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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 112-123
31-29 29-26 26-32 26-36
Position#10
Record8-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game121.4
Allowed / game115.2
vs
Position#6
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game124.5
Allowed / game111.2
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
114-110
114
110
+4
104avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
114-127
114
127
-13
98avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
115-116
115
116
-1
110avg 108
H30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
122-105
122
105
+17
119avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
125-109
125
109
+16
133avg 108
A04/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
114-137
114
137
-23
108avg 108
A06/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
137-97
137
97
+40
141avg 108
H08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
144-117
144
117
+27
138avg 108
A10/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
120-113
120
113
+7
112avg 108
A11/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
124-110
124
110
+14
121avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
30-32
28-17
28-33
30-34
35-23
29-45
20-25
34-32
24-30
28-35
29-19
25-31
25-25
36-18
36-31
28-28
35-31
28-29
34-21
26-28
32-26
28-40
28-43
43-15
36-30
25-22
33-30
31-25
40-29
40-30
33-33
26-30
27-25
40-25
27-33
35-30
26-31
31-30
32-19
237.0Avg total
122.9Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)121.4115.2236.7+6.267%
Season at home (5)120.8112.0232.8+8.860%
Season away (7)121.9117.6239.4+4.371%
Last 10 (10)122.9114.1237.0+8.870%
Last 5 (5)127.8114.8242.6+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)111.3120.3231.7-9.017%
vs Similar ◀ (16)112.6107.9220.5+4.869%
vs Weaker (8)124.6106.5231.1+18.1100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
133-111
133
111
+22
133avg 114
H26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
127-114
127
114
+13
122avg 114
A28/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-88
122
88
+34
133avg 114
H30/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
107-109
107
109
-2
101avg 114
A01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
130-124
130
124
+6
123avg 114
H04/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
122-112
122
112
+10
121avg 114
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
129-104
129
104
+25
133avg 114
H08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
117-100
117
100
+17
118avg 114
H09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
122-108
122
108
+14
118avg 114
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
130-116
130
116
+14
123avg 114
A13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
37-26
29-29
33-28
34-30
23-35
45-29
25-20
34-25
19-22
39-11
30-30
26-18
31-35
24-18
26-38
39-30
33-33
32-30
26-31
36-33
32-27
33-26
21-26
32-21
34-28
33-28
30-27
31-18
25-29
39-35
22-18
33-34
27-22
25-26
37-26
39-35
24-33
43-22
24-26
232.5Avg total
123.9Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)124.5111.2235.7+13.482%
Season at home (6)125.5106.5232.0+19.0100%
Season away (5)123.4116.8240.2+6.660%
Last 10 (10)123.9108.6232.5+15.390%
Last 5 (5)124.0108.0232.0+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar ◀ (16)116.1111.9227.9+4.269%
vs Weaker (7)122.6110.0232.6+12.671%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +8.8+8.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +8.8+8.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H26/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A01/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A04/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A06/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
79-45
79
45
+34
H08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A10/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A11/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H15/11
NBA
117.9Avg total
61.6Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.654.7111.3+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.152.7111.9+6.457%-
Last 30 away (16)54.456.4110.9-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)61.656.3117.9+5.350%-
Last 5 (5)64.453.8118.2+10.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)52.854.5107.3-1.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)55.254.9110.1+0.238%-
vs Weaker (8)62.454.4116.8+8.062%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A28/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H30/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A13/11
NBA
118.5Avg total
62.3Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.957.5115.3+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.454.2112.6+4.260%-
Last 30 away (15)57.360.7118.1-3.447%-
Last 10 (10)62.356.2118.5+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)62.656.0118.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.358.0117.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker (7)62.053.7115.7+8.3100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 122.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.129.5
58.9%
54.8%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.814.2
39.7%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws27.321.3
78.0%
78.1%21.3
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 123.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.533.2
59.8%
54.8%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.5
35.0%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws27.423.0
83.9%
78.1%23.0
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWWLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWLWWW
#10
League position
#6
+8.6
Net rating
+15.1
119.5
Offensive rating
122.3
110.9
Defensive rating
107.2
59.1%
Effective FG%
57.1%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
14.3%
Turnover %
12.7%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.7%
3-point %
35.0%
62.9%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence119.5 · 122.3Defence110.9 · 107.2Shooting59.1% · 57.1%3-point %39.7% · 35.0%Ball care14.3% · 12.7%Off. rebounds24.4% · 30.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HSacramento Kings124-110
11/11/25AUtah Jazz120-113
10/11/25ASacramento Kings144-117
08/11/25HUtah Jazz137-97
06/11/25ANew York Knicks114-137
04/11/25ABrooklyn Nets125-109
01/11/25ACharlotte Hornets122-105
30/10/25HLos Angeles Lakers115-116
28/10/25HDenver Nuggets114-127
26/10/25HIndiana Pacers114-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25ALos Angeles Clippers130-116
12/11/25ASacramento Kings122-108
09/11/25HIndiana Pacers117-100
08/11/25HGolden State Warriors129-104
06/11/25HMiami Heat122-112
04/11/25HSacramento Kings130-124
01/11/25APortland Trail Blazers107-109
30/10/25HNew Orleans Pelicans122-88
28/10/25AMinnesota Timberwolves127-114
26/10/25HPhoenix Suns133-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%60%71%
Points / game121.4120.8121.9
Allowed / game115.2112.0117.6
Point differential+6.2+8.8+4.3
Avg total236.7232.8239.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%40%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game124.5125.5123.4
Allowed / game111.2106.5116.8
Point differential+13.4+19.0+6.6
Avg total235.7232.0240.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%83%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder1413193%121.6106.2+15.4
2 Detroit Pistons1311285%118.2112.2+6.0
3 Denver Nuggets119282%124.5111.2+13.4
4 Houston Rockets118373%125.5113.3+12.2
5 Los Angeles Lakers139469%116.1115.9+0.2
6 New York Knicks128467%122.1115.2+6.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves128467%121.4115.2+6.2
8 San Antonio Spurs128467%118.4112.2+6.2
9 Cleveland Cavaliers149564%121.1116.9+4.2
10 Phoenix Suns138562%118.5113.6+4.9
11 Toronto Raptors138562%120.5115.7+4.8
12 Atlanta Hawks138562%117.1113.4+3.7
13 Milwaukee Bucks138562%120.2118.8+1.5
14 Philadelphia 76ers127558%119.2116.6+2.7
15 Golden State Warriors148657%115.1114.6+0.5
16 Chicago Bulls116555%118.6118.9-0.3
17 Miami Heat137654%125.3122.2+3.2
18 Orlando Magic137654%115.7113.8+1.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers126650%120.6120.8-0.2
20 Boston Celtics136746%113.2108.5+4.7
21 Los Angeles Clippers124833%111.5116.4-4.9
22 Utah Jazz124833%116.3121.8-5.4
23 Charlotte Hornets134931%117.2120.5-3.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies1441029%111.9119.8-7.9
25 Dallas Mavericks1331023%109.2115.8-6.5
26 Sacramento Kings1331023%113.2124.5-11.3
27 New Orleans Pelicans1221017%108.4121.3-12.9
28 Brooklyn Nets121118%108.9123.2-14.3
29 Washington Wizards121118%113.5129.7-16.2
30 Indiana Pacers131128%108.7123.2-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves31292626112
Denver Nuggets29263236123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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