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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 128-129 (OT)
31-34 28-20 30-31 23-27 16-17
Position#17
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#1
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
14 Oct 2016
DEN128
GSW129
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
116-105
116
105
+11
111avg 93
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-105
90
105
-15
76avg 93
A27/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
88-97
88
97
-9
87avg 93
H29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
109-105
109
105
+4
106avg 93
A31/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
95-101
95
101
-6
89avg 93
A01/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
106-115
106
115
-9
99avg 93
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
102-124
102
124
-22
90avg 93
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
102-98
102
98
+4
95avg 93
H09/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
84-100
84
100
-16
72avg 93
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 93
A14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
34-15
25-31
33-28
26-31
22-21
12-25
30-28
24-28
22-22
20-22
22-25
26-20
33-27
25-21
25-37
26-31
28-25
24-21
17-24
27-23
35-32
26-29
18-31
30-32
21-36
26-39
25-17
24-18
27-35
26-19
25-26
22-26
25-22
15-34
22-18
31-27
25-31
23-29
20-20
204.8Avg total
99.1Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)99.1105.7204.8-6.630%
Last 5 (5)98.6108.8207.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)97.5108.6206.1-11.130%
vs Similar (15)106.7106.3212.9+0.440%
vs Weaker (5)112.2108.2220.4+4.060%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
120-111
120
111
+9
115avg 109
H27/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
108-101
108
101
+7
95avg 109
A29/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
96-88
96
88
+8
87avg 109
H31/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
104-89
104
89
+15
101avg 109
H03/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
110-77
110
77
+33
111avg 109
H06/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
90-120
90
120
-30
77avg 109
A09/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
108-97
108
97
+11
100avg 109
A11/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
97-112
97
112
-15
80avg 109
H14/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
101-115
101
115
-14
84avg 109
A17/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
89-93
89
93
-4
77avg 109
H20/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
33-29
23-27
39-34
20-23
28-30
27-30
33-18
19-24
23-24
29-12
25-28
28-24
24-19
22-25
30-21
19-21
33-23
30-18
28-15
16-33
27-18
26-38
21-31
29-28
21-27
29-22
29-20
32-29
29-32
23-32
13-19
11-31
32-28
28-21
30-35
22-23
27-19
27-33
13-18
202.6Avg total
102.3Scored
100.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)102.3100.3202.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)97.0107.4204.4-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)102.9102.5205.4+0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)115.8104.6220.4+11.179%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A31/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A01/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H09/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A14/04
NBA
106.5Avg total
53.2Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.253.3106.6-0.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.953.7106.6-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)53.553.0106.5+0.533%-
Last 10 (10)53.253.3106.5-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)53.456.4109.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)51.453.8105.2-2.420%-
vs Similar (15)53.952.9106.8+1.147%-
vs Weaker (5)54.853.8108.6+1.040%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H27/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A29/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H31/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H03/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H06/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A09/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A11/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H14/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A17/06
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H20/06
NBA
100.4Avg total
49.8Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.652.0105.6+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (18)57.248.7105.9+8.578%-
Last 30 away (12)48.256.9105.2-8.78%-
Last 10 (10)49.850.6100.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)49.253.6102.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)50.151.3101.4-1.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)57.652.8110.4+4.957%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 99.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.128.9
48.9%
50.2%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.7
32.5%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.2
74.5%
77.0%15.2
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 102.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.822.1
46.2%
50.2%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.814.1
39.4%
35.7%42.3
🏀 Free throws21.115.8
74.9%
77.0%15.8
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLLWLLW
Golden State Warriors
LLLWLWWWWW
#17
League position
#1
-6.9
Net rating
+2.1
103.0
Offensive rating
106.6
109.8
Defensive rating
104.6
48.8%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.5%
3-point %
39.4%
65.2%
Assist %
62.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 106.6Defence109.8 · 104.6Shooting48.8% · 51.7%3-point %32.5% · 39.4%Ball care14.1% · 14.2%Off. rebounds25.8% · 24.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/16APortland Trail Blazers99-107
10/04/16HUtah Jazz84-100
09/04/16HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
06/04/16HOklahoma City Thunder102-124
03/04/16HSacramento Kings106-115
01/04/16ANew Orleans Pelicans95-101
31/03/16AMemphis Grizzlies109-105
29/03/16HDallas Mavericks88-97
27/03/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-105
26/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers116-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/06/16HCleveland Cavaliers89-93
17/06/16ACleveland Cavaliers101-115
14/06/16HCleveland Cavaliers97-112
11/06/16ACleveland Cavaliers108-97
09/06/16ACleveland Cavaliers90-120
06/06/16HCleveland Cavaliers110-77
03/06/16HCleveland Cavaliers104-89
31/05/16HOklahoma City Thunder96-88
29/05/16AOklahoma City Thunder108-101
27/05/16HOklahoma City Thunder120-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Denver Nuggets3128302316128
Golden State Warriors3420312717129
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