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Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 107-109
18-31 28-21 26-30 35-27
Position#6
Record31-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game120.7
Allowed / game116.2
vs
Position#3
Record33-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game117.4
Allowed / game110.1
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Detroit Pistons
03 Jan 2027
DEN v DET
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
DEN107
DET109
28 Dec 2024
DEN134
DET121
07 Jan 2024
DEN131
DET114
22 Nov 2022
DEN108
DET110
23 Jan 2022
DEN117
DET111
06 Apr 2021
DEN134
DET119
25 Feb 2020
DEN115
DET98
26 Mar 2019
DEN95
DET92
15 Mar 2018
DEN120
DET113
12 Nov 2016
DEN95
DET106
23 Jan 2016
DEN104
DET101
29 Oct 2014
DEN89
DET79
19 Mar 2014
DEN118
DET109
06 Nov 2012
DEN109
DET97
21 Mar 2012
DEN116
DET115
12 Mar 2011
DEN131
DET101
26 Feb 2010
DEN107
DET102
09 Jan 2009
DEN90
DET93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Detroit Pistons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
114-110
114
110
+4
104avg 113
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
87-110
87
110
-23
84avg 113
H10/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
108-104
108
104
+4
97avg 113
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-116
122
116
+6
110avg 113
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
118-109
118
109
+9
108avg 113
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
121-115
121
115
+6
118avg 113
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
87-110
87
110
-23
72avg 113
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
107-115
107
115
-8
94avg 113
H21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
107-97
107
97
+10
101avg 113
A23/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
102-100
102
100
+2
96avg 113
A24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-35
27-23
21-24
35-28
28-30
22-28
25-16
12-36
27-23
35-29
23-22
23-30
32-31
28-34
29-27
33-24
29-23
34-23
25-32
30-31
36-29
26-34
21-23
38-29
18-33
16-27
23-27
30-23
37-28
34-29
17-29
19-29
27-23
21-23
33-29
26-22
21-21
27-21
30-21
24-37
215.9Avg total
107.3Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)120.7116.2236.8+4.567%
Season at home (20)120.1116.3236.4+3.860%
Season away (26)121.1116.1237.2+5.073%
Last 10 (10)107.3108.6215.9-1.370%
Last 5 (5)104.8107.4212.2-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)115.6119.7235.3-4.150%
vs Weaker (16)122.0115.5237.5+6.575%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistons
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
114-110
114
110
+4
103avg 110
A04/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
121-90
121
90
+31
117avg 110
H06/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
108-93
108
93
+15
105avg 110
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
92-98
92
98
-6
82avg 110
H11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
108-105
108
105
+3
105avg 110
H16/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
121-78
121
78
+43
120avg 110
H18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
104-103
104
103
+1
92avg 110
H20/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
112-104
112
104
+8
106avg 110
A22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
104-111
104
111
-7
91avg 110
H24/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
139-116
139
116
+23
136avg 110
H25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
47-28
21-26
27-28
30-29
34-25
25-15
32-21
30-24
22-26
24-27
32-16
28-14
27-27
21-27
16-30
23-32
33-31
33-27
19-15
31-11
28-14
33-28
29-25
26-29
33-22
25-31
20-21
34-30
34-32
21-22
23-20
20-28
32-24
20-34
32-25
35-35
43-30
35-28
26-23
213.1Avg total
112.3Scored
100.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)117.4110.1227.5+7.375%
Season at home (24)116.8107.2224.1+9.679%
Season away (20)118.1113.5231.6+4.670%
Last 10 (10)112.3100.8213.1+11.580%
Last 5 (5)116.0102.4218.4+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)111.2102.0213.2+9.267%
vs Weaker (24)118.2110.9229.1+7.271%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
Denver NuggetsDetroit Pistons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H10/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A23/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A24/01
NBA
110.3Avg total
55.6Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.856.4116.1+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)59.856.4116.2+3.458%-
Last 30 away (18)59.756.3116.1+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)55.654.7110.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)52.653.6106.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)57.658.6116.2-1.143%-
vs Weaker (16)61.754.4116.1+7.362%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A04/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H06/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H16/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
59-25
59
25
+34
H18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H20/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H24/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H25/01
NBA
112.8Avg total
60.9Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.255.3116.5+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.152.7111.9+6.473%-
Last 30 away (15)63.257.9121.1+5.380%-
Last 10 (10)60.951.9112.8+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)63.251.0114.2+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)56.852.7109.5+4.267%-
vs Weaker (24)62.256.0118.2+6.379%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 107.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.524.2
50.9%
54.8%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.113.3
36.8%
35.8%39.9
🏀 Free throws23.819.0
79.8%
78.1%19.0
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.428.9
54.1%
54.8%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.8
35.3%
35.8%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.718.2
76.8%
78.1%18.2
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWWWWLW
Detroit Pistons
WLWWWWLWWW
#6
League position
#3
-1.3
Net rating
+6.6
111.3
Offensive rating
110.7
112.7
Defensive rating
104.1
52.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
9.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
17.2%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.8%
3-point %
35.3%
65.3%
Assist %
63.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 110.7Defence112.7 · 104.1Shooting52.8% · 53.7%3-point %36.8% · 35.3%Ball care9.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds17.2% · 28.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Detroit Pistons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Detroit Pistons wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks102-100
23/01/26AWashington Wizards107-97
21/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers107-115
19/01/26HCharlotte Hornets87-110
18/01/26HWashington Wizards121-115
15/01/26ADallas Mavericks118-109
14/01/26ANew Orleans Pelicans122-116
12/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks108-104
10/01/26HAtlanta Hawks87-110
08/01/26ABoston Celtics114-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HSacramento Kings139-116
24/01/26HHouston Rockets104-111
22/01/26ANew Orleans Pelicans112-104
20/01/26HBoston Celtics104-103
18/01/26HIndiana Pacers121-78
16/01/26HPhoenix Suns108-105
11/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers92-98
08/01/26HChicago Bulls108-93
06/01/26HNew York Knicks121-90
04/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers114-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462026
Win %67%60%73%
Points / game120.7120.1121.1
Allowed / game116.2116.3116.1
Point differential+4.5+3.8+5.0
Avg total236.8236.4237.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%35%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)50% (6)60% (10)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Detroit Pistons
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayLLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442420
Win %75%79%70%
Points / game117.4116.8118.1
Allowed / game110.1107.2113.5
Point differential+7.3+9.6+4.6
Avg total227.5224.1231.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)80% (5)50% (10)
Overtime %5%4%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4637980%120.3108.0+12.4
2 Detroit Pistons44331175%117.4110.1+7.3
3 Denver Nuggets46311567%120.7116.2+4.5
4 San Antonio Spurs44291566%117.2112.3+4.9
5 Houston Rockets44281664%116.7110.5+6.2
6 Los Angeles Lakers44281664%116.2115.9+0.3
7 Boston Celtics46291763%116.6109.9+6.7
8 Toronto Raptors47291862%114.3111.8+2.5
9 Phoenix Suns45271860%114.7111.2+3.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves47281960%119.0114.3+4.6
11 New York Knicks44261859%117.2113.2+4.0
12 Cleveland Cavaliers48282058%119.0116.5+2.5
13 Miami Heat46252154%120.0118.1+1.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers46252154%116.6115.9+0.7
15 Golden State Warriors48262254%116.0113.4+2.6
16 Orlando Magic43222151%114.9115.2-0.3
17 Chicago Bulls46232350%117.9119.9-2.0
18 Atlanta Hawks48232548%117.8118.7-0.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers48232548%115.5117.4-1.9
20 Los Angeles Clippers45212447%112.6113.0-0.4
21 Dallas Mavericks46192741%114.3116.5-2.3
22 Memphis Grizzlies44182641%115.2116.4-1.3
23 Charlotte Hornets47192840%116.3115.0+1.3
24 Milwaukee Bucks45182740%112.1116.0-3.9
25 Utah Jazz46153133%119.0127.8-8.8
26 Brooklyn Nets44123227%107.9115.1-7.2
27 Sacramento Kings48123625%110.5120.8-10.3
28 New Orleans Pelicans49123724%114.4121.2-6.8
29 Washington Wizards45113424%112.3122.8-10.5
30 Indiana Pacers47113623%110.2118.5-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets18282635107
Detroit Pistons31213027109
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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