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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 109-115
26-31 31-25 34-33 18-26
Position#6
Record38-23
FormWWWWL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game106.1
vs
Position#2
Record41-18
FormWLWWW
Points / game117.1
Allowed / game112.7
USANBA· Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Denver Nuggets
09 Jan 2027
CLE v DEN
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
CLE113
DEN108
05 Dec 2024
CLE126
DEN114
19 Nov 2023
CLE121
DEN109
23 Feb 2023
CLE109
DEN115
18 Mar 2022
CLE119
DEN116
19 Feb 2021
CLE103
DEN120
07 Mar 2020
CLE104
DEN102
01 Nov 2018
CLE91
DEN110
03 Mar 2018
CLE117
DEN126
11 Feb 2017
CLE125
DEN109
21 Mar 2016
CLE124
DEN91
17 Nov 2014
CLE97
DEN106
04 Dec 2013
CLE98
DEN88
09 Feb 2013
CLE103
DEN111
28 Jan 2011
CLE103
DEN117
18 Feb 2010
CLE116
DEN118
13 Nov 2008
CLE110
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
122-99
122
99
+23
125avg 104
H30/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
97-100
97
100
-3
94avg 104
H01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
128-113
128
113
+15
125avg 104
H03/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
122-103
122
103
+19
124avg 104
A05/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
114-91
114
91
+23
114avg 104
A07/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
113-85
113
85
+28
114avg 104
H09/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
118-107
118
107
+11
117avg 104
A11/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
97-89
97
89
+8
88avg 104
H12/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
117-109
117
109
+8
111avg 104
H14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
112-118
112
118
-6
103avg 104
A16/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
33-19
25-23
33-42
26-24
26-31
27-24
18-21
30-26
37-28
32-33
29-26
27-25
35-21
36-38
24-19
37-25
29-21
30-26
18-19
32-14
19-26
25-28
37-17
38-28
35-28
28-26
17-25
26-29
14-20
29-25
28-15
34-19
31-30
26-32
26-28
24-38
14-25
32-24
42-31
215.4Avg total
114.0Scored
101.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)111.8106.1217.9+5.662%
Season at home (31)113.6104.8218.4+8.881%
Season away (30)109.9107.5217.4+2.343%
Last 10 (10)114.0101.4215.4+12.680%
Last 5 (5)111.4101.6213.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)111.3108.9220.2+2.459%
vs Weaker (13)115.2106.2221.4+9.162%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
119-126
119
126
-7
116avg 114
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
122-113
122
113
+9
122avg 114
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
134-117
134
117
+17
133avg 114
H03/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
128-108
128
108
+20
126avg 114
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
98-128
98
128
-30
91avg 114
A06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
146-112
146
112
+34
155avg 114
H08/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
104-115
104
115
-11
94avg 114
A10/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
119-105
119
105
+14
118avg 114
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
112-108
112
108
+4
119avg 114
A14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
118-109
118
109
+9
122avg 114
H16/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-29
35-29
26-38
20-30
31-35
26-25
36-24
29-29
34-35
36-34
35-22
29-26
35-30
35-22
27-34
31-22
21-32
22-31
28-31
27-34
49-19
30-29
31-27
36-37
26-29
29-36
29-24
20-26
27-34
30-26
37-23
25-22
27-36
38-26
24-21
23-25
26-25
35-19
31-30
26-35
234.1Avg total
120.0Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)117.1112.7229.8+4.469%
Season at home (31)121.3109.4230.7+11.987%
Season away (28)112.4116.4228.8-4.050%
Last 10 (10)120.0114.1234.1+5.970%
Last 5 (5)119.8109.8229.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)116.9109.7226.6+7.171%
vs Weaker (16)119.6111.7231.3+7.981%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
Cleveland CavaliersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
64-34
64
34
+30
H30/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H03/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A05/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
66-46
66
46
+20
A07/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H09/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A11/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H12/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A16/02
NBA
107.0Avg total
57.8Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.053.1109.2+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.351.3104.6+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)58.854.9113.7+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)57.849.2107.0+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)53.451.4104.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.455.4108.8-1.941%-
vs Weaker (13)59.550.2109.7+9.269%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H03/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
79-48
79
48
+31
H08/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A10/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H16/02
NBA
121.1Avg total
63.0Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.055.7116.7+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (19)62.553.8116.4+8.774%-
Last 30 away (11)58.358.9117.2-0.636%-
Last 10 (10)63.058.1121.1+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)63.455.8119.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)60.555.2115.7+5.364%-
vs Weaker (16)61.456.1117.5+5.256%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.131.9
61.2%
54.5%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.6
36.8%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.815.4
77.8%
78.1%15.4
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 120.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.034.2
62.2%
54.5%68.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.7
37.7%
35.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws20.916.5
78.9%
78.1%16.5
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
LWWWWWWWLW
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWLWWWL
#6
League position
#2
+13.1
Net rating
+5.8
118.2
Offensive rating
117.8
105.1
Defensive rating
112.0
59.0%
Effective FG%
60.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.0%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.8%
3-point %
37.7%
66.0%
Assist %
69.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 117.8Defence105.1 · 112.0Shooting59.0% · 60.2%3-point %36.8% · 37.7%Ball care12.7% · 14.0%Off. rebounds23.1% · 20.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23APhiladelphia 76ers112-118
14/02/23HSan Antonio Spurs117-109
12/02/23HChicago Bulls97-89
11/02/23ANew Orleans Pelicans118-107
09/02/23HDetroit Pistons113-85
07/02/23AWashington Wizards114-91
05/02/23AIndiana Pacers122-103
03/02/23HMemphis Grizzlies128-113
01/02/23HMiami Heat97-100
30/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers122-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23HDallas Mavericks118-109
14/02/23AMiami Heat112-108
12/02/23ACharlotte Hornets119-105
10/02/23AOrlando Magic104-115
08/02/23HMinnesota Timberwolves146-112
06/02/23AMinnesota Timberwolves98-128
05/02/23HAtlanta Hawks128-108
03/02/23HGolden State Warriors134-117
01/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans122-113
28/01/23APhiladelphia 76ers119-126

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWWW81%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613130
Win %62%81%43%
Points / game111.8113.6109.9
Allowed / game106.1104.8107.5
Point differential+5.6+8.8+2.3
Avg total217.9218.4217.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)60% (5)12% (8)
Overtime %10%16%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593128
Win %69%87%50%
Points / game117.1121.3112.4
Allowed / game112.7109.4116.4
Point differential+4.4+11.9-4.0
Avg total229.8230.7228.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%55%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)64% (11)88% (8)
Overtime %3%3%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics59421771%117.9111.7+6.1
2 Milwaukee Bucks58411771%114.8111.6+3.2
3 Denver Nuggets59411869%117.1112.7+4.4
4 Philadelphia 76ers57381967%114.4110.5+3.9
5 Cleveland Cavaliers61382362%111.8106.1+5.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies57352261%116.1112.2+3.9
7 Brooklyn Nets58342459%114.0112.3+1.7
8 Sacramento Kings57322556%119.5117.2+2.3
9 New York Knicks60332755%114.6112.3+2.2
10 Miami Heat59322754%108.3108.3+0.0
11 Los Angeles Clippers61332854%111.4111.1+0.3
12 Phoenix Suns60322853%112.7111.3+1.4
13 Dallas Mavericks60312952%113.0112.5+0.5
14 New Orleans Pelicans59302951%114.9113.5+1.4
15 Minnesota Timberwolves61313051%115.7115.8-0.1
16 Golden State Warriors58292950%118.6118.5+0.1
17 Atlanta Hawks59293049%116.4116.7-0.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder57282949%117.9116.2+1.6
19 Utah Jazz60293148%117.6117.2+0.3
20 Washington Wizards58283048%113.6113.3+0.3
21 Portland Trail Blazers58283048%114.9115.0-0.2
22 Toronto Raptors59283147%113.3112.5+0.9
23 Los Angeles Lakers59273246%117.0118.2-1.2
24 Chicago Bulls59263344%113.1113.4-0.3
25 Indiana Pacers60263443%114.5117.1-2.6
26 Orlando Magic59243541%110.9113.7-2.8
27 Charlotte Hornets60174328%112.5118.9-6.4
28 Detroit Pistons59154425%112.3119.9-7.6
29 San Antonio Spurs59144524%112.4122.6-10.2
30 Houston Rockets58134522%109.8118.2-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cleveland Cavaliers26313418109
Denver Nuggets31253326115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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