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Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#13
Record7-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game116.8
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Atlanta Hawks
17 Dec 2026
DEN v ATL
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
DEN87
ATL110
01 Jan 2025
DEN139
ATL120
06 Apr 2024
DEN142
ATL110
04 Feb 2023
DEN128
ATL108
12 Nov 2021
DEN105
ATL96
28 Mar 2021
DEN126
ATL102
12 Nov 2019
DEN121
ATL125
15 Nov 2018
DEN138
ATL93
10 Jan 2018
DEN97
ATL110
23 Dec 2016
DEN108
ATL109
25 Jan 2016
DEN105
ATL119
11 Mar 2015
DEN115
ATL102
07 Nov 2013
DEN109
ATL107
04 Mar 2013
DEN104
ATL88
13 Mar 2012
DEN118
ATL117
28 Feb 2011
DEN100
ATL90
23 Dec 2009
DEN124
ATL104
25 Feb 2009
DEN110
ATL109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 112
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 112
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 112
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 112
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 112
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 112
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 112
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 112
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 112
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
117avg 112
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
232.2Avg total
117.7Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.6112.8227.5+1.864%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (7)109.7106.4216.1+3.371%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.5232.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)116.2109.4225.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.0113.2228.2+1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)113.9115.5229.4-1.554%
vs Weaker (13)126.5116.8243.2+9.792%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
L
110-120
110
120
-10
92avg 108
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
117-129
117
129
-12
111avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
114-111
114
111
+3
113avg 108
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
99-121
99
121
-22
32avg 108
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
108-104
108
104
+4
92avg 108
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
120-105
120
105
+15
118avg 108
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
139-132
139
132
+7
139avg 108
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
124-121
124
121
+3
108avg 108
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
114-124
114
124
-10
109avg 108
H10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
117-125 OT
117
125
-8
103avg 108
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-32
31-31
19-28
25-29
25-34
31-35
29-28
32-32
16-28
30-16
43-38
25-29
18-33
30-30
26-29
25-29
37-29
31-27
19-23
21-25
37-32
31-29
25-24
27-20
28-32
38-27
39-35
34-38
27-37
39-33
22-25
36-26
22-31
35-37
33-27
24-29
24-33
29-27
30-24
27-26
235.4Avg total
116.2Scored
119.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.2116.8235.0+1.354%
Season at home (6)120.3123.0243.3-2.750%
Season away (7)116.3111.6227.9+4.757%
Last 10 (10)116.2119.2235.4-3.050%
Last 5 (5)122.8121.4244.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)106.8116.9223.8-10.131%
vs Similar ◀ (7)118.0116.0234.0+2.057%
vs Weaker (10)126.9113.7240.6+13.280%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
Denver NuggetsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A15/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.6Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.2118.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.762.4124.1-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)57.853.5111.3+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)59.656.8116.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.853.0110.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.553.8111.2+3.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)58.258.0116.2+0.246%-
vs Weaker (13)62.359.8122.2+2.554%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A14/11
NBA
120.7Avg total
59.4Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.758.5118.1+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.158.2114.4-2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)62.858.7121.4+4.162%-
Last 10 (10)59.461.3120.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)62.063.6125.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)54.660.0114.6-5.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)61.657.3118.9+4.371%-
vs Weaker (10)64.957.3122.2+7.670%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.3%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.430.3
55.7%
54.0%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.213.1
31.8%
35.1%39.3
🏀 Free throws21.116.0
75.8%
77.3%16.0
They take 95.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWWLW
Atlanta Hawks
LLWWWWLWLL
#10
League position
#13
-1.6
Net rating
-8.0
110.1
Offensive rating
109.5
111.6
Defensive rating
117.6
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.2%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
11.1%
Turnover %
13.8%
16.8%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.2%
3-point %
31.8%
65.9%
Assist %
69.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 109.5Defence111.6 · 117.6Shooting53.6% · 52.2%3-point %32.2% · 31.8%Ball care11.1% · 13.8%Off. rebounds16.8% · 26.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans116-108
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChicago Bulls117-125 OT
10/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers114-124
08/11/26HBrooklyn Nets124-121
07/11/26HWashington Wizards139-132
05/11/26AWashington Wizards120-105
03/11/26AIndiana Pacers108-104
31/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans99-121
30/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-111
28/10/26HMiami Heat117-129
27/10/26AHouston Rockets110-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game114.6123.2109.7
Allowed / game112.8124.0106.4
Point differential+1.8-0.8+3.3
Avg total227.5247.2216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%25%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL54%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game118.2120.3116.3
Allowed / game116.8123.0111.6
Point differential+1.3-2.7+4.7
Avg total235.0243.3227.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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