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Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 131-114
31-29 34-28 43-28 23-29
Position#3
Record25-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game110.6
vs
Position#30
Record3-32
FormLWLLL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game122.3
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Detroit Pistons
03 Jan 2027
DEN v DET
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
DEN107
DET109
28 Dec 2024
DEN134
DET121
07 Jan 2024
DEN131
DET114
22 Nov 2022
DEN108
DET110
23 Jan 2022
DEN117
DET111
06 Apr 2021
DEN134
DET119
25 Feb 2020
DEN115
DET98
26 Mar 2019
DEN95
DET92
15 Mar 2018
DEN120
DET113
12 Nov 2016
DEN95
DET106
23 Jan 2016
DEN104
DET101
29 Oct 2014
DEN89
DET79
19 Mar 2014
DEN118
DET109
06 Nov 2012
DEN109
DET97
21 Mar 2012
DEN116
DET115
12 Mar 2011
DEN131
DET101
26 Feb 2010
DEN107
DET102
09 Jan 2009
DEN90
DET93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Detroit Pistons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
130-104
130
104
+26
130avg 110
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
113-104
113
104
+9
106avg 110
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
122-117
122
117
+5
118avg 110
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
120-114
120
114
+6
115avg 110
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
142-105
142
105
+37
153avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
93-119
93
119
-26
85avg 110
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
111-93
111
93
+18
109avg 110
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
130-127
130
127
+3
126avg 110
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
120-122
120
122
-2
110avg 110
H06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
40-39
30-21
32-24
29-20
32-24
29-31
23-29
28-28
30-32
30-26
34-31
25-27
29-33
30-9
18-26
29-26
24-28
39-35
28-25
33-27
32-21
41-35
36-22
27-33
21-21
20-34
25-31
24-18
25-31
40-17
22-27
34-33
36-30
24-44
36-20
37-28
30-26
31-41
22-27
228.3Avg total
118.3Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)115.7110.6226.2+5.168%
Season at home (18)119.9110.4230.3+9.678%
Season away (19)111.6110.7222.4+0.958%
Last 10 (10)118.3110.0228.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)119.2113.2232.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)114.1114.6228.7-0.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)119.6106.6226.2+13.0100%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistons
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
114-146
114
146
-32
98avg 102
A16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
124-130
124
130
-6
108avg 102
A19/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
111-119
111
119
-8
104avg 102
H22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
115-126
115
126
-11
109avg 102
A24/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
112-118
112
118
-6
101avg 102
H27/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
122-128 OT
122
128
-6
115avg 102
A29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
129-127
129
127
+2
127avg 102
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
113-136
113
136
-23
106avg 102
A02/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
148-154 OT
148
154
-6
142avg 102
A04/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
109-113
109
113
-4
95avg 102
A06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-43
36-38
27-33
31-32
25-38
27-23
32-35
40-34
32-34
26-30
30-26
23-29
21-32
35-33
26-33
33-28
31-25
23-36
31-27
27-30
30-27
36-20
16-35
26-26
25-24
27-20
38-42
39-41
29-31
26-28
25-47
33-30
33-26
35-40
41-38
29-34
20-22
26-28
29-29
34-34
249.4Avg total
119.7Scored
129.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)111.4122.3233.7-10.99%
Season at home (16)110.4119.2229.6-8.912%
Season away (19)112.3124.9237.2-12.75%
Last 10 (10)119.7129.7249.4-10.010%
Last 5 (5)124.2131.6255.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)111.7124.3236.0-12.70%
vs Similar (4)112.8127.8240.5-15.025%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Denver NuggetsDetroit Pistons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H06/01
NBA
113.8Avg total
59.3Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.356.2114.5+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.053.7112.7+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)57.658.4116.1-0.856%-
Last 10 (10)59.354.5113.8+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)59.853.6113.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)58.058.0116.0-0.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)58.952.7111.6+6.270%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A16/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A19/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A24/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H27/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
66-47
66
47
+19
A29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A02/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A04/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A06/01
NBA
116.1Avg total
56.3Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.259.8113.0-6.720%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.958.2112.1-4.321%-
Last 30 away (16)52.561.2113.8-8.819%-
Last 10 (10)56.359.8116.1-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)57.453.2110.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)53.460.5113.9-7.115%-
vs Similar (4)51.855.5107.2-3.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.432.4
57.4%
54.4%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.6
38.9%
36.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws19.515.7
80.5%
78.2%15.7
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 119.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.832.3
54.9%
54.4%64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.9
36.5%
36.3%35.7
🏀 Free throws25.119.4
77.3%
78.2%19.4
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWWWWWW
Detroit Pistons
LLLWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#30
+8.4
Net rating
-9.5
120.1
Offensive rating
113.8
111.6
Defensive rating
123.3
57.8%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
10.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.9%
3-point %
36.5%
65.1%
Assist %
58.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence120.1 · 113.8Defence111.6 · 123.3Shooting57.8% · 54.9%3-point %38.9% · 36.5%Ball care10.9% · 13.4%Off. rebounds23.5% · 26.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Detroit Pistons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Detroit Pistons wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HOrlando Magic120-122
05/01/24AGolden State Warriors130-127
02/01/24HCharlotte Hornets111-93
30/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder93-119
29/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies142-105
25/12/23HGolden State Warriors120-114
24/12/23ACharlotte Hornets102-95
23/12/23ABrooklyn Nets122-117
21/12/23AToronto Raptors113-104
19/12/23HDallas Mavericks130-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AGolden State Warriors109-113
04/01/24AUtah Jazz148-154 OT
02/01/24AHouston Rockets113-136
30/12/23HToronto Raptors129-127
29/12/23ABoston Celtics122-128 OT
27/12/23HBrooklyn Nets112-118
24/12/23ABrooklyn Nets115-126
22/12/23HUtah Jazz111-119
19/12/23AAtlanta Hawks124-130
16/12/23AMilwaukee Bucks114-146

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL68%
HomeWWLWL78%
AwayWWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %68%78%58%
Points / game115.7119.9111.6
Allowed / game110.6110.4110.7
Point differential+5.1+9.6+0.9
Avg total226.2230.3222.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%56%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Detroit Pistons
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL9%
HomeLLLLW12%
AwayLLLLL5%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %9%12%5%
Points / game111.4110.4112.3
Allowed / game122.3119.2124.9
Point differential-10.9-8.9-12.7
Avg total233.7229.6237.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3428682%121.1109.7+11.4
2 Minnesota Timberwolves35251071%112.9107.7+5.3
3 Milwaukee Bucks34241071%123.8119.2+4.6
4 Oklahoma City Thunder34231168%121.8114.2+7.6
5 Denver Nuggets37251268%115.7110.6+5.1
6 Philadelphia 76ers35231266%119.5111.3+8.2
7 Los Angeles Clippers34221265%117.0111.7+5.3
8 Sacramento Kings34211362%117.8117.7+0.1
9 New Orleans Pelicans35211460%116.2110.9+5.4
10 New York Knicks35211460%115.6111.5+4.1
11 Dallas Mavericks37221559%119.0116.8+2.2
12 Orlando Magic36211558%113.9111.9+1.9
13 Cleveland Cavaliers36211558%113.2111.5+1.7
14 Miami Heat35201557%112.5111.6+0.9
15 Phoenix Suns34191556%115.7113.8+1.9
16 Indiana Pacers33181555%126.9124.7+2.2
17 Houston Rockets34181653%112.5109.9+2.6
18 Golden State Warriors35171849%117.1116.5+0.6
19 Utah Jazz37172046%114.6118.7-4.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers34151944%113.4116.1-2.7
21 Brooklyn Nets37162143%114.9116.6-1.6
22 Chicago Bulls37162143%109.1111.5-2.4
23 Toronto Raptors35142140%114.5115.6-1.1
24 Atlanta Hawks35142140%122.2123.7-1.5
25 Memphis Grizzlies35122334%107.4113.4-6.0
26 Portland Trail Blazers35102529%109.0116.3-7.4
27 Charlotte Hornets3382524%109.5120.1-10.6
28 Washington Wizards3562917%115.1126.1-10.9
29 San Antonio Spurs3553014%111.3122.7-11.4
30 Detroit Pistons353329%111.4122.3-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31344323131
Detroit Pistons29282829114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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