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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 129-104
32-21 34-28 33-28 30-27
Position#6
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game124.6
Allowed / game113.6
vs
Position#20
Record5-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game117.4
Allowed / game115.3
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-112
105
112
-7
91avg 114
A14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
119-107
119
107
+12
118avg 114
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
93-125
93
125
-32
83avg 114
A18/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
131-137 OT
131
137
-6
128avg 114
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
133-111
133
111
+22
133avg 114
H26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
127-114
127
114
+13
122avg 114
A28/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-88
122
88
+34
133avg 114
H30/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
107-109
107
109
-2
101avg 114
A01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
130-124
130
124
+6
123avg 114
H04/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
122-112
122
112
+10
121avg 114
H06/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
28-27
30-24
19-34
31-28
27-33
32-21
29-25
26-21
20-39
26-37
21-28
31-27
39-34
24-33
26-26
34-28
37-26
29-29
33-28
34-30
23-35
45-29
25-20
34-25
19-22
39-11
30-30
26-18
31-35
24-18
26-38
39-30
33-33
32-30
26-31
36-33
32-27
33-26
21-26
232.8Avg total
118.9Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)124.6113.6238.1+11.071%
Season at home (4)126.8108.8235.5+18.0100%
Season away (3)121.7120.0241.7+1.733%
Last 10 (10)118.9113.9232.8+5.060%
Last 5 (5)121.6109.4231.0+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar (17)117.2113.6230.8+3.665%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)120.8110.7231.5+10.250%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
68avg 105
H08/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
119-109
119
109
+10
119avg 105
A22/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
137-131 OT
137
131
+6
130avg 105
H24/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
119-139
119
139
-20
112avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
131-118
131
118
+13
133avg 105
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
98-79
98
79
+19
91avg 105
H29/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
110-120
110
120
-10
103avg 105
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
109-114
109
114
-5
100avg 105
A01/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
118-107
118
107
+11
118avg 105
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
116-121
116
121
-5
110avg 105
A06/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
14-25
21-22
22-23
28-22
27-32
35-25
29-30
27-31
34-39
33-24
26-26
28-28
28-41
35-34
28-36
36-37
29-24
36-24
30-33
33-25
13-24
32-14
20-16
25-34
33-26
26-27
26-33
32-28
26-25
30-29
21-32
33-19
35-30
24-34
26-24
32-25
30-32
23-35
31-29
226.7Avg total
113.6Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)117.4115.3232.8+2.156%
Season at home (4)121.0108.8229.8+12.2100%
Season away (5)114.6120.6235.2-6.020%
Last 10 (10)113.6113.1226.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)110.2108.2218.4+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)101.7102.7204.3-1.067%
vs Similar (20)105.8107.2212.9-1.445%
vs Weaker (7)116.1109.7225.9+6.443%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A18/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A28/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H30/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H06/11
NBA
118.6Avg total
60.8Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.457.8115.2-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.955.6113.6+2.359%-
Last 30 away (13)56.760.5117.2-3.846%-
Last 10 (10)60.857.8118.6+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)61.457.6119.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar (17)59.257.4116.6+1.859%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)60.556.2116.7+4.383%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H08/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A22/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H24/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H29/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A01/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A06/11
NBA
113.5Avg total
56.5Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.152.5104.6-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.152.7104.8-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)52.252.2104.4+0.057%-
Last 10 (10)56.557.0113.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)58.453.6112.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)45.353.799.0-8.30%-
vs Similar (20)50.852.4103.1-1.645%-
vs Weaker (7)59.052.3111.3+6.771%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.631.6
59.0%
54.8%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.511.6
31.8%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws24.520.9
85.3%
78.1%20.9
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.7
54.4%
54.8%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.015.4
37.6%
35.8%46.2
🏀 Free throws23.520.0
85.1%
78.1%20.0
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWWLLWL
Golden State Warriors
LWLLWWLWWL
#6
League position
#20
+4.8
Net rating
+0.7
115.2
Offensive rating
111.6
110.4
Defensive rating
110.9
54.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.8%
3-point %
37.6%
64.6%
Assist %
70.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 111.6Defence110.4 · 110.9Shooting54.4% · 55.3%3-point %31.8% · 37.6%Ball care14.1% · 16.2%Off. rebounds28.6% · 22.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25HMiami Heat122-112
04/11/25HSacramento Kings130-124
01/11/25APortland Trail Blazers107-109
30/10/25HNew Orleans Pelicans122-88
28/10/25AMinnesota Timberwolves127-114
26/10/25HPhoenix Suns133-111
24/10/25AGolden State Warriors131-137 OT
18/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder93-125
16/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder119-107
14/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder105-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25ASacramento Kings116-121
05/11/25HPhoenix Suns118-107
01/11/25AIndiana Pacers109-114
31/10/25AMilwaukee Bucks110-120
29/10/25HLos Angeles Clippers98-79
28/10/25HMemphis Grizzlies131-118
25/10/25APortland Trail Blazers119-139
24/10/25HDenver Nuggets137-131 OT
22/10/25ALos Angeles Lakers119-109
08/07/25HMiami Heat79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game124.6126.8121.7
Allowed / game113.6108.8120.0
Point differential+11.0+18.0+1.7
Avg total238.1235.5241.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%100%20%
Points / game117.4121.0114.6
Allowed / game115.3108.8120.6
Point differential+2.1+12.2-6.0
Avg total232.8229.8235.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder98189%122.2110.7+11.6
2 Detroit Pistons97278%116.7110.8+5.9
3 Los Angeles Lakers97278%119.6116.6+3.0
4 San Antonio Spurs86275%118.2109.6+8.6
5 Chicago Bulls86275%119.1116.9+2.2
6 Denver Nuggets75271%124.6113.6+11.0
7 Cleveland Cavaliers96367%119.9114.8+5.1
8 Milwaukee Bucks96367%120.6118.1+2.4
9 Houston Rockets85362%122.9112.9+10.0
10 New York Knicks85362%118.9113.6+5.2
11 Philadelphia 76ers85362%123.2119.2+4.0
12 Portland Trail Blazers85362%120.4117.8+2.6
13 Miami Heat95456%122.8116.6+6.2
14 Toronto Raptors95456%119.2115.7+3.6
15 Minnesota Timberwolves95456%118.8115.9+2.9
16 Golden State Warriors95456%117.4115.3+2.1
17 Orlando Magic94544%117.0116.8+0.2
18 Phoenix Suns94544%116.7118.2-1.6
19 Atlanta Hawks94544%114.4116.4-2.0
20 Boston Celtics104640%113.0110.7+2.3
21 Memphis Grizzlies104640%115.1119.1-4.0
22 Sacramento Kings83538%116.9120.4-3.5
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%110.5115.1-4.6
24 Charlotte Hornets93633%119.0121.0-2.0
25 Utah Jazz93633%112.1120.1-8.0
26 New Orleans Pelicans82625%107.9120.8-12.9
27 Dallas Mavericks92722%106.0114.2-8.2
28 Indiana Pacers81712%111.6119.5-7.9
29 Brooklyn Nets91811%111.3124.6-13.2
30 Washington Wizards91811%112.2130.3-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets32343330129
Golden State Warriors21282827104
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