PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fenerbahce vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 90-73
16-11 21-23 24-26 29-13
Position#1
Record11-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game79.5
Fenerbahce 🏆
vs
Alba Berlin
Position#18
Record3-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game91.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Alba Berlin
09 Jan 2025
FEN90
ABE73
29 Mar 2024
FEN103
ABE68
03 Feb 2023
FEN101
ABE86
29 Mar 2022
FEN57
ABE66
19 Feb 2021
FEN89
ABE84
30 Oct 2008
FEN82
ABE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
71avg 83
A05/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 83
A08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
L
69-99
69
99
-30
55avg 83
H12/12
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
W
90-88
90
88
+2
88avg 83
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#6
L
63-90
63
90
-27
47avg 83
A17/12
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
79avg 83
A22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
75avg 83
A27/12
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
91-72
91
72
+19
93avg 83
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 83
H03/01
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#13
W
101-90
101
90
+11
100avg 83
A05/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
25-11
23-16
22-23
19-20
24-10
24-23
18-20
19-17
19-26
16-29
15-27
24-21
26-19
24-26
16-22
12-20
25-24
16-21
10-25
23-16
21-18
19-15
19-21
21-25
17-22
19-18
24-25
23-19
25-18
17-21
26-14
24-24
19-16
21-16
20-20
18-21
29-18
33-21
21-30
164.6Avg total
82.8Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.479.5157.9-1.161%
Season at home (9)79.280.4159.7-1.256%
Season away (9)77.678.6156.1-1.067%
Last 10 (10)82.881.8164.6+1.070%
Last 5 (5)87.879.6167.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)77.080.4157.4-3.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.779.3166.1+7.485%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
62avg 78
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
89avg 78
H12/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 78
H17/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
85avg 78
A20/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
109-83
109
83
+26
109avg 78
A22/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 78
H26/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
76-94
76
94
-18
66avg 78
A28/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
85-96
85
96
-11
71avg 78
H31/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
90-105
90
105
-15
82avg 78
H02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
84avg 78
H05/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
20-14
17-27
14-18
28-30
18-21
18-23
26-17
10-24
20-21
16-24
20-17
19-26
22-18
21-25
23-21
22-19
30-16
34-18
23-30
15-28
19-17
17-16
18-19
21-22
29-21
12-21
14-30
15-22
32-21
17-24
21-29
21-30
14-25
32-24
23-26
18-27
19-20
26-18
25-16
171.1Avg total
82.5Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.991.5171.4-11.616%
Season at home (11)80.989.8170.7-8.918%
Season away (8)78.593.9172.4-15.412%
Last 10 (10)82.588.6171.1-6.120%
Last 5 (5)81.691.2172.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)79.290.3169.4-11.120%
vs Similar (4)77.276.0153.2+1.275%
vs Weaker (6)87.289.5176.7-2.317%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
FenerbahceAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A05/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/12
Euroleague
Tofas
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A17/12
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/12
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H03/01
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A05/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.0Avg total
42.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.178.9+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.938.379.2+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)40.638.078.6+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.581.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.483.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)39.839.279.0+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.237.678.8+3.660%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H12/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A20/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A22/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H31/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/01
BBL
85.1Avg total
40.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.944.383.2-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.244.281.4-6.931%-
Last 30 away (14)40.744.585.2-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.385.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.687.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.746.083.7-8.315%-
vs Similar (4)34.540.575.0-6.050%-
vs Weaker (6)45.741.387.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.6
48.7%
54.5%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.2
35.5%
36.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.413.5
77.6%
78.0%13.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.9
58.3%
54.5%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.7
29.8%
36.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.815.8
72.5%
78.0%15.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWLWLWLWW
Alba Berlin
WLLLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#18
-6.7
Net rating
-7.8
107.1
Offensive rating
108.5
113.8
Defensive rating
116.4
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.5%
3-point %
29.8%
54.5%
Assist %
63.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 108.5Defence113.8 · 116.4Shooting50.8% · 53.3%3-point %35.5% · 29.8%Ball care17.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds30.3% · 28.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
17/10/24Alba Berlin v Fenerbahce71-78
29/03/24Fenerbahce v Alba Berlin103-68
22/12/23Alba Berlin v Fenerbahce82-91
03/02/23Fenerbahce v Alba Berlin101-86
08/12/22Alba Berlin v Fenerbahce75-104
29/03/22Fenerbahce v Alba Berlin57-66
12/10/21Alba Berlin v Fenerbahce84-70
19/02/21Fenerbahce v Alba Berlin89-84
10/12/20Alba Berlin v Fenerbahce89-63
09/12/08Alba Berlin v Fenerbahce72-63
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25AKarsiyaka101-90
03/01/25HAnadolu Efes84-76
29/12/24HMerkezefendi91-72
27/12/24APartizan81-90
22/12/24ABahcesehir Kol.82-70
17/12/24ABarcelona63-90
14/12/24HTofas90-88
12/12/24HMonaco69-99
08/12/24ATurk Telekom85-73
05/12/24AReal Madrid82-70
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HBayern88-81
02/01/25HMonaco90-105
31/12/24HRostock85-96
28/12/24ASyntainics MBC76-94
26/12/24HReal Madrid69-80
22/12/24AGottingen109-83
20/12/24AOlympiacos85-90
17/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas66-86
12/12/24HPartizan90-91
08/12/24ABamberg67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW61%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayWLWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%56%67%
Points / game78.479.277.6
Allowed / game79.580.478.6
Point differential-1.1-1.2-1.0
Avg total157.9159.7156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %16%18%12%
Points / game79.980.978.5
Allowed / game91.589.893.9
Point differential-11.6-8.9-15.4
Avg total171.4170.7172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%9%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1913668%87.781.4+6.3
2 Olympiacos1913668%85.681.5+4.1
3 Panathinaikos1912763%87.382.1+5.2
4 Paris1811761%86.184.6+1.5
5 Fenerbahce1811761%78.479.5-1.1
6 Crvena zvezda1911858%82.781.0+1.7
7 Bayern1911858%86.586.9-0.5
8 Real Madrid1910953%84.681.6+3.1
9 Anadolu Efes1910953%84.082.4+1.6
10 Barcelona1910953%85.684.3+1.3
11 Zalgiris Kaunas1910953%77.476.9+0.5
12 Olimpia Milano1910953%86.185.8+0.2
13 Partizan1991047%82.580.9+1.6
14 Baskonia1981142%78.781.1-2.4
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne1981142%80.783.9-3.2
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1951426%84.088.1-4.1
17 Virtus Bologna1951426%81.585.6-4.1
18 Alba Berlin1931616%79.991.5-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1621242990
Alba Berlin1123261373
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.