PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 108-96
25-24 32-26 33-23 18-23
Position#17
Record28-34
FormWLWWL
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game111.4
vs
Position#23
Record25-37
FormWLLLL
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game105.6
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Sacramento Kings
25 Jan 2027
DEN v SAC
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
DEN123
SAC128
03 Nov 2025
DEN130
SAC124
05 Mar 2025
DEN116
SAC110
23 Jan 2025
DEN132
SAC123
28 Feb 2024
DEN117
SAC96
14 Feb 2024
DEN98
SAC102
09 Apr 2023
DEN109
SAC95
26 Feb 2022
DEN115
SAC110
07 Jan 2022
DEN121
SAC111
23 Dec 2020
DEN122
SAC124
11 Apr 2020
DEN v SAC
upcoming
29 Dec 2019
DEN120
SAC115
13 Feb 2019
DEN120
SAC118
23 Oct 2018
DEN126
SAC112
11 Mar 2018
DEN130
SAC104
21 Oct 2017
DEN96
SAC79
06 Mar 2017
DEN108
SAC96
03 Jan 2017
DEN113
SAC120
02 Apr 2016
DEN106
SAC115
23 Feb 2016
DEN110
SAC114
12 Apr 2015
DEN122
SAC111
03 Nov 2014
DEN105
SAC110
23 Feb 2014
DEN95
SAC109
23 Mar 2013
DEN101
SAC95
26 Jan 2013
DEN121
SAC93
05 Mar 2012
DEN119
SAC116
04 Jan 2012
DEN110
SAC83
30 Mar 2011
DEN104
SAC90
01 Jan 2011
DEN104
SAC86
01 Feb 2010
DEN112
SAC109
13 Apr 2009
DEN118
SAC98
20 Jan 2009
DEN118
SAC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento Kings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#25
W
131-123
131
123
+8
128avg 101
A11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
109-125
109
125
-16
94avg 101
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
132-110
132
110
+22
138avg 101
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
99-112
99
112
-13
88avg 101
H16/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
100-116
100
116
-16
90avg 101
A24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
129-109
129
109
+20
126avg 101
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
98-105
98
105
-7
90avg 101
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
125-107
125
107
+18
127avg 101
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
110-98
110
98
+12
104avg 101
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
102-112
102
112
-10
96avg 101
H05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-32
30-34
36-22
31-35
33-28
22-31
23-33
31-33
42-30
37-24
28-31
25-25
31-32
29-30
19-23
20-27
26-29
18-32
26-26
30-29
30-25
34-28
37-22
28-34
19-22
28-28
21-18
30-37
22-25
34-34
35-24
34-24
32-15
31-22
23-29
24-32
23-31
29-30
27-29
23-22
225.2Avg total
113.5Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)110.6111.4222.1-0.845%
Season at home (31)113.6111.5225.2+2.152%
Season away (31)107.6111.4219.0-3.739%
Last 10 (10)113.5111.7225.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)112.8106.2219.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)110.2120.6230.8-10.420%
vs Similar (15)110.6108.9219.5+1.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)121.3117.7239.0+3.660%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
108-92
108
92
+16
102avg 95
H09/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
108-107
108
107
+1
103avg 95
H11/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
105-99
105
99
+6
102avg 95
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
97-96
97
96
+1
93avg 95
A15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
86-109
86
109
-23
76avg 95
A16/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
116-100
116
100
+16
113avg 95
H24/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
85-99
85
99
-14
74avg 95
H25/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
88-102
88
102
-14
80avg 95
H28/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
100-109
100
109
-9
84avg 95
H02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
109-110 OT
109
110
-1
101avg 95
H05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
30-21
28-22
31-21
17-28
26-31
31-25
34-23
23-29
30-27
23-17
29-26
29-23
14-18
27-23
27-32
25-28
25-19
15-42
21-20
29-26
32-18
26-26
29-30
19-24
21-27
18-28
27-20
25-20
19-40
21-17
23-25
31-35
23-22
18-24
28-28
31-25
28-20
22-24
16-28
202.5Avg total
100.2Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)102.7105.6208.3-2.940%
Season at home (32)104.6105.9210.5-1.341%
Season away (30)100.7105.2205.9-4.540%
Last 10 (10)100.2102.3202.5-2.150%
Last 5 (5)99.6104.0203.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)104.9108.3213.1-3.440%
vs Similar (15)102.3106.1208.5-3.833%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
Denver NuggetsSacramento Kings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#25
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H16/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-37
63
37
+26
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H05/03
NBA
114.6Avg total
58.4Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.656.7115.3+1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.254.5113.7+4.750%-
Last 30 away (14)57.959.1117.1-1.221%-
Last 10 (10)58.456.2114.6+2.230%-
Last 5 (5)56.452.0108.4+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.859.0119.8+1.820%-
vs Similar (15)57.454.3111.7+3.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)59.359.1118.4+0.240%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H09/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H11/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A16/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H24/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H25/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H28/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H05/03
NBA
100.5Avg total
49.6Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.652.5103.1-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (19)49.953.7103.6-3.821%-
Last 30 away (11)51.950.3102.2+1.673%-
Last 10 (10)49.650.9100.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)51.651.4103.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)50.851.7102.5-0.947%-
vs Similar (15)50.553.2103.7-2.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.029.4
53.5%
50.2%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.713.2
39.2%
35.7%39.6
🏀 Free throws19.015.1
79.5%
77.0%15.1
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 100.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.927.9
48.2%
50.2%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.6
40.3%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.615.6
79.6%
77.0%15.6
They take 81.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWLLWLW
Sacramento Kings
LLLLWLWWWW
#17
League position
#23
+1.8
Net rating
-2.1
114.9
Offensive rating
102.5
113.1
Defensive rating
104.6
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.2%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
18.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.2%
3-point %
40.3%
61.3%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 102.5Defence113.1 · 104.6Shooting55.5% · 51.8%3-point %39.2% · 40.3%Ball care14.8% · 16.2%Off. rebounds28.7% · 18.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Sacramento Kings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Denver Nuggets wins
8
Sacramento Kings wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/17HCharlotte Hornets102-112
02/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks110-98
01/03/17AChicago Bulls125-107
26/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies98-105
25/02/17HBrooklyn Nets129-109
24/02/17ASacramento Kings100-116
16/02/17HMinnesota Timberwolves99-112
14/02/17HGolden State Warriors132-110
12/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers109-125
11/02/17ANew York Knicks131-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/17HUtah Jazz109-110 OT
02/03/17HBrooklyn Nets100-109
28/02/17HMinnesota Timberwolves88-102
25/02/17HCharlotte Hornets85-99
24/02/17HDenver Nuggets116-100
16/02/17AGolden State Warriors86-109
15/02/17ALos Angeles Lakers97-96
13/02/17HNew Orleans Pelicans105-99
11/02/17HAtlanta Hawks108-107
09/02/17HBoston Celtics108-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL45%
HomeWLWLL52%
AwayWLLWW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623131
Win %45%52%39%
Points / game110.6113.6107.6
Allowed / game111.4111.5111.4
Point differential-0.8+2.1-3.7
Avg total222.1225.2219.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%39%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)38% (8)38% (8)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Sacramento Kings
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeWLLLL41%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623230
Win %40%41%40%
Points / game102.7104.6100.7
Allowed / game105.6105.9105.2
Point differential-2.9-1.3-4.5
Avg total208.3210.5205.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%12%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (26)46% (13)62% (13)
Overtime %11%6%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors63521183%117.5105.4+12.1
2 San Antonio Spurs62491379%106.698.4+8.2
3 Houston Rockets64442069%115.2108.3+6.9
4 Cleveland Cavaliers62422068%110.8106.5+4.3
5 Boston Celtics63402363%108.0105.4+2.5
6 Utah Jazz63392462%100.596.2+4.3
7 Washington Wizards61372461%108.0105.6+2.3
8 Los Angeles Clippers62372560%107.8104.9+2.9
9 Toronto Raptors63372659%107.9104.0+3.9
10 Memphis Grizzlies64362856%101.4100.5+0.9
11 Oklahoma City Thunder63352856%106.1106.2-0.1
12 Atlanta Hawks63342954%103.8104.7-0.9
13 Indiana Pacers63323151%104.9105.9-1.0
14 Detroit Pistons63313249%102.1102.1+0.0
15 Chicago Bulls63313249%102.4103.2-0.8
16 Miami Heat64303447%102.2101.9+0.4
17 Milwaukee Bucks62293347%105.2105.0+0.3
18 Denver Nuggets62283445%110.6111.4-0.8
19 Charlotte Hornets63283544%104.8104.3+0.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers61263543%107.9110.2-2.3
21 Dallas Mavericks62263642%97.999.7-1.7
22 New York Knicks64263841%105.8108.7-2.9
23 Minnesota Timberwolves62253740%104.8105.1-0.3
24 Sacramento Kings62253740%102.7105.6-2.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans63253840%103.1106.3-3.2
26 Philadelphia 76ers63234037%101.7107.9-6.1
27 Orlando Magic64234136%100.0105.9-6.0
28 Phoenix Suns63214233%107.5112.5-5.0
29 Los Angeles Lakers63194430%103.9110.8-6.9
30 Brooklyn Nets62115118%105.7114.3-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets25323318108
Sacramento Kings2426232396
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.