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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 109-112
12-25 37-21 29-34 31-32
Position#8
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game123.9
Allowed / game112.5
vs
Position#6
Record11-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game124.6
Allowed / game113.1
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU v DEN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
139-121
139
121
+18
143avg 107
A29/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
128-101
128
101
+27
134avg 107
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
110-102
110
102
+8
103avg 107
H04/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
124-109
124
109
+15
119avg 107
A06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
110-121
110
121
-11
103avg 107
A08/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-115
122
115
+7
118avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
135-112
135
112
+23
134avg 107
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
140-116
140
116
+24
128avg 107
H15/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
117-113 OT
117
113
+4
106avg 107
H17/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
114-104
114
104
+10
107avg 107
A20/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-30
31-33
36-28
33-30
37-24
29-24
31-24
31-29
24-28
34-27
23-23
29-24
34-22
26-29
34-29
30-29
25-23
25-28
32-35
28-35
28-30
22-31
32-24
40-30
38-29
43-25
22-33
32-25
41-32
28-28
36-31
35-25
23-30
23-25
31-25
25-22
33-19
24-21
17-30
40-34
235.3Avg total
123.9Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)123.9112.5236.5+11.477%
Season at home (6)125.0111.2236.2+13.883%
Season away (7)123.0113.7236.7+9.371%
Last 10 (10)123.9111.4235.3+12.590%
Last 5 (5)125.6112.0237.6+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)124.5118.0242.5+6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)110.1111.2221.2-1.141%
vs Weaker (11)128.9110.4239.3+18.5100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
107-109
107
109
-2
101avg 115
A01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
130-124
130
124
+6
123avg 115
H04/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
122-112
122
112
+10
121avg 115
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
129-104
129
104
+25
133avg 115
H08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
117-100
117
100
+17
118avg 115
H09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
122-108
122
108
+14
118avg 115
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
130-116
130
116
+14
123avg 115
A13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
123-112
123
112
+11
122avg 115
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
127-130
127
130
-3
117avg 115
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-118
125
118
+7
128avg 115
A20/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
31-35
24-18
26-38
39-30
33-33
32-30
26-31
36-33
32-27
33-26
21-26
32-21
34-28
33-28
30-27
31-18
25-29
39-35
22-18
33-34
27-22
25-26
37-26
39-35
24-33
43-22
24-26
29-31
26-29
32-26
36-26
28-30
36-33
29-40
34-27
26-30
36-28
35-25
28-35
236.5Avg total
123.2Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)124.6113.1237.7+11.679%
Season at home (7)125.7109.9235.6+15.986%
Season away (7)123.6116.3239.9+7.371%
Last 10 (10)123.2113.3236.5+9.980%
Last 5 (5)125.4116.8242.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar ◀ (14)116.6110.2226.8+6.479%
vs Weaker (9)123.3113.1236.4+10.267%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A29/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
66-48
66
48
+18
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H04/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A08/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A09/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
81-54
81
54
+27
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H15/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H17/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/11
NBA
114.5Avg total
60.7Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.653.6112.2+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.453.7114.1+6.764%-
Last 30 away (16)57.153.5110.6+3.669%-
Last 10 (10)60.753.8114.5+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)60.654.0114.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.052.0115.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)54.853.8108.6+1.153%-
vs Weaker (11)63.753.6117.4+10.182%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A20/11
NBA
120.0Avg total
62.3Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.557.3114.8+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.354.3112.6+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)56.760.3117.1-3.647%-
Last 10 (10)62.357.7120.0+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)60.861.0121.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)58.057.4115.4+0.643%-
vs Weaker (9)62.255.2117.4+7.0100%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 123.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.632.8
52.4%
54.8%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.512.7
43.1%
35.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws25.820.2
78.3%
78.1%20.2
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 123.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.932.3
57.8%
54.8%64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.8
36.2%
35.8%35.4
🏀 Free throws28.323.2
82.0%
78.1%23.2
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWWWLWWWW
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWWWWL
#8
League position
#6
+12.3
Net rating
+9.7
122.3
Offensive rating
120.8
110.0
Defensive rating
111.1
56.3%
Effective FG%
56.5%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.4%
39.7%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
43.1%
3-point %
36.2%
57.6%
Assist %
63.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence122.3 · 120.8Defence110.0 · 111.1Shooting56.3% · 56.5%3-point %43.1% · 36.2%Ball care14.5% · 12.4%Off. rebounds39.7% · 28.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Houston Rockets wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25ACleveland Cavaliers114-104
17/11/25HOrlando Magic117-113 OT
15/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers140-116
13/11/25HWashington Wizards135-112
09/11/25AMilwaukee Bucks122-115
08/11/25ASan Antonio Spurs110-121
06/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies124-109
04/11/25HDallas Mavericks110-102
02/11/25ABoston Celtics128-101
29/10/25AToronto Raptors139-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-118
18/11/25HChicago Bulls127-130
16/11/25AMinnesota Timberwolves123-112
13/11/25ALos Angeles Clippers130-116
12/11/25ASacramento Kings122-108
09/11/25HIndiana Pacers117-100
08/11/25HGolden State Warriors129-104
06/11/25HMiami Heat122-112
04/11/25HSacramento Kings130-124
01/11/25APortland Trail Blazers107-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game123.9125.0123.0
Allowed / game112.5111.2113.7
Point differential+11.4+13.8+9.3
Avg total236.5236.2236.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%50%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %15%17%14%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game124.6125.7123.6
Allowed / game113.1109.9116.3
Point differential+11.6+15.9+7.3
Avg total237.7235.6239.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%71%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder1615194%121.3105.9+15.4
2 Detroit Pistons1513287%118.9112.1+6.7
3 Denver Nuggets1411379%124.6113.1+11.6
4 Houston Rockets1310377%123.9112.5+11.4
5 San Antonio Spurs1511473%119.3112.3+7.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers1511473%117.9115.2+2.7
7 Toronto Raptors1611569%121.1114.6+6.5
8 Cleveland Cavaliers1711665%119.9115.6+4.2
9 New York Knicks149564%120.8114.9+5.9
10 Minnesota Timberwolves1610662%120.1114.1+6.1
11 Miami Heat1610662%124.8119.0+5.8
12 Phoenix Suns1610662%119.0114.0+5.0
13 Philadelphia 76ers159660%118.4116.1+2.3
14 Orlando Magic169756%116.7113.1+3.6
15 Atlanta Hawks169756%117.8115.7+2.1
16 Chicago Bulls158753%120.7123.3-2.5
17 Golden State Warriors179853%114.4114.2+0.2
18 Boston Celtics168850%113.2108.8+4.4
19 Milwaukee Bucks168850%117.4119.0-1.6
20 Portland Trail Blazers156940%120.7122.5-1.7
21 Utah Jazz145936%119.4124.9-5.4
22 Memphis Grizzlies1651131%112.8117.8-5.0
23 Dallas Mavericks1751229%110.8116.8-6.1
24 Charlotte Hornets1541127%116.6120.2-3.6
25 Los Angeles Clippers1541127%111.0117.1-6.1
26 Brooklyn Nets1531220%109.9120.2-10.3
27 Sacramento Kings1631319%111.0124.4-13.4
28 New Orleans Pelicans1621412%109.3121.8-12.5
29 Indiana Pacers1621412%110.1122.9-12.8
30 Washington Wizards151147%112.5129.7-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets12372931109
Denver Nuggets25213432112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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