23HCharlotte Hornets118-122
21/01/23HNew York Knicks139-124
19/01/23ADallas Mavericks130-122
16/01/23HMiami Heat121-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW69%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522824
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game117.0120.3113.1
Allowed / game112.8109.4116.8
Point differential+4.2+10.9-3.7
Avg total229.8229.7229.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%54%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won72% (18)64% (11)86% (7)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW51%
HomeLWWLL54%
AwayLWLWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532429
Win %51%54%48%
Points / game116.5115.8117.0
Allowed / game116.3114.7117.7
Point differential+0.1+1.0-0.6
Avg total232.8230.5234.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%21%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)57% (7)56% (9)
Overtime %8%12%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics53371670%117.7111.9+5.8
2 Denver Nuggets52361669%117.0112.8+4.2
3 Milwaukee Bucks53361768%114.3111.8+2.4
4 Philadelphia 76ers51341767%114.9111.0+3.9
5 Memphis Grizzlies52322062%116.5112.8+3.7
6 Brooklyn Nets52322062%114.4112.3+2.1
7 Cleveland Cavaliers54322259%111.6106.9+4.7
8 Sacramento Kings51292257%119.2116.2+3.0
9 Miami Heat54292554%108.5108.4+0.1
10 Los Angeles Clippers56302654%111.0110.8+0.2
11 Phoenix Suns55292653%112.6111.3+1.3
12 New York Knicks54282652%114.5112.9+1.6
13 Dallas Mavericks54282652%112.3112.0+0.4
14 Atlanta Hawks53272651%116.5116.3+0.1
15 Golden State Warriors53272651%118.0118.2-0.2
16 Minnesota Timberwolves55282751%115.2115.2+0.0
17 New Orleans Pelicans54272750%115.1113.8+1.3
18 Utah Jazz54272750%117.6116.5+1.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers53262749%114.6114.0+0.5
20 Oklahoma City Thunder52252748%117.3115.9+1.4
21 Chicago Bulls52252748%114.6114.2+0.3
22 Los Angeles Lakers54252946%117.1118.4-1.3
23 Indiana Pacers54252946%114.9116.9-1.9
24 Washington Wizards52242846%113.2113.5-0.2
25 Toronto Raptors54243044%113.1112.6+0.5
26 Orlando Magic53213240%111.2114.5-3.2
27 Charlotte Hornets54153928%112.0118.6-6.6
28 San Antonio Spurs53143926%112.8122.5-9.8
29 Detroit Pistons54144026%112.5119.8-7.3
30 Houston Rockets53134025%109.9117.5-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets35352731128
Atlanta Hawks30223422108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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