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Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 113-120
28-29 23-31 37-34 25-26
Position#17
Record14-20
FormLWWLL
Points / game108.2
Allowed / game110.2
vs
Position#23
Record14-19
FormWWWLL
Points / game101.8
Allowed / game104.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Sacramento Kings
25 Jan 2027
DEN v SAC
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
DEN123
SAC128
03 Nov 2025
DEN130
SAC124
05 Mar 2025
DEN116
SAC110
23 Jan 2025
DEN132
SAC123
28 Feb 2024
DEN117
SAC96
14 Feb 2024
DEN98
SAC102
09 Apr 2023
DEN109
SAC95
26 Feb 2022
DEN115
SAC110
07 Jan 2022
DEN121
SAC111
23 Dec 2020
DEN122
SAC124
11 Apr 2020
DEN v SAC
upcoming
29 Dec 2019
DEN120
SAC115
13 Feb 2019
DEN120
SAC118
23 Oct 2018
DEN126
SAC112
11 Mar 2018
DEN130
SAC104
21 Oct 2017
DEN96
SAC79
06 Mar 2017
DEN108
SAC96
03 Jan 2017
DEN113
SAC120
02 Apr 2016
DEN106
SAC115
23 Feb 2016
DEN110
SAC114
12 Apr 2015
DEN122
SAC111
03 Nov 2014
DEN105
SAC110
23 Feb 2014
DEN95
SAC109
23 Mar 2013
DEN101
SAC95
26 Jan 2013
DEN121
SAC93
05 Mar 2012
DEN119
SAC116
04 Jan 2012
DEN110
SAC83
30 Mar 2011
DEN104
SAC90
01 Jan 2011
DEN104
SAC86
01 Feb 2010
DEN112
SAC109
13 Apr 2009
DEN118
SAC98
20 Jan 2009
DEN118
SAC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento Kings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
92-112
92
112
-20
82avg 97
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
132-120
132
120
+12
126avg 97
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
127-114
127
114
+13
118avg 97
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
117-107
117
107
+10
120avg 97
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-119
102
119
-17
90avg 97
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-109
108
109
-1
106avg 97
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 97
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
105-103
105
103
+2
103avg 97
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
122-124
122
124
-2
118avg 97
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
119-127
119
127
-8
113avg 97
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
24-38
24-27
25-20
38-28
36-28
26-29
32-35
33-22
29-32
34-26
31-34
28-31
32-27
33-27
24-22
26-36
27-32
19-27
30-24
29-29
26-22
27-31
26-27
23-23
40-23
16-31
27-25
22-31
27-18
32-24
24-30
28-30
32-30
27-31
35-33
33-35
31-33
21-26
34-33
226.7Avg total
113.0Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)108.2110.2218.4-2.041%
Season at home (16)112.7112.8225.4-0.144%
Season away (18)104.2107.9212.1-3.739%
Last 10 (10)113.0113.7226.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)112.0113.0225.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)110.0126.7236.7-16.70%
vs Similar (20)104.8108.1212.9-3.235%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)118.1111.9230.0+6.371%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
116-92
116
92
+24
112avg 96
H13/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
98-132
98
132
-34
87avg 96
A15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
96-92
96
92
+4
84avg 96
A17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
79-99
79
99
-20
68avg 96
A18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
126-121
126
121
+5
118avg 96
H21/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
94-93
94
93
+1
82avg 96
A22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
109-105
109
105
+4
104avg 96
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
102-100
102
100
+2
93avg 96
H27/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
89-102
89
102
-13
78avg 96
A29/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
98-112
98
112
-14
90avg 96
H31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
18-34
39-13
28-21
25-36
18-28
24-38
31-30
24-19
28-23
24-23
20-27
21-28
23-27
14-21
21-23
27-35
33-37
33-27
33-22
17-24
21-24
24-25
32-20
25-26
26-29
27-30
31-20
24-23
27-24
19-30
32-23
21-30
23-30
19-15
26-27
20-21
25-29
22-32
31-30
205.5Avg total
100.7Scored
104.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)101.8104.3206.0-2.542%
Season at home (14)105.5105.4210.9+0.150%
Season away (19)99.0103.4202.4-4.437%
Last 10 (10)100.7104.8205.5-4.160%
Last 5 (5)98.4102.4200.8-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)99.8106.2205.9-6.433%
vs Similar (18)102.7103.8206.4-1.144%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.2+4.2
Denver NuggetsSacramento Kings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
43-65
43
65
-22
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/01
NBA
115.8Avg total
58.3Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.655.3111.9+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.655.5113.1+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)55.655.1110.7+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)58.357.5115.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)58.254.8113.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.368.7128.0-9.30%-
vs Similar (20)55.353.8109.0+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)59.154.1113.3+5.057%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H13/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
43-64
43
64
-21
A15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
60-72
60
72
-12
H21/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H27/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A29/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H31/12
NBA
102.8Avg total
47.7Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.855.2105.0-5.423%-
Last 30 at home (12)52.156.8108.8-4.733%-
Last 30 away (18)48.354.2102.4-5.917%-
Last 10 (10)47.755.1102.8-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)45.852.097.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)48.656.2104.8-7.617%-
vs Similar (18)50.654.6105.2-3.928%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.030.9
55.2%
50.2%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.5
35.8%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws25.619.7
77.0%
77.0%19.7
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 100.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.226.6
50.0%
50.2%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.8
37.1%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.918.1
75.7%
77.0%18.1
They take 79.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWLLWWWL
Sacramento Kings
LLWWWWLWLW
#17
League position
#23
-0.7
Net rating
-4.4
115.2
Offensive rating
107.2
115.9
Defensive rating
111.5
54.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.8%
3-point %
37.1%
64.3%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 107.2Defence115.9 · 111.5Shooting54.7% · 51.9%3-point %35.8% · 37.1%Ball care13.4% · 14.3%Off. rebounds27.9% · 22.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Sacramento Kings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Sacramento Kings wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/17AGolden State Warriors119-127
31/12/16HPhiladelphia 76ers122-124
29/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves105-103
27/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers106-102
24/12/16HAtlanta Hawks108-109
21/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers102-119
20/12/16HDallas Mavericks117-107
18/12/16HNew York Knicks127-114
16/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers132-120
13/12/16ADallas Mavericks92-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/16HMemphis Grizzlies98-112
29/12/16APortland Trail Blazers89-102
27/12/16HPhiladelphia 76ers102-100
24/12/16AMinnesota Timberwolves109-105
22/12/16AUtah Jazz94-93
21/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers126-121
18/12/16ADallas Mavericks79-99
17/12/16AMemphis Grizzlies96-92
15/12/16AHouston Rockets98-132
13/12/16HLos Angeles Lakers116-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL41%
HomeWWLWL44%
AwayWLLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %41%44%39%
Points / game108.2112.7104.2
Allowed / game110.2112.8107.9
Point differential-2.0-0.1-3.7
Avg total218.4225.4212.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%31%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)29% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %9%19%0%
Sacramento Kings
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL42%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLWWL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331419
Win %42%50%37%
Points / game101.8105.599.0
Allowed / game104.3105.4103.4
Point differential-2.5+0.1-4.4
Avg total206.0210.9202.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)67% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %9%0%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3530586%117.3104.7+12.6
2 San Antonio Spurs3528780%105.597.8+7.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3326779%110.3103.0+7.3
4 Houston Rockets3627975%114.6106.7+7.9
5 Toronto Raptors34231168%110.3103.4+6.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers37231462%108.0102.9+5.1
7 Utah Jazz36221461%99.195.1+4.0
8 Memphis Grizzlies36221461%98.697.6+0.9
9 Boston Celtics35211460%106.4104.3+2.1
10 Oklahoma City Thunder35211460%106.0104.4+1.6
11 Charlotte Hornets35191654%105.1103.0+2.1
12 Atlanta Hawks34181653%102.3103.9-1.6
13 Milwaukee Bucks33171652%104.9102.4+2.5
14 Indiana Pacers36181850%104.9106.1-1.1
15 Chicago Bulls35171849%101.0100.9+0.1
16 Washington Wizards34161847%105.2106.2-1.0
17 New York Knicks34161847%105.4108.5-3.1
18 Orlando Magic36162044%99.4103.4-4.0
19 Detroit Pistons37162143%99.299.3-0.1
20 Sacramento Kings33141942%101.8104.3-2.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers36152142%107.3110.9-3.6
22 Denver Nuggets34142041%108.2110.2-2.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans36142239%102.3105.5-3.2
24 Los Angeles Lakers37122532%104.2110.4-6.2
25 Minnesota Timberwolves35112431%103.3105.0-1.6
26 Dallas Mavericks35112431%95.6100.7-5.1
27 Miami Heat35102529%98.4101.9-3.5
28 Phoenix Suns35102529%105.9112.8-6.9
29 Philadelphia 76ers3392427%98.8106.1-7.2
30 Brooklyn Nets3382524%105.5114.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28233725113
Sacramento Kings29313426120
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