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Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 107-123
23-42 29-35 31-26 24-20
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game109.6
vs
Position#17
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game104.8
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
09 Feb 2027
BOS v DEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BOS110
DEN114
02 Mar 2025
BOS110
DEN103
19 Jan 2024
BOS100
DEN102
11 Nov 2022
BOS131
DEN112
11 Feb 2022
BOS108
DEN102
16 Feb 2021
BOS112
DEN99
06 Dec 2019
BOS108
DEN95
18 Mar 2019
BOS105
DEN114
13 Dec 2017
BOS124
DEN118
06 Nov 2016
BOS107
DEN123
27 Jan 2016
BOS111
DEN103
04 Feb 2015
BOS104
DEN100
06 Dec 2013
BOS106
DEN98
10 Feb 2013
BOS118
DEN114
08 Dec 2010
BOS105
DEN89
24 Mar 2010
BOS113
DEN99
14 Nov 2008
BOS85
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
72-89
72
89
-17
54avg 96
A19/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
111-103
111
103
+8
103avg 96
H23/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
104-95 OT
104
95
+9
95avg 96
H24/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
83-110
83
110
-27
73avg 96
A27/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
92-104
92
104
-12
72avg 96
H29/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
122-117
122
117
+5
126avg 96
H26/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
99-105
99
105
-6
91avg 96
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
104-98
104
98
+6
99avg 96
A29/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
107-100
107
100
+7
99avg 96
H03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
122-128
122
128
-6
109avg 96
A04/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-24
21-19
18-18
26-28
37-20
20-25
22-33
32-25
24-21
22-27
24-25
22-19
20-15
19-32
23-42
21-21
17-20
16-21
26-39
33-24
33-31
31-27
33-23
25-36
20-30
29-27
24-22
26-26
28-19
16-22
27-31
33-26
36-25
19-27
26-18
26-30
25-36
26-32
32-32
39-28
206.5Avg total
101.6Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)110.8109.6220.4+1.260%
Season at home (2)114.5108.5223.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)108.3110.3218.7-2.033%
Last 10 (10)101.6104.9206.5-3.350%
Last 5 (5)110.8109.6220.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)109.0118.0227.0-9.050%
vs Similar ◀ (20)99.0104.7203.7-5.730%
vs Weaker (8)112.8102.4215.1+10.4100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
106-115
106
115
-9
99avg 94
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
102-124
102
124
-22
90avg 94
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
102-98
102
98
+4
95avg 94
H09/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
84-100
84
100
-16
72avg 94
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 94
A14/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
107-102
107
102
+5
102avg 94
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-115 OT
113
115
-2
99avg 94
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
102-105
102
105
-3
88avg 94
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
102-99
102
99
+3
97avg 94
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
86-103
86
103
-17
66avg 94
A05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
35-32
26-29
18-31
30-32
21-36
26-39
25-17
24-18
27-35
26-19
25-26
22-26
25-22
15-34
22-18
31-27
25-31
23-29
20-20
30-24
30-24
25-29
22-25
28-33
26-29
34-19
16-23
24-33
25-29
35-26
18-17
25-37
30-24
33-14
14-24
12-29
32-22
23-26
19-26
207.1Avg total
100.3Scored
106.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)102.0104.8206.8-2.840%
Season at home (1)113.0115.0228.0-2.00%
Season away (4)99.2102.2201.5-3.050%
Last 10 (10)100.3106.8207.1-6.530%
Last 5 (5)102.0104.8206.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)97.1107.2204.3-10.133%
vs Similar ◀ (17)105.1105.6210.8-0.541%
vs Weaker (4)114.2109.0223.2+5.275%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
Boston CelticsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A19/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H23/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H24/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A27/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H29/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H26/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A29/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A04/11
NBA
96.6Avg total
46.6Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.251.9101.2-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.352.4102.7-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)48.351.599.8-3.244%-
Last 10 (10)46.650.096.6-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)52.655.2107.8-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.054.5104.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)45.952.598.4-6.725%-
vs Weaker (8)57.549.8107.2+7.888%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H09/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A14/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A05/11
NBA
109.5Avg total
52.9Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.452.7106.1+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.553.0106.5+0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)53.352.4105.8+0.938%-
Last 10 (10)52.956.6109.5-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)52.456.8109.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.752.7104.3-1.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.652.5106.2+1.147%-
vs Weaker (4)56.253.5109.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 101.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.028.1
50.2%
50.2%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.0
32.9%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.515.4
75.1%
77.0%15.4
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 100.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.029.3
46.5%
50.2%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.4
29.7%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws25.919.5
75.3%
77.0%19.5
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWLWLLWWL
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWLLWLL
#5
League position
#17
-3.3
Net rating
-6.4
100.7
Offensive rating
98.9
104.0
Defensive rating
105.3
49.9%
Effective FG%
46.0%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.9%
3-point %
29.7%
61.7%
Assist %
56.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 98.9Defence104.0 · 105.3Shooting49.9% · 46.0%3-point %32.9% · 29.7%Ball care13.7% · 14.7%Off. rebounds19.6% · 25.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/16ACleveland Cavaliers122-128
03/11/16HChicago Bulls107-100
29/10/16ACharlotte Hornets104-98
28/10/16AChicago Bulls99-105
26/10/16HBrooklyn Nets122-117
29/04/16HAtlanta Hawks92-104
27/04/16AAtlanta Hawks83-110
24/04/16HAtlanta Hawks104-95 OT
23/04/16HAtlanta Hawks111-103
19/04/16AAtlanta Hawks72-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/16ADetroit Pistons86-103
04/11/16AMinnesota Timberwolves102-99
31/10/16AToronto Raptors102-105
30/10/16HPortland Trail Blazers113-115 OT
27/10/16ANew Orleans Pelicans107-102
14/04/16APortland Trail Blazers99-107
10/04/16HUtah Jazz84-100
09/04/16HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
06/04/16HOklahoma City Thunder102-124
03/04/16HSacramento Kings106-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game110.8114.5108.3
Allowed / game109.6108.5110.3
Point differential+1.2+6.0-2.0
Avg total220.4223.0218.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeL0%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game102.0113.099.2
Allowed / game104.8115.0102.2
Point differential-2.8-2.0-3.0
Avg total206.8228.0201.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %20%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers660100%112.3103.5+8.8
2 Los Angeles Clippers65183%102.790.7+12.0
3 Oklahoma City Thunder65183%103.7100.0+3.7
4 Charlotte Hornets54180%102.095.8+6.2
5 San Antonio Spurs75271%102.697.1+5.4
6 Atlanta Hawks64267%107.396.8+10.5
7 Detroit Pistons64267%100.593.0+7.5
8 Toronto Raptors64267%100.895.5+5.3
9 Golden State Warriors64267%112.3110.0+2.3
10 Boston Celtics53260%110.8109.6+1.2
11 Milwaukee Bucks74357%103.3101.4+1.9
12 Utah Jazz74357%96.995.9+1.0
13 Portland Trail Blazers74357%108.3109.3-1.0
14 Chicago Bulls63350%106.5103.8+2.7
15 Los Angeles Lakers63350%108.8108.5+0.3
16 Houston Rockets63350%108.0108.2-0.2
17 Indiana Pacers63350%109.7111.5-1.8
18 Orlando Magic63350%95.0100.3-5.3
19 Memphis Grizzlies73443%95.6101.4-5.9
20 Miami Heat52340%98.698.2+0.4
21 Denver Nuggets52340%102.0104.8-2.8
22 Sacramento Kings83538%98.1102.9-4.8
23 Brooklyn Nets62433%103.3107.3-4.0
24 Phoenix Suns62433%105.3112.3-7.0
25 New York Knicks62433%102.2109.8-7.7
26 Minnesota Timberwolves51420%101.6100.4+1.2
27 Washington Wizards51420%97.2103.8-6.6
28 Dallas Mavericks61517%95.5101.0-5.5
29 New Orleans Pelicans6060%100.3107.5-7.2
30 Philadelphia 76ers5050%92.8104.2-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics23293124107
Denver Nuggets42352620123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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