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Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 124-102
37-25 33-21 31-30 23-26
Position#4
Record33-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game110.9
Allowed / game106.2
vs
Position#28
Record11-39
FormLLWLL
Points / game103.1
Allowed / game113.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers
18 Mar 2027
DEN v CLE
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DEN117
CLE119
27 Dec 2024
DEN135
CLE149
31 Mar 2024
DEN130
CLE101
06 Jan 2023
DEN121
CLE108
25 Oct 2021
DEN87
CLE99
10 Feb 2021
DEN133
CLE95
11 Jan 2020
DEN103
CLE111
19 Jan 2019
DEN124
CLE102
07 Mar 2018
DEN108
CLE113
22 Mar 2017
DEN126
CLE113
29 Dec 2015
DEN87
CLE93
07 Nov 2014
DEN101
CLE110
17 Jan 2014
DEN109
CLE117
11 Jan 2013
DEN98
CLE91
07 Mar 2012
DEN99
CLE100
15 Jan 2011
DEN127
CLE99
08 Jan 2010
DEN99
CLE97
19 Dec 2008
DEN88
CLE105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
115-108
115
108
+7
H02/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
117-113
117
113
+4
A04/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
123-110
123
110
+13
H05/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
113-125
113
125
-12
A08/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
103-99
103
99
+4
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
121-100
121
100
+21
H11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
93-102
93
102
-9
A13/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
116-113
116
113
+3
H14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
111-142
111
142
-31
H16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
135-105
135
105
+30
H18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
27-24
27-28
33-24
30-30
23-36
31-18
33-29
31-26
27-30
31-28
34-26
35-33
25-37
29-26
24-29
24-18
25-34
27-24
27-23
37-25
28-29
28-22
28-24
23-31
24-29
22-21
24-21
34-32
24-28
35-28
23-25
38-51
22-28
23-33
28-30
28-30
33-17
42-26
32-32
226.4Avg total
114.7Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)110.9106.2217.1+4.769%
Season at home (23)114.2104.0218.2+10.283%
Season away (25)107.8108.2216.0-0.456%
Last 10 (10)114.7111.7226.4+3.070%
Last 5 (5)115.2112.4227.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.0104.0202.0-6.00%
vs Similar (15)109.6108.2217.8+1.473%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)115.3106.9222.1+8.471%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
108-111
108
111
-3
A30/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
92-117
92
117
-25
H03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
91-117
91
117
-26
H05/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
98-133
98
133
-35
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
115-123
115
123
-8
H09/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
124-140
124
140
-16
A10/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
113-141
113
141
-28
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
101-95
101
95
+6
A14/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
112-129
112
129
-17
A17/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
99-115
99
115
-16
A19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
25-34
23-27
34-27
23-22
20-36
30-35
19-24
20-23
29-25
22-33
20-36
26-28
26-33
20-37
26-35
16-38
27-25
36-29
36-31
38-25
25-34
28-41
33-40
22-42
27-35
32-36
32-28
32-24
19-22
24-19
26-30
26-30
29-32
30-38
27-29
20-29
17-32
23-32
39-22
227.4Avg total
105.3Scored
122.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)103.1113.3216.4-10.222%
Season at home (25)104.2113.5217.8-9.324%
Season away (25)102.0113.1215.1-11.120%
Last 10 (10)105.3122.1227.4-16.810%
Last 5 (5)109.8124.0233.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)102.3115.3217.6-13.022%
vs Similar (3)104.3109.7214.0-5.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
Denver NuggetsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H02/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A04/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H05/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A08/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A13/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H18/01
NBA
116.6Avg total
56.6Scored
60.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.155.6113.7+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.454.6114.0+4.771%-
Last 30 away (16)56.956.4113.4+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)56.660.0116.6-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)58.260.0118.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.046.0102.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (15)57.654.7112.3+2.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)58.757.2115.9+1.557%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A30/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H05/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
43-63
43
63
-20
H09/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A10/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
49-77
49
77
-28
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A14/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A17/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
37-61
37
61
-24
A19/01
NBA
108.5Avg total
49.3Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.455.7107.1-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.156.6110.8-2.543%-
Last 30 away (16)48.954.9103.9-6.031%-
Last 10 (10)49.359.2108.5-9.930%-
Last 5 (5)51.061.0112.0-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)50.655.8106.4-5.233%-
vs Similar (3)58.355.0113.3+3.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.931.8
53.1%
51.7%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.0
37.2%
35.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
76.6%15.1
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.028.6
48.5%
51.7%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.8
37.1%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.418.7
83.5%
76.6%18.7
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWLWWW
Cleveland Cavaliers
LLWLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#28
+3.1
Net rating
-16.8
117.0
Offensive rating
105.3
113.9
Defensive rating
122.1
54.0%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
11.0%
Turnover %
12.4%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
18.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.2%
3-point %
37.1%
65.5%
Assist %
55.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 105.3Defence113.9 · 122.1Shooting54.0% · 50.7%3-point %37.2% · 37.1%Ball care11.0% · 12.4%Off. rebounds29.8% · 18.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/19HChicago Bulls135-105
16/01/19HGolden State Warriors111-142
14/01/19HPortland Trail Blazers116-113
13/01/19APhoenix Suns93-102
11/01/19HLos Angeles Clippers121-100
09/01/19AMiami Heat103-99
08/01/19AHouston Rockets113-125
05/01/19HCharlotte Hornets123-110
04/01/19ASacramento Kings117-113
02/01/19HNew York Knicks115-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/19AUtah Jazz99-115
17/01/19APortland Trail Blazers112-129
14/01/19ALos Angeles Lakers101-95
12/01/19AHouston Rockets113-141
10/01/19ANew Orleans Pelicans124-140
09/01/19HIndiana Pacers115-123
06/01/19HNew Orleans Pelicans98-133
05/01/19HUtah Jazz91-117
03/01/19HMiami Heat92-117
30/12/18AAtlanta Hawks108-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %69%83%56%
Points / game110.9114.2107.8
Allowed / game106.2104.0108.2
Point differential+4.7+10.2-0.4
Avg total217.1218.2216.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won87% (15)80% (5)90% (10)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLLLLL24%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %22%24%20%
Points / game103.1104.2102.0
Allowed / game113.3113.5113.1
Point differential-10.2-9.3-11.1
Avg total216.4217.8215.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%16%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks49361373%118.2107.6+10.6
2 Toronto Raptors52381473%114.0108.0+6.0
3 Denver Nuggets48331569%110.9106.2+4.7
4 Indiana Pacers49321765%108.3103.3+5.0
5 Golden State Warriors51331865%117.8112.1+5.7
6 Philadelphia 76ers50321864%115.6112.3+3.3
7 Oklahoma City Thunder49301961%113.1108.4+4.7
8 Portland Trail Blazers52312160%112.6109.8+2.8
9 Houston Rockets49292059%112.8110.1+2.7
10 Boston Celtics50292158%111.3106.1+5.2
11 Utah Jazz50292158%109.1104.5+4.6
12 San Antonio Spurs52302258%111.4108.7+2.8
13 Los Angeles Clippers48272156%114.6113.5+1.1
14 Los Angeles Lakers53282553%112.4111.6+0.8
15 Charlotte Hornets50262452%112.7111.3+1.4
16 Brooklyn Nets51262551%111.0111.9-0.9
17 Miami Heat50252550%106.9106.7+0.2
18 Sacramento Kings51252649%113.2115.6-2.4
19 Washington Wizards49222745%113.3115.8-2.5
20 Minnesota Timberwolves50222844%111.3113.2-1.9
21 Detroit Pistons50222844%106.4108.8-2.3
22 Dallas Mavericks48212744%110.0110.1-0.2
23 New Orleans Pelicans51213041%117.0116.6+0.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies51213041%101.5104.8-3.3
25 Orlando Magic50203040%103.3107.2-3.9
26 Atlanta Hawks50163432%110.1117.6-7.5
27 New York Knicks49133627%107.2114.8-7.6
28 Phoenix Suns51123924%105.6114.7-9.1
29 Chicago Bulls51123924%101.1111.0-9.9
30 Cleveland Cavaliers50113922%103.1113.3-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets37333123124
Cleveland Cavaliers25213026102
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