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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 97-87
32-28 27-13 23-21 15-25
Position#10
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#17
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
18 Oct 2016
OKC97
DEN87
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-97
111
97
+14
105avg 103
H09/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
91avg 103
A11/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 103
H13/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
108-102
108
102
+6
99avg 103
A17/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
91-118
91
118
-27
82avg 103
A19/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
133-105
133
105
+28
126avg 103
H23/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
118-94
118
94
+24
111avg 103
H25/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
111-120
111
120
-9
100avg 103
A27/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
101-108
101
108
-7
85avg 103
H29/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
88-96
88
96
-8
75avg 103
A31/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
28-26
32-28
34-16
22-16
21-32
26-24
26-19
25-19
30-12
36-34
22-34
21-27
26-33
38-28
23-14
20-27
29-30
19-31
23-30
34-28
38-19
45-33
16-25
30-26
42-27
22-29
24-12
21-25
29-33
27-23
34-39
23-20
30-28
30-27
18-33
24-19
24-23
12-29
28-25
209.9Avg total
106.9Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)106.9103.0209.9+3.960%
Last 5 (5)110.2104.6214.8+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)105.2103.9209.1+1.356%
vs Weaker (14)111.399.1210.4+12.164%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
116-105
116
105
+11
111avg 93
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-105
90
105
-15
76avg 93
A27/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
88-97
88
97
-9
87avg 93
H29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
109-105
109
105
+4
106avg 93
A31/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
95-101
95
101
-6
89avg 93
A01/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
106-115
106
115
-9
99avg 93
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
102-124
102
124
-22
90avg 93
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
102-98
102
98
+4
95avg 93
H09/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
84-100
84
100
-16
72avg 93
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 93
A14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
34-15
25-31
33-28
26-31
22-21
12-25
30-28
24-28
22-22
20-22
22-25
26-20
33-27
25-21
25-37
26-31
28-25
24-21
17-24
27-23
35-32
26-29
18-31
30-32
21-36
26-39
25-17
24-18
27-35
26-19
25-26
22-26
25-22
15-34
22-18
31-27
25-31
23-29
20-20
204.8Avg total
99.1Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)99.1105.7204.8-6.630%
Last 5 (5)98.6108.8207.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)97.5108.6206.1-11.130%
vs Similar ◀ (15)106.7106.3212.9+0.440%
vs Weaker (5)112.2108.2220.4+4.060%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H09/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A11/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H13/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A17/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A19/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H23/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H25/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A27/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H29/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A31/05
NBA
103.1Avg total
53.4Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.251.0105.2+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.148.1104.2+7.964%-
Last 30 away (16)52.653.4106.1-0.856%-
Last 10 (10)53.449.7103.1+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)59.049.6108.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.451.6104.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker (14)56.450.2106.6+6.171%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A31/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A01/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H03/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H09/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A14/04
NBA
106.5Avg total
53.2Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.253.3106.6-0.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.953.7106.6-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)53.553.0106.5+0.533%-
Last 10 (10)53.253.3106.5-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)53.456.4109.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)51.453.8105.2-2.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.952.9106.8+1.147%-
vs Weaker (5)54.853.8108.6+1.040%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 106.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.530.7
49.1%
50.2%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.7
32.6%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws28.722.4
78.0%
77.0%22.4
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 99.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.128.9
48.9%
50.2%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.7
32.5%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.2
74.5%
77.0%15.2
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLLWWLWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLLWLLW
#10
League position
#17
+3.9
Net rating
-6.9
107.5
Offensive rating
103.0
103.6
Defensive rating
109.8
49.1%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.6%
3-point %
32.5%
54.4%
Assist %
65.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 103.0Defence103.6 · 109.8Shooting49.1% · 48.8%3-point %32.6% · 32.5%Ball care13.6% · 14.1%Off. rebounds29.0% · 25.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/16AGolden State Warriors88-96
29/05/16HGolden State Warriors101-108
27/05/16AGolden State Warriors111-120
25/05/16HGolden State Warriors118-94
23/05/16HGolden State Warriors133-105
19/05/16AGolden State Warriors91-118
17/05/16AGolden State Warriors108-102
13/05/16HSan Antonio Spurs113-99
11/05/16ASan Antonio Spurs95-91
09/05/16HSan Antonio Spurs111-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/16APortland Trail Blazers99-107
10/04/16HUtah Jazz84-100
09/04/16HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
06/04/16HOklahoma City Thunder102-124
03/04/16HSacramento Kings106-115
01/04/16ANew Orleans Pelicans95-101
31/03/16AMemphis Grizzlies109-105
29/03/16HDallas Mavericks88-97
27/03/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-105
26/03/16ALos Angeles Lakers116-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder3227231597
Denver Nuggets2813212587
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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