Real Madrid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2013

Tip-off: 10:40

Final 93-82

29-18 21-20 25-17 18-27

Position#1

Record27-4

FormWLWWW

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game75.8

Real Madrid 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#12

Record14-17

FormWLLLW

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game78.0

ACBRound 32

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Real Madrid v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSKA Moscow

72-81

-9

A28/03

Euroleague

Real Betis

#14

84-74

+10

H31/03

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#10

86-66

+20

H04/04

Euroleague

Valencia

79-88

-9

A07/04

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

79-53

+26

H10/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

75-63

+12

H12/04

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

61-64

-3

H14/04

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

69-57

+12

A16/04

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

76-74

A21/04

ACB

Barcelona

78-65

+13

H28/04

ACB

15-24

13-20

19-19

25-18

24-16

24-14

15-23

21-21

25-14

22-16

18-18

21-18

19-22

19-30

21-22

20-14

14-23

24-4

21-16

20-10

18-13

18-15

20-18

19-17

19-10

10-15

12-13

20-26

16-10

17-20

19-14

17-13

22-14

15-20

22-17

17-23

13-12

20-17

17-18

28-18

144.4Avg total

75.9Scored

68.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	87.3	75.8	163.1	+11.5	87%
Season at home (15)	86.8	74.3	161.1	+12.5	87%
Season away (16)	87.8	77.2	165.0	+10.6	88%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	68.5	144.4	+7.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	64.6	136.4	+7.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	81.0	72.7	153.7	+8.3	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	81.4	72.0	153.4	+9.4	74%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

#14

78-86

-8

A24/02

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

77-80

-3

H03/03

ACB

Valencia

71-81

-10

A09/03

ACB

Bilbao

79-88

-9

H17/03

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

71-82

-11

A24/03

ACB

Manresa

#18

90-75

+15

H31/03

ACB

Gran Canaria

64-72

-8

A07/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

70-74

-4

H13/04

ACB

Barcelona

65-78

-13

A21/04

ACB

Murcia

#13

94-85

H28/04

ACB

16-15

19-18

18-25

25-28

21-17

11-22

17-16

28-25

13-24

25-20

17-20

16-17

27-22

19-17

12-26

21-23

8-26

23-21

19-10

21-25

19-17

19-18

20-16

32-24

20-28

12-8

15-22

17-14

6-21

24-24

16-23

24-6

16-9

17-17

18-30

14-22

24-30

22-17

21-26

27-12

156.0Avg total

75.9Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	79.5	78.0	157.5	+1.5	45%
Season at home (16)	81.4	75.6	157.1	+5.8	62%
Season away (15)	77.5	80.6	158.1	-3.1	27%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	80.1	156.0	-4.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	76.8	153.4	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	76.6	78.8	155.4	-2.2	40%
vs Similar (13)	77.7	78.7	156.4	-1.0	38%
vs Weaker (11)	80.7	76.8	157.5	+3.9	45%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	16.1	35.9	+3.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	19.5	37.9	-1.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	15.8	34.3	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	11.8	29.4	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.1	16.9	37.0	+3.3	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	16.3	37.4	+4.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.1	35.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	17.4	33.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	18.7	14.3	33.0	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	24.4	20.6	45.0	+3.8	60%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.2	19.5	39.6	+0.7	64%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSKA Moscow

28-44

-16

A28/03

Euroleague

Real Betis

#14

48-30

+18

H31/03

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#10

47-30

+17

H04/04

Euroleague

Valencia

38-52

-14

A07/04

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

38-27

+11

H10/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

36-28

H12/04

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

29-25

H14/04

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

33-30

A16/04

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

37-34

A21/04

ACB

Barcelona

33-29

H28/04

ACB

69.6Avg total

36.7Scored

32.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	35.8	75.0	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.9	32.4	73.4	+8.5	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.0	40.2	77.2	-3.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	32.9	69.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	29.2	62.8	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	34.7	33.3	68.0	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	40.1	35.8	76.0	+4.3	70%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

#14

35-33

A24/02

ACB

Baloncesto Valladolid

#16

32-39

-7

H03/03

ACB

Valencia

38-44

-6

A09/03

ACB

Bilbao

46-39

H17/03

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

31-47

-16

A24/03

ACB

Manresa

#18

38-35

H31/03

ACB

Gran Canaria

32-36

-4

A07/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

30-45

-15

H13/04

ACB

Barcelona

33-26

A21/04

ACB

Murcia

#13

46-47

-1

H28/04

ACB

75.2Avg total

36.1Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.5	77.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	38.9	78.9	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	38.1	76.5	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	39.1	75.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	37.8	73.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	42.0	38.4	80.4	+3.6	60%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.2	38.8	78.1	+0.4	46%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.2	38.3	77.5	+0.9	55%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.6	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	17.1	37.6	+3.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	18.7	16.8	35.5	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	18.7	17.7	36.4	+1.1	52%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.5	37.7	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	20.9	38.7	-3.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	21.4	38.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.4	41.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.8	19.2	37.1	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.5	19.2	37.6	-0.7	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.1	40.1	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+1.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.4	15.8	38.2	+6.6	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.7	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.6	18.5	41.1	+4.0	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	17.9	39.4	+3.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	15.6	38.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	15.2	19.6	34.8	-4.4	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.7	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	35.5	76.1	+5.1	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.8	37.5	76.3	+1.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.9	32.8	75.8	+10.1	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	35.6	74.8	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	35.4	73.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	39.5	34.0	73.5	+5.5	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	41.3	36.2	77.5	+5.1	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	39.5	78.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	36.0	76.2	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	42.9	80.3	-5.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	41.0	80.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.0	79.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	34.6	40.4	75.0	-5.8	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.5	39.8	78.3	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.5	38.5	80.1	+3.0	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
09/12/12	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	74-87
22/04/12	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	85-80
11/12/11	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	90-85
22/01/11	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	82-61
30/09/10	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	79-84
03/04/10	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	101-77
29/12/09	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	82-80 OT
25/04/09	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	71-63
06/12/08	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	98-81

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/13	H	Barcelona	78-65
21/04/13	A	Gran Canaria	76-74
16/04/13	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	69-57
14/04/13	H	Obradoiro CAB	61-64
12/04/13	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	75-63
10/04/13	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	79-53
07/04/13	A	Valencia	79-88
04/04/13	H	Anadolu Efes	86-66
31/03/13	H	Real Betis	84-74
28/03/13	A	CSKA Moscow	72-81

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/13	H	Murcia	94-85
21/04/13	A	Barcelona	65-78
13/04/13	H	Fuenlabrada	70-74
07/04/13	A	Gran Canaria	64-72
31/03/13	H	Manresa	90-75
24/03/13	A	Obradoiro CAB	71-82
17/03/13	H	Bilbao	79-88
09/03/13	A	Valencia	71-81
03/03/13	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	77-80
24/02/13	A	Real Betis	78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	87%
Home	WLWLW	87%
Away	WWWLW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	87%	87%	88%
Points / game	87.3	86.8	87.8
Allowed / game	75.8	74.3	77.2
Point differential	+11.5	+12.5	+10.6
Avg total	163.1	161.1	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	73%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	67% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Estudiantes

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	45%
Home	LLWLW	62%
Away	LLLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	45%	62%	27%
Points / game	79.5	81.4	77.5
Allowed / game	78.0	75.6	80.6
Point differential	+1.5	+5.8	-3.1
Avg total	157.5	157.1	158.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	38%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	40% (5)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	31	27	4	87%	87.3	75.8	+11.5
2	Baskonia	32	25	7	78%	82.5	78.3	+4.2
3	Barcelona	32	21	11	66%	79.6	71.8	+7.8
4	Valencia	32	20	12	62%	81.3	76.8	+4.5
5	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	32	19	13	59%	78.2	72.8	+5.5
6	Bilbao	32	19	13	59%	82.1	78.6	+3.6
7	Gran Canaria	31	17	14	55%	73.6	71.9	+1.7
8	Unicaja	32	17	15	53%	73.9	73.5	+0.3
9	Obradoiro CAB	32	16	16	50%	74.5	73.6	+0.9
10	Tenerife	31	15	16	48%	79.3	81.5	-2.2
11	Joventut Badalona	32	15	17	47%	77.4	80.6	-3.2
12	Estudiantes	31	14	17	45%	79.5	78.0	+1.5
13	Baloncesto Valladolid	32	12	20	38%	78.2	83.3	-5.1
14	Murcia	32	12	20	38%	78.3	83.5	-5.2
15	Fuenlabrada	31	11	20	35%	75.0	79.5	-4.5
16	Real Betis	32	11	21	34%	71.5	76.7	-5.2
17	Gipuzkoa	31	8	23	26%	73.4	80.5	-7.1
18	Manresa	32	6	26	19%	76.2	85.2	-9.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	29	21	25	18	93
Estudiantes	18	20	17	27	82

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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