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Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 95-106
21-36 28-21 22-23 24-26
Position#17
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game105.1
Allowed / game108.0
vs
Position#19
Record4-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game97.2
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Detroit Pistons
03 Jan 2027
DEN v DET
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
DEN107
DET109
28 Dec 2024
DEN134
DET121
07 Jan 2024
DEN131
DET114
22 Nov 2022
DEN108
DET110
23 Jan 2022
DEN117
DET111
06 Apr 2021
DEN134
DET119
25 Feb 2020
DEN115
DET98
26 Mar 2019
DEN95
DET92
15 Mar 2018
DEN120
DET113
12 Nov 2016
DEN95
DET106
23 Jan 2016
DEN104
DET101
29 Oct 2014
DEN89
DET79
19 Mar 2014
DEN118
DET109
06 Nov 2012
DEN109
DET97
21 Mar 2012
DEN116
DET115
12 Mar 2011
DEN131
DET101
26 Feb 2010
DEN107
DET102
09 Jan 2009
DEN90
DET93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Detroit Pistons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#18
L
84-100
84
100
-16
72avg 94
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 94
A14/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
107-102
107
102
+5
102avg 94
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-115 OT
113
115
-2
99avg 94
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
102-105
102
105
-3
88avg 94
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
102-99
102
99
+3
97avg 94
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
86-103
86
103
-17
66avg 94
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
123-107
123
107
+16
117avg 94
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
107-108
107
108
-1
106avg 94
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
101-125
101
125
-24
89avg 94
H11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
25-22
15-34
22-18
31-27
25-31
23-29
20-20
30-24
30-24
25-29
22-25
28-33
26-29
34-19
16-23
24-33
25-29
35-26
18-17
25-37
30-24
33-14
14-24
12-29
32-22
23-26
19-26
42-23
35-29
26-31
20-24
26-26
30-30
20-23
31-29
19-38
32-27
24-34
26-26
209.5Avg total
102.4Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)105.1108.0213.1-2.938%
Season at home (2)107.0120.0227.0-13.00%
Season away (6)104.5104.0208.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)102.4107.1209.5-4.730%
Last 5 (5)103.8108.4212.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)98.7112.1210.8-13.422%
vs Similar ◀ (17)106.2105.1211.2+1.147%
vs Weaker (4)114.2109.0223.2+5.275%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistons
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
98-100
98
100
-2
93avg 90
H25/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
91-109
91
109
-18
76avg 90
A26/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
108-82
108
82
+26
106avg 90
H28/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
98-83
98
83
+15
95avg 90
H30/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
102-89
102
89
+13
90avg 90
H01/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
101-109
101
109
-8
87avg 90
A02/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
103-86
103
86
+17
97avg 90
H05/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
82-114
82
114
-32
63avg 90
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
100-107
100
107
-7
83avg 90
A10/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
86-96
86
96
-10
75avg 90
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
24-28
26-28
20-19
23-33
23-25
25-28
20-23
24-22
30-9
32-20
22-31
24-21
26-18
25-26
23-18
32-29
32-26
22-24
16-10
30-38
25-33
26-21
20-17
29-12
22-32
26-23
26-19
15-33
17-29
21-29
29-23
28-19
23-35
25-27
24-26
26-28
26-21
15-26
19-21
194.4Avg total
96.9Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)96.897.2194.0-0.444%
Season at home (4)102.885.0187.8+17.8100%
Season away (5)92.0107.0199.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)96.997.5194.4-0.640%
Last 5 (5)94.4102.4196.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)93.2102.8196.0-9.622%
vs Similar ◀ (15)101.5101.6203.1-0.160%
vs Weaker (6)106.8100.5207.3+6.367%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
Denver NuggetsDetroit Pistons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A14/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
77-52
77
52
+25
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H11/11
NBA
111.2Avg total
54.9Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.354.1108.4+0.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.854.2108.0-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)54.854.0108.8+0.831%-
Last 10 (10)54.956.3111.2-1.420%-
Last 5 (5)56.657.0113.6-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.455.6107.0-4.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)55.453.5108.9+1.947%-
vs Weaker (4)56.253.5109.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H25/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A26/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H28/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H30/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H01/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A02/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H05/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
32-62
32
62
-30
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A10/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A12/11
NBA
102.3Avg total
50.7Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.652.6104.2-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.550.8105.3+3.659%-
Last 30 away (13)47.854.8102.7-7.031%-
Last 10 (10)50.751.6102.3-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)48.256.0104.2-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)50.052.9102.9-2.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.552.5105.0-0.160%-
vs Weaker (6)51.852.2104.0-0.333%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 102.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.028.4
46.6%
50.2%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.3
33.1%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws27.120.7
76.4%
77.0%20.7
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.930.3
46.7%
50.2%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.8
33.7%
35.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.215.9
75.0%
77.0%15.9
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWLWLLWLL
Detroit Pistons
LLLWLWWWLL
#17
League position
#19
-4.6
Net rating
-0.6
100.3
Offensive rating
100.9
105.0
Defensive rating
101.6
47.4%
Effective FG%
47.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
12.2%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.1%
3-point %
33.7%
55.3%
Assist %
53.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 100.9Defence105.0 · 101.6Shooting47.4% · 47.6%3-point %33.1% · 33.7%Ball care16.7% · 12.2%Off. rebounds26.9% · 21.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Detroit Pistons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Detroit Pistons wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/16HGolden State Warriors101-125
09/11/16AMemphis Grizzlies107-108
07/11/16ABoston Celtics123-107
05/11/16ADetroit Pistons86-103
04/11/16AMinnesota Timberwolves102-99
31/10/16AToronto Raptors102-105
30/10/16HPortland Trail Blazers113-115 OT
27/10/16ANew Orleans Pelicans107-102
14/04/16APortland Trail Blazers99-107
10/04/16HUtah Jazz84-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/16ASan Antonio Spurs86-96
10/11/16APhoenix Suns100-107
08/11/16ALos Angeles Clippers82-114
05/11/16HDenver Nuggets103-86
02/11/16ABrooklyn Nets101-109
01/11/16HNew York Knicks102-89
30/10/16HMilwaukee Bucks98-83
28/10/16HOrlando Magic108-82
26/10/16AToronto Raptors91-109
25/04/16HCleveland Cavaliers98-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %38%0%50%
Points / game105.1107.0104.5
Allowed / game108.0120.0104.0
Point differential-2.9-13.0+0.5
Avg total213.1227.0208.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %12%50%0%
Detroit Pistons
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%100%0%
Points / game96.8102.892.0
Allowed / game97.285.0107.0
Point differential-0.4+17.8-15.0
Avg total194.0187.8199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Clippers109190%107.091.9+15.1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers87188%110.6103.1+7.5
3 Atlanta Hawks97278%109.698.9+10.7
4 Golden State Warriors97278%114.6106.9+7.7
5 Toronto Raptors97278%105.399.2+6.1
6 Charlotte Hornets86275%105.998.8+7.1
7 San Antonio Spurs107370%101.996.7+5.2
8 Oklahoma City Thunder96367%103.2100.8+2.4
9 Utah Jazz117464%97.693.1+4.5
10 Chicago Bulls106460%106.2100.8+5.4
11 Los Angeles Lakers106460%109.6105.8+3.8
12 Portland Trail Blazers106460%108.4111.7-3.3
13 Milwaukee Bucks95456%103.9102.0+1.9
14 Houston Rockets95456%107.0106.7+0.3
15 Boston Celtics95456%108.2108.3-0.1
16 Detroit Pistons94544%96.897.2-0.4
17 Memphis Grizzlies94544%97.0102.6-5.6
18 Indiana Pacers104640%108.4112.0-3.6
19 Denver Nuggets83538%105.1108.0-2.9
20 Brooklyn Nets83538%104.4108.0-3.6
21 Sacramento Kings114736%99.8103.6-3.8
22 Phoenix Suns93633%107.6113.0-5.4
23 New York Knicks93633%101.9109.8-7.9
24 Orlando Magic93633%92.3102.7-10.3
25 Minnesota Timberwolves82625%105.8105.9-0.1
26 Miami Heat82625%95.598.5-3.0
27 Dallas Mavericks82625%97.1102.4-5.2
28 Washington Wizards92722%99.9104.1-4.2
29 Philadelphia 76ers91811%96.4108.2-11.8
30 New Orleans Pelicans101910%101.3109.5-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2128222495
Detroit Pistons36212326106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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