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Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 136-122
35-43 48-28 30-24 23-27
Position#4
Record35-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game105.8
vs
Position#5
Record29-21
FormLWWWL
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets
20 Nov 2026
DEN v HOU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
DEN129
HOU93
20 Dec 2025
DEN101
HOU115
15 Dec 2025
DEN128
HOU125
15 Jan 2025
DEN108
HOU128
08 Dec 2023
DEN106
HOU114
29 Nov 2023
DEN134
HOU124
30 Nov 2022
DEN120
HOU100
28 Nov 2022
DEN129
HOU113
04 Mar 2022
DEN116
HOU101
06 Nov 2021
DEN95
HOU94
24 Apr 2021
DEN129
HOU116
28 Dec 2020
DEN124
HOU111
26 Jan 2020
DEN117
HOU110
20 Nov 2019
DEN105
HOU95
01 Feb 2019
DEN136
HOU122
13 Nov 2018
DEN99
HOU109
25 Feb 2018
DEN114
HOU119
18 Mar 2017
DEN105
HOU109
02 Dec 2016
DEN110
HOU128
14 Dec 2015
DEN114
HOU108
13 Nov 2015
DEN107
HOU98
07 Mar 2015
DEN100
HOU114
17 Dec 2014
DEN111
HOU115
09 Apr 2014
DEN123
HOU116
06 Apr 2013
DEN132
HOU114
30 Jan 2013
DEN118
HOU110
15 Apr 2012
DEN101
HOU86
06 Feb 2012
DEN90
HOU99
07 Feb 2011
DEN103
HOU108
03 Jan 2011
DEN113
HOU106
16 Dec 2009
DEN111
HOU101
09 Mar 2009
DEN95
HOU97
30 Nov 2008
DEN104
HOU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
93-102
93
102
-9
85avg 108
A13/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
116-113
116
113
+3
108avg 108
H14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
111-142
111
142
-31
101avg 108
H16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
135-105
135
105
+30
132avg 108
H18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
124-102
124
102
+22
126avg 108
H20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
108-114
108
114
-6
101avg 108
A24/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
132-95
132
95
+37
129avg 108
H26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
126-110
126
110
+16
121avg 108
H27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
95-92
95
92
+3
81avg 108
A29/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 108
A31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
24-29
22-21
24-21
34-32
24-28
35-28
23-25
38-51
22-28
23-33
28-30
28-30
33-17
42-26
32-32
37-25
33-21
31-30
23-26
24-30
34-35
22-23
28-26
37-32
33-23
28-26
34-14
41-37
36-31
30-28
19-14
16-30
25-30
19-17
35-15
29-26
24-30
33-19
19-24
221.9Avg total
114.5Scored
107.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)111.5105.8217.3+5.770%
Season at home (26)115.7103.8219.5+11.985%
Season away (24)106.9108.0214.8-1.154%
Last 10 (10)114.5107.4221.9+7.170%
Last 5 (5)113.2102.0215.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)110.7110.8221.5-0.167%
vs Weaker (15)114.3104.3218.6+9.980%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
141-113
141
113
+28
138avg 99
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
109-116
109
116
-7
95avg 99
A13/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
112-94
112
94
+18
97avg 99
H15/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
142-145 OT
142
145
-3
121avg 99
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
138-134 OT
138
134
+4
118avg 99
H20/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
93-121
93
121
-28
72avg 99
A22/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
114-110
114
110
+4
91avg 99
A24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
121-119
121
119
+2
104avg 99
H26/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
103-98
103
98
+5
93avg 99
H28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
116-121
116
121
-5
96avg 99
H30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
42-22
35-27
36-32
28-32
26-18
33-34
29-34
21-30
24-29
30-19
33-22
25-24
30-34
24-28
40-23
37-46
26-39
20-25
36-22
38-34
26-30
24-35
13-29
30-27
28-31
30-32
30-15
26-32
33-20
37-41
26-28
25-30
18-34
35-27
21-21
29-16
35-28
31-31
25-35
25-27
236.0Avg total
118.9Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)112.3110.9223.1+1.458%
Season at home (27)116.7112.3229.0+4.470%
Season away (23)107.1109.1216.2-2.043%
Last 10 (10)118.9117.1236.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)109.4113.8223.2-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)109.0116.0225.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)113.6112.0225.6+1.675%
vs Weaker (17)116.4110.5226.8+5.965%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
Denver NuggetsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A13/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
70-46
70
46
+24
H20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A24/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A29/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A31/01
NBA
119.1Avg total
59.5Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.356.9115.1+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.455.7117.1+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)55.158.0113.1-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)59.559.6119.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)59.860.8120.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)58.858.1116.9+0.747%-
vs Weaker (15)57.755.7113.4+2.160%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
77-49
77
49
+28
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A13/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H15/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
46-64
46
64
-18
H20/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A22/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H26/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H30/01
NBA
117.1Avg total
58.7Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.454.0111.4+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.353.6111.9+4.767%-
Last 30 away (12)56.054.7110.7+1.358%-
Last 10 (10)58.758.4117.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)59.461.8121.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.054.0114.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)54.655.3109.9-0.842%-
vs Weaker (17)59.253.1112.4+6.176%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.832.1
55.5%
51.7%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.6
36.6%
35.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.015.5
77.5%
76.6%15.5
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.6
57.8%
51.7%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.415.9
31.5%
35.4%47.7
🏀 Free throws29.324.0
81.9%
76.6%24.0
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 50.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWWLWL
Houston Rockets
LWWWLWLWLW
#4
League position
#5
+7.2
Net rating
+1.7
116.2
Offensive rating
112.9
109.0
Defensive rating
111.2
55.3%
Effective FG%
52.0%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
11.3%
Turnover %
11.2%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.6%
3-point %
31.5%
60.4%
Assist %
47.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 112.9Defence109.0 · 111.2Shooting55.3% · 52.0%3-point %36.6% · 31.5%Ball care11.3% · 11.2%Off. rebounds24.7% · 20.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Denver Nuggets wins
9
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/19ANew Orleans Pelicans105-99
29/01/19AMemphis Grizzlies95-92
27/01/19HPhiladelphia 76ers126-110
26/01/19HPhoenix Suns132-95
24/01/19AUtah Jazz108-114
20/01/19HCleveland Cavaliers124-102
18/01/19HChicago Bulls135-105
16/01/19HGolden State Warriors111-142
14/01/19HPortland Trail Blazers116-113
13/01/19APhoenix Suns93-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/19HNew Orleans Pelicans116-121
28/01/19HOrlando Magic103-98
26/01/19HToronto Raptors121-119
24/01/19ANew York Knicks114-110
22/01/19APhiladelphia 76ers93-121
20/01/19HLos Angeles Lakers138-134 OT
17/01/19HBrooklyn Nets142-145 OT
15/01/19HMemphis Grizzlies112-94
13/01/19AOrlando Magic109-116
12/01/19HCleveland Cavaliers141-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeLWWWW85%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502624
Win %70%85%54%
Points / game111.5115.7106.9
Allowed / game105.8103.8108.0
Point differential+5.7+11.9-1.1
Avg total217.3219.5214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (14)80% (5)89% (9)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeLWWWL70%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502723
Win %58%70%43%
Points / game112.3116.7107.1
Allowed / game110.9112.3109.1
Point differential+1.4+4.4-2.0
Avg total223.1229.0216.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%41%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)75% (8)44% (9)
Overtime %10%7%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks50371374%117.0107.3+9.7
2 Golden State Warriors51361571%118.8111.8+7.0
3 Denver Nuggets50351570%111.5105.8+5.7
4 Toronto Raptors53371670%113.7108.6+5.1
5 Philadelphia 76ers52341865%115.6111.9+3.7
6 Oklahoma City Thunder51331865%114.5109.3+5.2
7 Boston Celtics52331963%112.4105.5+6.9
8 Indiana Pacers51321963%108.1103.9+4.2
9 Portland Trail Blazers52322062%113.1110.0+3.1
10 San Antonio Spurs53312258%112.6110.1+2.5
11 Houston Rockets50292158%112.3110.9+1.4
12 Utah Jazz53302357%109.0105.8+3.2
13 Los Angeles Clippers52282454%114.2113.7+0.6
14 Brooklyn Nets53282553%111.9111.6+0.3
15 Los Angeles Lakers52272552%112.3112.1+0.3
16 Sacramento Kings51262551%113.4115.0-1.6
17 Charlotte Hornets51252649%111.2111.0+0.2
18 Minnesota Timberwolves51252649%111.5111.3+0.2
19 Miami Heat50242648%105.3105.8-0.5
20 Dallas Mavericks51232845%109.3108.9+0.4
21 New Orleans Pelicans52232944%116.3114.9+1.4
22 Detroit Pistons50222844%105.6108.3-2.6
23 Washington Wizards51222943%112.7115.3-2.6
24 Orlando Magic52213140%104.3107.8-3.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies53203338%100.4103.7-3.3
26 Atlanta Hawks51163531%110.3118.1-7.8
27 Chicago Bulls52124023%101.4110.8-9.4
28 Cleveland Cavaliers52114121%102.6113.3-10.7
29 Phoenix Suns53114221%106.1115.7-9.6
30 New York Knicks51104120%106.1115.0-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets35483023136
Houston Rockets43282427122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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