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Botafogo vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-92
26-20 21-21 15-22 23-29
Position#18
Record8-20
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game81.0
Botafogo
Brazil
vs
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
Position#3
Record21-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game74.8
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Botafogo v Flamengo
11 Apr 2026
BOTA89
FLAM102
29 Mar 2025
BOTA85
FLAM92
20 Apr 2024
BOTA87
FLAM92
06 Feb 2024
BOTA78
FLAM102
24 Mar 2020
BOTA v FLAM
upcoming
14 May 2019
BOTA75
FLAM90
03 May 2019
BOTA77
FLAM79
01 Mar 2019
BOTA67
FLAM73
12 Mar 2018
BOTA84
FLAM90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 65
A09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 65
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
71-83
71
83
-12
64avg 65
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
67-78
67
78
-11
59avg 65
A06/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
69avg 65
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
86avg 65
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
61avg 65
H03/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
66-80
66
80
-14
54avg 65
A13/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
71-94
71
94
-23
66avg 65
A17/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
18-24
14-12
21-19
23-24
16-18
20-22
20-20
17-30
18-15
15-15
21-23
20-17
17-18
19-21
18-27
11-24
21-19
19-12
16-23
27-24
20-18
10-32
20-16
26-29
24-27
19-13
22-7
18-27
17-14
15-16
21-11
20-18
13-23
19-19
14-20
14-24
18-22
22-24
17-24
154.1Avg total
73.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.081.0154.0-7.929%
Season at home (14)73.780.4154.1-6.636%
Season away (14)72.481.6153.9-9.221%
Last 10 (10)73.081.1154.1-8.120%
Last 5 (5)75.281.6156.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)72.483.3155.8-10.921%
vs Similar (6)75.072.8147.8+2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
110-65
110
65
+45
114avg 81
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#17
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 81
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-71
85
71
+14
87avg 81
H15/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
92avg 81
H28/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 81
A03/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 81
A05/03
NBB
Paisas
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
68avg 81
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
102-65
102
65
+37
101avg 81
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Minas
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
59avg 81
A19/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 81
H27/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
26-17
32-13
23-16
20-21
21-19
24-17
19-22
17-22
30-19
24-17
14-13
19-12
27-22
25-22
20-25
21-20
18-19
25-17
18-21
20-15
20-22
19-21
23-27
23-19
25-24
20-17
21-12
29-12
37-21
23-17
13-15
23-27
15-20
21-22
11-25
16-19
16-22
29-15
23-22
164.6Avg total
87.9Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.874.8158.5+9.075%
Season at home (15)83.774.0157.7+9.780%
Season away (13)83.875.6159.5+8.269%
Last 10 (10)87.976.7164.6+11.280%
Last 5 (5)85.478.8164.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)76.080.0156.0-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)89.074.9163.9+14.085%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
BotafogoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A13/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
NBB
80.3Avg total
36.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.141.576.6-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.741.877.5-6.127%-
Last 30 away (15)34.541.375.8-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)36.843.580.3-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.284.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.643.678.2-9.012%-
vs Similar (6)37.033.270.2+3.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H15/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H28/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/03
NBB
Paisas
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
66-33
66
33
+33
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Minas
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A19/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H27/03
NBB
84.3Avg total
45.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.183.5+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.237.182.3+8.174%-
Last 30 away (11)43.142.685.7+0.555%-
Last 10 (10)45.239.184.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.285.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)39.742.382.0-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.038.783.7+6.369%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.5
50.5%
50.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.2
30.2%
33.0%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.412.4
63.9%
72.7%12.4
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.6
56.8%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.4
37.4%
33.0%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.013.7
72.1%
72.7%13.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLWWLLLLLL
Flamengo
WLWWLWWWWW
#18
League position
#3
-11.5
Net rating
+15.2
95.9
Offensive rating
114.3
107.3
Defensive rating
99.1
48.8%
Effective FG%
56.5%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
20.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.2%
3-point %
37.4%
58.4%
Assist %
62.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 114.3Defence107.3 · 99.1Shooting48.8% · 56.5%3-point %30.2% · 37.4%Ball care20.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds27.8% · 32.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Botafogo   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Botafogo wins
9
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
13/11/24Flamengo v Botafogo91-67
27/04/24Flamengo v Botafogo78-56
20/04/24Botafogo v Flamengo87-92
06/02/24Botafogo v Flamengo78-102
07/11/23Flamengo v Botafogo92-69
25/11/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-72
15/05/19Botafogo v Flamengo75-90
11/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo77-81
09/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-69
04/05/19Botafogo v Flamengo77-79
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25ABrasilia71-94
13/03/25AVasco66-80
03/03/25HSao Jose71-68
16/02/25HPato91-76
08/02/25AUniao Corinthians77-90
06/02/25ACaxias do Sul67-78
20/01/25HCearense74-83
16/01/25HUnifacisa71-83
11/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-84
09/01/25APinheiros63-75
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HVasco84-78
19/03/25AMinas70-94
14/03/25HPaisas102-65
09/03/25APaisas89-72
05/03/25ACaxias do Sul82-85
03/03/25AUniao Corinthians82-77
28/02/25HPato91-81
15/02/25HUnifacisa85-71
13/02/25HCearense84-79
11/02/25HToros del Chiriqui110-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL29%
HomeWLLWW36%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%36%21%
Points / game73.073.772.4
Allowed / game81.080.481.6
Point differential-7.9-6.6-9.2
Avg total154.0154.1153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Flamengo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %75%80%69%
Points / game83.883.783.8
Allowed / game74.874.075.6
Point differential+9.0+9.7+8.2
Avg total158.5157.7159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%53%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2723485%82.871.5+11.3
2 Flamengo2821775%83.874.8+9.0
3 Franca2819968%83.777.6+6.0
4 Brasilia29191066%82.580.0+2.5
5 Uniao Corinthians27161159%79.378.8+0.4
6 Vasco29161355%77.276.0+1.2
7 Bauru29161355%78.079.0-1.0
8 Pinheiros29151452%76.375.5+0.9
9 Corinthians Paulista29141548%80.679.1+1.4
10 Unifacisa29141548%75.375.6-0.2
11 Sao Jose29141548%78.178.6-0.5
12 Paulistano29131645%78.877.1+1.7
13 Pato30121840%82.283.9-1.6
14 Sao Paulo30111937%75.579.1-3.6
15 Caxias do Sul28101836%74.579.3-4.8
16 Mogi2992031%74.081.4-7.4
17 Botafogo2882029%73.081.0-7.9
18 Cearense2982128%71.978.3-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2621152385
Flamengo2021222992
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