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Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 123-128
35-30 30-31 27-30 31-37
Position#6
Record12-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game123.8
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Position#27
Record3-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game124.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Sacramento Kings
25 Jan 2027
DEN v SAC
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
DEN123
SAC128
03 Nov 2025
DEN130
SAC124
05 Mar 2025
DEN116
SAC110
23 Jan 2025
DEN132
SAC123
28 Feb 2024
DEN117
SAC96
14 Feb 2024
DEN98
SAC102
09 Apr 2023
DEN109
SAC95
26 Feb 2022
DEN115
SAC110
07 Jan 2022
DEN121
SAC111
23 Dec 2020
DEN122
SAC124
11 Apr 2020
DEN v SAC
upcoming
29 Dec 2019
DEN120
SAC115
13 Feb 2019
DEN120
SAC118
23 Oct 2018
DEN126
SAC112
11 Mar 2018
DEN130
SAC104
21 Oct 2017
DEN96
SAC79
06 Mar 2017
DEN108
SAC96
03 Jan 2017
DEN113
SAC120
02 Apr 2016
DEN106
SAC115
23 Feb 2016
DEN110
SAC114
12 Apr 2015
DEN122
SAC111
03 Nov 2014
DEN105
SAC110
23 Feb 2014
DEN95
SAC109
23 Mar 2013
DEN101
SAC95
26 Jan 2013
DEN121
SAC93
05 Mar 2012
DEN119
SAC116
04 Jan 2012
DEN110
SAC83
30 Mar 2011
DEN104
SAC90
01 Jan 2011
DEN104
SAC86
01 Feb 2010
DEN112
SAC109
13 Apr 2009
DEN118
SAC98
20 Jan 2009
DEN118
SAC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento Kings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
130-124
130
124
+6
123avg 115
H04/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
122-112
122
112
+10
121avg 115
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
129-104
129
104
+25
133avg 115
H08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
117-100
117
100
+17
118avg 115
H09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
122-108
122
108
+14
118avg 115
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
130-116
130
116
+14
123avg 115
A13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
123-112
123
112
+11
122avg 115
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
127-130
127
130
-3
117avg 115
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-118
125
118
+7
128avg 115
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
112-109
112
109
+3
111avg 115
A22/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-30
33-33
32-30
26-31
36-33
32-27
33-26
21-26
32-21
34-28
33-28
30-27
31-18
25-29
39-35
22-18
33-34
27-22
25-26
37-26
39-35
24-33
43-22
24-26
29-31
26-29
32-26
36-26
28-30
36-33
29-40
34-27
26-30
36-28
35-25
28-35
25-12
21-37
34-29
32-31
237.0Avg total
123.7Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)123.8112.8236.6+11.080%
Season at home (7)125.7109.9235.6+15.986%
Season away (8)122.1115.4237.5+6.875%
Last 10 (10)123.7113.3237.0+10.490%
Last 5 (5)123.4117.0240.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar (14)116.2110.2226.4+6.079%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)123.3113.1236.4+10.267%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
124-130
124
130
-6
121avg 107
A04/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
121-116
121
116
+5
120avg 107
H06/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
101-132
101
132
-31
88avg 107
H08/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
117-144
117
144
-27
106avg 107
H10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
108-122
108
122
-14
101avg 107
H12/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
100-133
100
133
-33
81avg 107
H13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
110-124
110
124
-14
101avg 107
A15/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
110-123
110
123
-13
99avg 107
A16/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
99-113
99
113
-14
88avg 107
A20/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
96-137
96
137
-41
86avg 107
A21/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-39
33-33
30-32
31-26
25-32
32-30
35-23
29-31
32-30
24-40
27-28
18-34
25-31
29-40
30-40
33-33
34-33
22-27
26-25
26-37
34-37
12-29
22-39
32-28
30-35
31-26
30-31
19-32
24-36
35-31
26-28
25-28
25-27
25-31
19-25
30-30
22-35
25-40
29-38
20-24
236.0Avg total
108.6Scored
127.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)111.0124.4235.4-13.419%
Season at home (7)110.3125.4235.7-15.129%
Season away (9)111.6123.7235.2-12.111%
Last 10 (10)108.6127.4236.0-18.810%
Last 5 (5)103.0126.0229.0-23.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)109.4121.5230.9-12.112%
vs Similar (11)111.8116.9228.7-5.145%
vs Weaker (2)118.0109.0227.0+9.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -4.0-4.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -4.0-4.0
Denver NuggetsSacramento Kings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A22/11
NBA
118.5Avg total
61.2Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.357.0114.3+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.654.0112.6+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)56.159.6115.7-3.644%-
Last 10 (10)61.257.3118.5+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)58.059.6117.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar (14)57.556.6114.1+0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)62.255.2117.4+7.0100%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A04/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H06/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H08/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
54-71
54
71
-17
H10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H12/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
46-66
46
66
-20
H13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A15/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A16/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A20/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
47-75
47
75
-28
A21/11
NBA
121.1Avg total
54.9Scored
66.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.860.8117.6-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.359.8114.1-5.527%-
Last 30 away (15)59.461.7121.1-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)54.966.2121.1-11.30%-
Last 5 (5)52.665.4118.0-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)56.461.8118.2-5.418%-
vs Similar (11)56.960.8117.7-3.945%-
vs Weaker (2)60.052.0112.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 123.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.232.0
58.0%
54.8%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.3
37.3%
35.8%36.9
🏀 Free throws27.922.8
81.7%
78.1%22.8
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.028.5
50.9%
54.8%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.5
36.2%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws23.217.1
73.7%
78.1%17.1
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWWWWWW
Sacramento Kings
LLLLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#27
+10.3
Net rating
-18.0
121.9
Offensive rating
103.9
111.7
Defensive rating
121.9
57.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
12.3%
Turnover %
14.5%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
19.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.3%
3-point %
36.2%
65.7%
Assist %
65.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence121.9 · 103.9Defence111.7 · 121.9Shooting57.2% · 52.1%3-point %37.3% · 36.2%Ball care12.3% · 14.5%Off. rebounds28.4% · 19.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 10%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Sacramento Kings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Sacramento Kings wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25AHouston Rockets112-109
20/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-118
18/11/25HChicago Bulls127-130
16/11/25AMinnesota Timberwolves123-112
13/11/25ALos Angeles Clippers130-116
12/11/25ASacramento Kings122-108
09/11/25HIndiana Pacers117-100
08/11/25HGolden State Warriors129-104
06/11/25HMiami Heat122-112
04/11/25HSacramento Kings130-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies96-137
20/11/25AOklahoma City Thunder99-113
16/11/25ASan Antonio Spurs110-123
15/11/25AMinnesota Timberwolves110-124
13/11/25HAtlanta Hawks100-133
12/11/25HDenver Nuggets108-122
10/11/25HMinnesota Timberwolves117-144
08/11/25HOklahoma City Thunder101-132
06/11/25HGolden State Warriors121-116
04/11/25ADenver Nuggets124-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%86%75%
Points / game123.8125.7122.1
Allowed / game112.8109.9115.4
Point differential+11.0+15.9+6.8
Avg total236.6235.6237.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Sacramento Kings
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %19%29%11%
Points / game111.0110.3111.6
Allowed / game124.4125.4123.7
Point differential-13.4-15.1-12.1
Avg total235.4235.7235.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder1716194%122.6106.3+16.4
2 Detroit Pistons1614288%119.5112.4+7.1
3 Denver Nuggets1512380%123.8112.8+11.0
4 San Antonio Spurs1511473%119.3112.3+7.1
5 Los Angeles Lakers1511473%117.9115.2+2.7
6 Houston Rockets1410471%122.9112.5+10.4
7 Toronto Raptors1611569%121.1114.6+6.5
8 Cleveland Cavaliers1711665%119.9115.6+4.2
9 Minnesota Timberwolves1610662%120.1114.1+6.1
10 Miami Heat1610662%124.8119.0+5.8
11 Phoenix Suns1610662%119.0114.0+5.0
12 New York Knicks159660%120.8116.1+4.7
13 Philadelphia 76ers159660%118.4116.1+2.3
14 Orlando Magic1710759%117.6113.6+4.1
15 Atlanta Hawks1710759%117.6114.6+2.9
16 Chicago Bulls169756%120.8123.1-2.3
17 Boston Celtics168850%113.2108.8+4.4
18 Golden State Warriors189950%114.8114.9-0.1
19 Milwaukee Bucks178947%117.3119.6-2.3
20 Portland Trail Blazers167944%121.1122.5-1.4
21 Memphis Grizzlies1761135%112.1116.5-4.4
22 Utah Jazz1551033%118.9126.1-7.2
23 Los Angeles Clippers1651131%112.2117.1-4.8
24 Dallas Mavericks1851328%109.9116.0-6.1
25 Charlotte Hornets1641225%116.6120.9-4.3
26 Brooklyn Nets1531220%109.9120.2-10.3
27 Sacramento Kings1631319%111.0124.4-13.4
28 Indiana Pacers1621412%110.1122.9-12.8
29 New Orleans Pelicans1721512%108.6121.4-12.8
30 Washington Wizards161156%112.9129.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets35302731123
Sacramento Kings30313037128
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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