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Alba Berlin vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-83
9-26 18-22 24-15 17-20
Position#18
Record3-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game85.7
Alba Berlin
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Position#8
Record13-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19· Uber Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Virtus Bologna
28 Mar 2025
ABE64
VIR108
05 Jan 2024
ABE68
VIR83
09 Mar 2023
ABE74
VIR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
46avg 79
H05/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-97
89
97
-8
83avg 79
H07/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 79
A09/12
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
71-85
71
85
-14
71avg 79
A14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 79
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
66avg 79
H19/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
69avg 79
H22/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
57avg 79
H29/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
101-90
101
90
+11
91avg 79
H31/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
71-77
71
77
-6
64avg 79
A02/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
12-8
14-17
25-17
15-22
25-15
25-27
24-33
29-9
16-27
20-16
20-18
22-25
20-26
11-20
18-14
19-25
21-22
26-27
24-11
19-22
19-19
18-11
18-18
26-24
21-27
12-21
23-19
25-19
18-21
8-27
16-27
34-19
26-26
20-25
21-20
25-22
16-26
11-13
19-16
161.5Avg total
79.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.785.7161.4-10.117%
Season at home (9)77.884.3162.1-6.633%
Season away (9)73.687.1160.7-13.60%
Last 10 (10)79.482.1161.5-2.750%
Last 5 (5)79.084.4163.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.785.7161.4-10.117%
vs Similar (3)95.790.0185.7+5.767%
vs Weaker (9)93.179.8172.9+13.378%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 81
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 81
A10/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
93avg 81
A14/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
no box
H16/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
69-67
69
67
+2
61avg 81
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
71-79
71
79
-8
68avg 81
A21/12
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
91-70
91
70
+21
86avg 81
A23/12
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
76avg 81
A28/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
83-66
83
66
+17
90avg 81
H30/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
W
85-83
85
83
+2
75avg 81
H03/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
21-20
29-23
22-18
23-21
21-27
21-19
15-15
24-15
18-28
21-17
28-21
15-23
20-17
24-21
21-19
17-19
11-21
19-15
22-12
21-26
26-11
7-23
17-19
28-16
23-12
16-20
24-22
23-18
18-18
19-19
17-20
15-19
26-13
17-16
25-18
22-24
20-22
23-23
20-14
160.9Avg total
83.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.680.5163.1+2.172%
Season at home (10)85.179.1164.2+6.090%
Season away (8)79.482.2161.6-2.950%
Last 10 (10)83.177.8160.9+5.370%
Last 5 (5)81.474.6156.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.278.3156.5-0.267%
vs Similar (12)84.981.6166.5+3.375%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.876.7165.5+12.275%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
Alba BerlinVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H05/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/12
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H22/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H31/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/01
Euroleague
84.5Avg total
42.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.843.986.7-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.042.686.6+1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)41.545.386.8-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.484.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.090.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.144.483.6-5.317%-
vs Similar (3)55.346.0101.3+9.3100%-
vs Weaker (9)45.942.288.1+3.756%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A10/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A21/12
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A23/12
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H30/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H03/01
Euroleague
81.9Avg total
42.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.782.8+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.239.382.6+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)42.940.283.1+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.981.9+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.880.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.043.382.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (12)44.142.286.3+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.135.479.5+8.775%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.2
50.1%
53.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
77.4%14.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.1
53.7%
53.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.6
39.5%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.912.9
76.3%
77.4%12.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWLLWWLWLW
Virtus Bologna
WWWWLWLWLW
#18
League position
#8
-3.4
Net rating
+8.0
106.6
Offensive rating
114.5
110.0
Defensive rating
106.5
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.9%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
21.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.2%
3-point %
39.5%
60.6%
Assist %
66.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 114.5Defence110.0 · 106.5Shooting52.3% · 55.9%3-point %37.2% · 39.5%Ball care21.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds34.1% · 29.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alba Berlin wins
3
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23Virtus Bologna v Alba Berlin87-76
09/03/23Alba Berlin v Virtus Bologna74-96
14/12/22Virtus Bologna v Alba Berlin85-76
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas71-77
31/12/23HChemnitz101-90
29/12/23HOlympiacos67-94
22/12/23HFenerbahce82-91
19/12/23HBarcelona74-70
17/12/23AOldenburg90-85
14/12/23ACrvena zvezda71-85
09/12/23ASyntainics MBC85-70
07/12/23HAnadolu Efes89-97
05/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas64-62
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24HBayern85-83
30/12/23HPesaro83-66
28/12/23APartizan77-75
23/12/23APistoia91-70
21/12/23AValencia71-79
19/12/23HOlympiacos69-67
16/12/23HVenezia84-85 OT
14/12/23ABaskonia91-81
10/12/23AOlimpia Milano80-82
08/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game75.777.873.6
Allowed / game85.784.387.1
Point differential-10.1-6.6-13.6
Avg total161.4162.1160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %72%90%50%
Points / game82.685.179.4
Allowed / game80.579.182.2
Point differential+2.1+6.0-2.9
Avg total163.1164.2161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1816289%86.975.0+11.9
2 Virtus Bologna1813572%82.680.5+2.1
3 Barcelona1812667%82.579.0+3.5
4 Olympiacos1911858%77.473.9+3.5
5 Fenerbahce1911858%83.281.1+2.2
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv1911858%86.287.7-1.5
7 Panathinaikos1810856%81.679.2+2.4
8 Valencia1810856%75.775.2+0.4
9 Baskonia1810856%81.782.1-0.4
10 Monaco1910953%80.979.7+1.2
11 Partizan1910953%84.784.0+0.7
12 Bayern1881044%79.881.7-1.9
13 Crvena zvezda1981142%81.479.9+1.5
14 Olimpia Milano1871139%78.877.3+1.5
15 Anadolu Efes1871139%81.687.4-5.8
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1961332%78.581.3-2.8
17 Alba Berlin1831517%75.785.7-10.1
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1931616%79.187.4-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin918241768
Virtus Bologna2622152083
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