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Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 106-115
27-23 35-32 26-29 18-31
Position#22
Record32-45
FormWLLWL
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game104.7
vs
Position#21
Record30-46
FormWWLWL
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game109.1
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Sacramento Kings
25 Jan 2027
DEN v SAC
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
DEN123
SAC128
03 Nov 2025
DEN130
SAC124
05 Mar 2025
DEN116
SAC110
23 Jan 2025
DEN132
SAC123
28 Feb 2024
DEN117
SAC96
14 Feb 2024
DEN98
SAC102
09 Apr 2023
DEN109
SAC95
26 Feb 2022
DEN115
SAC110
07 Jan 2022
DEN121
SAC111
23 Dec 2020
DEN122
SAC124
11 Apr 2020
DEN v SAC
upcoming
29 Dec 2019
DEN120
SAC115
13 Feb 2019
DEN120
SAC118
23 Oct 2018
DEN126
SAC112
11 Mar 2018
DEN130
SAC104
21 Oct 2017
DEN96
SAC79
06 Mar 2017
DEN108
SAC96
03 Jan 2017
DEN113
SAC120
02 Apr 2016
DEN106
SAC115
23 Feb 2016
DEN110
SAC114
12 Apr 2015
DEN122
SAC111
03 Nov 2014
DEN105
SAC110
23 Feb 2014
DEN95
SAC109
23 Mar 2013
DEN101
SAC95
26 Jan 2013
DEN121
SAC93
05 Mar 2012
DEN119
SAC116
04 Jan 2012
DEN110
SAC83
30 Mar 2011
DEN104
SAC90
01 Jan 2011
DEN104
SAC86
01 Feb 2010
DEN112
SAC109
13 Apr 2009
DEN118
SAC98
20 Jan 2009
DEN118
SAC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento Kings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
110-116
110
116
-6
103avg 93
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
98-116
98
116
-18
86avg 93
A18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
101-93
101
93
+8
91avg 93
A19/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
91-124
91
124
-33
76avg 93
A21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
104-103
104
103
+1
96avg 93
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
116-105
116
105
+11
111avg 93
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-105
90
105
-15
76avg 93
A27/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
88-97
88
97
-9
87avg 93
H29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
109-105
109
105
+4
106avg 93
A31/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
95-101
95
101
-6
89avg 93
A01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
21-29
33-24
31-31
23-33
25-21
28-33
22-29
28-22
29-18
21-22
23-31
23-38
25-18
24-31
19-37
24-35
29-10
22-28
29-30
24-31
34-15
25-31
33-28
26-31
22-21
12-25
30-28
24-28
22-22
20-22
22-25
26-20
33-27
25-21
25-37
26-31
28-25
24-21
17-24
206.7Avg total
100.2Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)102.1104.7206.8-2.642%
Season at home (37)104.2105.6209.9-1.446%
Season away (40)100.2103.9204.1-3.838%
Last 10 (10)100.2106.5206.7-6.340%
Last 5 (5)99.6102.6202.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)98.5105.1203.6-6.630%
vs Similar ◀ (15)107.4105.2212.6+2.253%
vs Weaker (5)112.2108.2220.4+4.060%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
108-123
108
123
-15
97avg 99
H17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
108-115
108
115
-7
99avg 99
A18/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
88-80
88
80
+8
78avg 99
A20/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
102-109
102
109
-7
96avg 99
A22/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
104-113
104
113
-9
89avg 99
A24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
116-94
116
94
+22
111avg 99
H26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
133-111
133
111
+22
136avg 99
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
93-105
93
105
-12
78avg 99
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
120-111
120
111
+9
116avg 99
H31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
106-112
106
112
-6
92avg 99
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-33
22-41
30-24
25-25
25-39
29-28
29-20
25-28
28-12
22-35
19-18
19-15
26-30
25-29
30-23
21-27
29-28
19-22
24-34
32-29
25-27
33-21
31-19
27-27
25-20
38-26
39-33
31-32
32-37
20-31
11-23
30-14
32-34
28-21
29-28
31-28
24-39
24-27
28-26
30-20
215.1Avg total
107.8Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)106.9109.1215.9-2.239%
Season at home (38)107.7108.5216.2-0.845%
Season away (38)106.0109.6215.6-3.634%
Last 10 (10)107.8107.3215.1+0.540%
Last 5 (5)113.6106.6220.2+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)104.9116.4221.3-11.60%
vs Similar ◀ (17)107.6108.6216.2-0.941%
vs Weaker (4)113.8107.5221.2+6.275%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
Denver NuggetsSacramento Kings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A19/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A31/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A01/04
NBA
102.4Avg total
51.7Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.452.4105.8+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.752.8106.5+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)53.252.1105.2+1.141%-
Last 10 (10)51.750.7102.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)53.050.2103.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)52.251.7103.9+0.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.752.4106.1+1.347%-
vs Weaker (5)54.853.8108.6+1.040%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
53-74
53
74
-21
H17/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A18/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A20/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A22/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
63-46
63
46
+17
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
48-66
48
66
-18
H02/04
NBA
111.7Avg total
53.7Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.057.4111.4-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.357.2112.5-1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)52.957.6110.4-4.731%-
Last 10 (10)53.758.0111.7-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)56.256.6112.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)52.060.8112.8-8.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)54.656.4110.9-1.841%-
vs Weaker (4)56.054.2110.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 100.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.228.2
47.6%
49.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
35.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.617.7
78.3%
75.5%17.7
They take 83.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 107.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.533.7
50.7%
49.0%67.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.5
36.9%
35.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.117.9
74.3%
75.5%17.9
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWWLWLL
Sacramento Kings
LWLWWLLWLL
#22
League position
#21
-6.5
Net rating
+0.5
103.7
Offensive rating
107.2
110.3
Defensive rating
106.7
49.7%
Effective FG%
51.8%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.5%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.6%
3-point %
36.9%
61.8%
Assist %
57.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 107.2Defence110.3 · 106.7Shooting49.7% · 51.8%3-point %36.6% · 36.9%Ball care15.1% · 13.5%Off. rebounds25.0% · 24.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Sacramento Kings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Sacramento Kings wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/16ANew Orleans Pelicans95-101
31/03/16AMemphis Grizzlies109-105
29/03/16HDallas Mavericks88-97
27/03/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-105
26/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers116-105
24/03/16HPhiladelphia 76ers104-103
21/03/16ACleveland Cavaliers91-124
19/03/16ACharlotte Hornets101-93
18/03/16AAtlanta Hawks98-116
15/03/16AOrlando Magic110-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/16HMiami Heat106-112
31/03/16HWashington Wizards120-111
29/03/16APortland Trail Blazers93-105
27/03/16HDallas Mavericks133-111
26/03/16HPhoenix Suns116-94
24/03/16AMinnesota Timberwolves104-113
22/03/16AChicago Bulls102-109
20/03/16ANew York Knicks88-80
18/03/16ADetroit Pistons108-115
17/03/16HNew Orleans Pelicans108-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeWWWWL46%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773740
Win %42%46%38%
Points / game102.1104.2100.2
Allowed / game104.7105.6103.9
Point differential-2.6-1.4-3.8
Avg total206.8209.9204.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (27)62% (16)55% (11)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Sacramento Kings
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL39%
HomeLWWWL45%
AwayLWLLL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %39%45%34%
Points / game106.9107.7106.0
Allowed / game109.1108.5109.6
Point differential-2.2-0.8-3.6
Avg total215.9216.2215.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (20)50% (8)42% (12)
Overtime %4%3%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors7668889%115.0104.1+10.9
2 San Antonio Spurs76641284%104.292.6+11.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers76542271%104.098.0+6.0
4 Oklahoma City Thunder76532370%110.1102.7+7.4
5 Toronto Raptors76512567%102.898.5+4.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers75472863%104.6100.8+3.8
7 Charlotte Hornets75443159%103.1100.5+2.6
8 Miami Heat75443159%99.898.3+1.5
9 Atlanta Hawks77453258%102.999.2+3.8
10 Boston Celtics76443258%105.6102.4+3.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies76413554%99.1100.8-1.7
12 Detroit Pistons77413653%101.9101.2+0.7
13 Indiana Pacers76403653%101.8100.6+1.2
14 Portland Trail Blazers76403653%104.7103.9+0.7
15 Utah Jazz76383850%97.896.1+1.8
16 Dallas Mavericks76383850%103.0103.6-0.6
17 Chicago Bulls76383850%101.3102.9-1.6
18 Houston Rockets76373949%105.8106.6-0.8
19 Washington Wizards76373949%103.5104.5-1.0
20 Orlando Magic76324442%101.7103.2-1.5
21 Milwaukee Bucks76324442%99.2102.9-3.7
22 Denver Nuggets77324542%102.1104.7-2.6
23 New York Knicks77314640%98.6101.2-2.5
24 Sacramento Kings76304639%106.9109.1-2.2
25 New Orleans Pelicans75284737%102.6106.0-3.4
26 Minnesota Timberwolves76255133%101.8105.8-4.0
27 Brooklyn Nets76215528%98.5105.3-6.7
28 Phoenix Suns76205626%100.5107.7-7.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers75165921%97.7106.9-9.2
30 Philadelphia 76ers7796812%97.0107.5-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets27352618106
Sacramento Kings23322931115
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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