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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 99-102
37-25 24-30 14-33 24-14
Position#24
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game105.7
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#17
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game107.3
Allowed / game107.3
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#18
L
85-98
85
98
-13
77avg 95
A02/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 95
H03/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
124-117 OT
124
117
+7
119avg 95
A06/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
105-97
105
97
+8
99avg 95
A08/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
106-105
106
105
+1
96avg 95
A10/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
105-129
105
129
-24
96avg 95
H12/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
144-109
144
109
+35
155avg 95
H14/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
98-102
98
102
-4
85avg 95
A27/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
103-106
103
106
-3
96avg 95
A30/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
116-80
116
80
+36
122avg 95
H02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
25-26
19-26
17-21
27-22
13-19
23-27
15-20
19-28
27-27
32-31
28-20
31-27
27-24
25-25
22-21
21-28
32-21
22-23
31-33
21-38
26-30
27-35
31-26
40-23
32-27
34-29
38-30
32-29
27-21
16-26
23-26
34-25
31-29
12-31
26-21
29-16
33-20
35-23
19-21
209.5Avg total
106.4Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)105.796.0201.7+9.733%
Season at home (1)116.080.0196.0+36.0100%
Season away (2)100.5104.0204.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)106.4103.1209.5+3.350%
Last 5 (5)113.2105.2218.4+8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)99.8107.2207.0-7.430%
vs Similar ◀ (20)109.5108.8218.2+0.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
109-105
109
105
+4
106avg 94
A31/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
95-101
95
101
-6
89avg 94
A01/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
106-115
106
115
-9
99avg 94
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
102-124
102
124
-22
90avg 94
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
102-98
102
98
+4
95avg 94
H09/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
84-100
84
100
-16
72avg 94
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 94
A14/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
107-102
107
102
+5
102avg 94
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-115 OT
113
115
-2
99avg 94
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
102-105
102
105
-3
88avg 94
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
33-27
25-21
25-37
26-31
28-25
24-21
17-24
27-23
35-32
26-29
18-31
30-32
21-36
26-39
25-17
24-18
27-35
26-19
25-26
22-26
25-22
15-34
22-18
31-27
25-31
23-29
20-20
30-24
30-24
25-29
22-25
28-33
26-29
34-19
16-23
24-33
25-29
35-26
18-17
209.1Avg total
101.9Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)107.3107.3214.7+0.033%
Season at home (1)113.0115.0228.0-2.00%
Season away (2)104.5103.5208.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)101.9107.2209.1-5.330%
Last 5 (5)101.0105.8206.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)97.5108.6206.1-11.130%
vs Similar ◀ (16)106.8106.8213.6+0.138%
vs Weaker (4)114.2109.0223.2+5.275%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#18
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A02/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H03/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A06/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A08/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A10/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H12/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H14/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A27/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A30/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H02/11
NBA
105.6Avg total
55.1Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.953.4107.2+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.852.1104.9+0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)54.854.5109.3+0.344%-
Last 10 (10)55.150.5105.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)61.051.6112.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)48.452.2100.6-3.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)56.654.0110.6+2.655%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A31/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A01/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H09/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A14/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H30/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A31/10
NBA
110.0Avg total
54.3Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.453.1106.5+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.054.2107.2-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)53.951.9105.8+1.943%-
Last 10 (10)54.355.7110.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)53.255.6108.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)51.453.8105.2-2.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)53.952.6106.6+1.350%-
vs Weaker (4)56.253.5109.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.931.5
52.6%
50.2%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.48.0
39.2%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws25.919.4
74.9%
77.0%19.4
They take 80.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.728.7
47.3%
50.2%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.4
32.6%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.519.3
75.7%
77.0%19.3
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWLWWWLL
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLWLLLW
#24
League position
#17
+3.4
Net rating
-5.3
109.3
Offensive rating
101.8
105.9
Defensive rating
107.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
47.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.2%
3-point %
32.6%
65.3%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 101.8Defence105.9 · 107.1Shooting54.2% · 47.7%3-point %39.2% · 32.6%Ball care14.7% · 14.1%Off. rebounds24.7% · 24.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/16HMemphis Grizzlies116-80
30/10/16ASacramento Kings103-106
27/10/16AMemphis Grizzlies98-102
14/04/16HNew Orleans Pelicans144-109
12/04/16HHouston Rockets105-129
10/04/16APortland Trail Blazers106-105
08/04/16ASacramento Kings105-97
06/04/16AGolden State Warriors124-117 OT
03/04/16HDallas Mavericks78-88
02/04/16AUtah Jazz85-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/16AToronto Raptors102-105
30/10/16HPortland Trail Blazers113-115 OT
27/10/16ANew Orleans Pelicans107-102
14/04/16APortland Trail Blazers99-107
10/04/16HUtah Jazz84-100
09/04/16HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
06/04/16HOklahoma City Thunder102-124
03/04/16HSacramento Kings106-115
01/04/16ANew Orleans Pelicans95-101
31/03/16AMemphis Grizzlies109-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game105.7116.0100.5
Allowed / game96.080.0104.0
Point differential+9.7+36.0-3.5
Avg total201.7196.0204.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game107.3113.0104.5
Allowed / game107.3115.0103.5
Point differential+0.0-2.0+1.0
Avg total214.7228.0208.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %33%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers440100%111.099.5+11.5
2 Oklahoma City Thunder440100%103.596.5+7.0
3 San Antonio Spurs54180%105.295.6+9.6
4 Atlanta Hawks43175%110.097.2+12.8
5 Chicago Bulls43175%110.298.8+11.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers43175%100.291.0+9.2
7 Toronto Raptors43175%104.597.5+7.0
8 Charlotte Hornets43175%102.896.0+6.8
9 Boston Celtics43175%108.0105.0+3.0
10 Golden State Warriors43175%113.8111.8+2.0
11 Detroit Pistons53260%100.094.4+5.6
12 Utah Jazz53260%95.692.4+3.2
13 Houston Rockets53260%110.2107.4+2.8
14 Memphis Grizzlies53260%97.4102.2-4.8
15 Miami Heat42250%101.598.8+2.8
16 Indiana Pacers42250%110.0112.5-2.5
17 Milwaukee Bucks42250%101.5106.5-5.0
18 Los Angeles Lakers52340%107.2110.8-3.6
19 Brooklyn Nets52340%105.0109.0-4.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers52340%110.6115.2-4.6
21 Orlando Magic52340%96.4103.2-6.8
22 Minnesota Timberwolves31233%105.796.0+9.7
23 Denver Nuggets31233%107.3107.3+0.0
24 Sacramento Kings62433%99.7102.5-2.8
25 New York Knicks41325%96.8110.2-13.5
26 Phoenix Suns51420%104.0112.6-8.6
27 New Orleans Pelicans5050%98.2106.6-8.4
28 Dallas Mavericks4040%98.0106.5-8.5
29 Washington Wizards3030%101.7113.0-11.3
30 Philadelphia 76ers4040%90.8104.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves3724142499
Denver Nuggets25303314102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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