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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-75
24-17 27-16 26-16 24-26
Position#16
Record3-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game107.9
vs
Position#24
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game103.2
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
21 Oct 2016
DEN101
DAL75
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#15
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
108-106
108
106
+2
A04/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A08/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
115-124
115
124
-9
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
88-105
88
105
-17
A13/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
128-129 OT
128
129
-1
H15/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
106-97
106
97
+9
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
87-97
87
97
-10
A19/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
25-20
21-27
16-26
23-21
14-12
27-12
16-15
22-15
15-19
25-27
17-18
31-27
26-27
25-29
26-23
32-37
17-21
23-22
29-17
23-32
30-21
32-32
30-39
26-26
22-26
16-29
24-24
31-34
28-20
30-31
23-27
26-34
33-18
22-21
25-24
28-32
13-27
21-23
25-15
196.4Avg total
97.5Scored
98.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)104.7107.9212.6-3.143%
Season at home (1)128.0129.0257.0-1.00%
Season away (6)100.8104.3205.2-3.550%
Last 10 (10)97.598.9196.4-1.440%
Last 5 (5)104.8110.4215.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)101.7112.6214.2-10.922%
vs Similar ◀ (12)102.3103.7206.0-1.342%
vs Weaker (9)96.989.7186.6+7.267%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#22
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
102-116
102
116
-14
A02/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H04/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A09/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
114-109
114
109
+5
H12/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
107-112
107
112
-5
A15/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
91-106
91
106
-15
H20/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
22-18
17-26
29-25
17-17
19-18
24-8
21-21
15-19
14-19
23-25
21-23
20-14
23-15
18-20
19-25
22-21
24-37
32-28
24-30
23-26
25-12
26-23
21-27
19-20
13-22
27-25
15-21
29-20
27-22
26-40
32-27
25-24
32-35
25-32
25-21
22-27
16-20
29-25
24-34
183.0Avg total
89.9Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.2103.2200.3-6.033%
Season at home (3)100.0101.0201.0-1.067%
Season away (3)94.3105.3199.7-11.00%
Last 10 (10)89.993.1183.0-3.240%
Last 5 (5)96.2100.6196.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)87.8100.3188.2-12.58%
vs Similar ◀ (14)94.691.2185.9+3.479%
vs Weaker (4)84.280.5164.8+3.850%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A04/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A08/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A13/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H15/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A19/10
NBA
97.2Avg total
48.4Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.450.5101.9+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)49.748.598.2+1.258%-
Last 30 away (18)52.551.9104.4+0.639%-
Last 10 (10)48.448.897.2-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)52.054.0106.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)52.354.3106.7-2.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)52.952.9105.8+0.050%-
vs Weaker (9)48.343.691.9+4.867%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#22
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A02/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A09/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H12/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A15/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H20/10
NBA
84.6Avg total
42.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.145.589.5-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.943.787.6+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)44.347.291.5-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.584.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.691.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.248.891.0-6.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.944.490.3+1.664%-
vs Weaker (4)43.239.282.5+4.075%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.330.0
48.2%
50.2%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.9
28.0%
35.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws29.221.1
72.3%
77.0%21.1
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.428.3
48.5%
50.2%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.2
31.8%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.817.0
74.6%
77.0%17.0
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLLWWLWL
Dallas Mavericks
LLWLWLWLWL
#16
League position
#24
-4.1
Net rating
-9.2
99.2
Offensive rating
101.6
103.2
Defensive rating
110.8
46.4%
Effective FG%
48.2%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.0%
3-point %
31.8%
58.5%
Assist %
57.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 101.6Defence103.2 · 110.8Shooting46.4% · 48.2%3-point %28.0% · 31.8%Ball care15.8% · 13.6%Off. rebounds27.3% · 24.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/16AOklahoma City Thunder87-97
17/10/16APortland Trail Blazers106-97
15/10/16HGolden State Warriors128-129 OT
13/10/16AMinnesota Timberwolves88-105
10/10/16ALos Angeles Lakers115-124
08/10/16ALos Angeles Lakers101-97
04/10/16AToronto Raptors108-106
16/07/16APhoenix Suns81-82 OT
15/07/16HUtah Jazz80-60
12/07/16HMiami Heat81-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/16HHouston Rockets91-106
15/10/16APhoenix Suns107-112
12/10/16HOklahoma City Thunder114-109
09/10/16AMilwaukee Bucks74-88
04/10/16HCharlotte Hornets95-88
02/10/16ANew Orleans Pelicans102-116
16/07/16HGolden State Warriors80-74
15/07/16AChicago Bulls73-86
14/07/16HMilwaukee Bucks81-64
12/07/16HBoston Celtics82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeL0%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games716
Win %43%0%50%
Points / game104.7128.0100.8
Allowed / game107.9129.0104.3
Point differential-3.1-1.0-3.5
Avg total212.6257.0205.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %14%100%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game97.2100.094.3
Allowed / game103.2101.0105.3
Point differential-6.0-1.0-11.0
Avg total200.3201.0199.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors65183%113.7102.5+11.2
2 Minnesota Timberwolves75271%100.794.6+6.1
3 Atlanta Hawks75271%98.092.1+5.9
4 Boston Celtics75271%105.099.1+5.9
5 Houston Rockets64267%116.5110.5+6.0
6 Memphis Grizzlies64267%107.3102.0+5.3
7 San Antonio Spurs64267%97.293.2+4.0
8 New York Knicks64267%108.8107.0+1.8
9 Portland Trail Blazers64267%102.5100.7+1.8
10 Phoenix Suns53260%104.6104.4+0.2
11 Washington Wizards74357%106.098.7+7.3
12 Miami Heat84450%104.598.9+5.6
13 Detroit Pistons63350%94.289.7+4.5
14 Utah Jazz63350%97.894.7+3.2
15 Oklahoma City Thunder42250%103.0101.2+1.8
16 Indiana Pacers63350%107.2105.5+1.7
17 Toronto Raptors63350%100.8101.7-0.8
18 Milwaukee Bucks63350%89.896.3-6.5
19 Los Angeles Clippers63350%92.0102.5-10.5
20 Chicago Bulls73443%104.3101.7+2.6
21 Denver Nuggets73443%104.7107.9-3.1
22 Charlotte Hornets73443%91.799.0-7.3
23 Sacramento Kings52340%101.8104.6-2.8
24 Cleveland Cavaliers62433%101.8106.5-4.7
25 Dallas Mavericks62433%97.2103.2-6.0
26 Los Angeles Lakers72529%107.6108.6-1.0
27 Orlando Magic72529%98.7106.1-7.4
28 Philadelphia 76ers72529%96.4107.1-10.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans61517%105.5110.7-5.2
30 Brooklyn Nets61517%101.0111.2-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets24272624101
Dallas Mavericks1716162675
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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