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Real Madrid vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 86-96
19-22 19-25 16-26 32-23
Position#8
Record12-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.2
Real Madrid
vs
Olympiacos 🏆
Position#2
Record15-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22· WiZink Center
European cup2024
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olympiacos
07 Jan 2027
MAD v OLY
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
MAD89
OLY77
01 May 2025
MAD84
OLY86
29 Apr 2025
MAD80
OLY72
16 Jan 2025
MAD86
OLY96
24 May 2024
MAD87
OLY76
25 Jan 2024
MAD90
OLY85
19 Oct 2022
MAD87
OLY89
02 Feb 2022
MAD75
OLY67
02 Apr 2021
MAD72
OLY63
10 Jan 2019
MAD94
OLY78
09 Feb 2018
MAD79
OLY80
12 Oct 2016
MAD83
OLY65
28 Jan 2016
MAD84
OLY72
17 May 2015
MAD78
OLY59
25 Apr 2014
MAD83
OLY69
17 Apr 2014
MAD82
OLY77
15 Apr 2014
MAD88
OLY71
25 Nov 2010
MAD82
OLY68
02 Apr 2009
MAD75
OLY78
31 Mar 2009
MAD71
OLY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
W
94-72
94
72
+22
96avg 83
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
76avg 83
A22/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-69
80
69
+11
78avg 83
A26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
73-71
73
71
+2
63avg 83
H29/12
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
88-76
88
76
+12
81avg 83
H03/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
84avg 83
A06/01
ACB
Granada
#17
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 83
A08/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
83-64
83
64
+19
77avg 83
A10/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
96-86
96
86
+10
92avg 83
H12/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
116-113
116
113
+3
110avg 83
H14/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
24-13
24-12
17-25
9-17
21-23
29-16
25-29
28-15
17-19
16-17
19-18
21-15
15-16
21-20
16-20
23-16
24-14
15-20
26-26
28-18
19-21
16-17
26-26
18-25
20-23
18-16
28-15
15-26
20-8
20-12
28-18
15-20
30-22
34-16
17-28
33-30
24-33
34-27
25-23
168.4Avg total
88.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.082.2168.3+3.857%
Season at home (11)89.983.9173.8+6.073%
Season away (10)81.880.4162.2+1.440%
Last 10 (10)88.779.7168.4+9.090%
Last 5 (5)93.684.8178.4+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.279.7162.9+3.650%
vs Weaker (18)88.777.9166.6+10.883%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
87-77
87
77
+10
85avg 83
H18/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
80avg 83
H20/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
106-94
106
94
+12
112avg 83
H22/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
82avg 83
A26/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 83
H29/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
92-85
92
85
+7
86avg 83
A02/01
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
92avg 83
A04/01
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
112-69
112
69
+43
119avg 83
H10/01
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
93-72
93
72
+21
94avg 83
H12/01
Basket League
Baskonia
#14
W
102-101 OT
102
101
+1
95avg 83
A14/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
14-29
21-10
23-21
26-19
18-22
25-21
21-23
26-27
30-20
26-22
24-25
19-19
22-21
23-20
20-23
23-19
23-26
25-14
16-18
18-22
22-30
27-19
25-14
16-22
30-20
25-14
17-21
28-14
23-23
27-20
34-12
20-17
23-17
29-18
21-20
16-17
24-25
27-27
22-20
176.1Avg total
94.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.681.8169.4+5.871%
Season at home (10)90.276.7166.9+13.590%
Season away (11)85.386.5171.7-1.255%
Last 10 (10)94.182.0176.1+12.1100%
Last 5 (5)97.480.8178.2+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.580.8163.2+1.850%
vs Weaker (22)91.679.3171.0+12.391%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
Real MadridOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/12
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H03/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A06/01
ACB
Granada
#17
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A08/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A10/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H14/01
Euroleague
82.9Avg total
43.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.181.6+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.138.382.4+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)40.540.280.6+0.354%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.682.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.289.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.839.678.3-0.842%-
vs Weaker (18)45.138.883.8+6.378%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H18/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H20/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H22/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A02/01
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/01
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H10/01
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/01
Basket League
Baskonia
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/01
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
45.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.239.583.7+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.641.086.6+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)43.038.281.2+4.869%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.687.6+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.485.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.539.279.8+1.262%-
vs Weaker (22)45.539.685.2+5.968%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.1
54.8%
54.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.7
35.1%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.716.4
79.2%
78.0%16.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.422.4
63.3%
54.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.4
40.4%
36.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
78.0%14.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLW
Olympiacos
WWWWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#2
+11.7
Net rating
+17.7
119.3
Offensive rating
128.9
107.6
Defensive rating
111.2
53.9%
Effective FG%
62.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
60.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.1%
3-point %
40.4%
56.5%
Assist %
72.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 128.9Defence107.6 · 111.2Shooting53.9% · 62.1%3-point %35.1% · 40.4%Ball care15.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds36.0% · 35.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 100%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
4
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
29/10/24Olympiacos v Real Madrid79-69
24/05/24Real Madrid v Olympiacos87-76
25/01/24Real Madrid v Olympiacos90-85
05/12/23Olympiacos v Real Madrid71-77
21/05/23Olympiacos v Real Madrid78-79
20/01/23Olympiacos v Real Madrid73-60
19/10/22Real Madrid v Olympiacos87-89
02/02/22Real Madrid v Olympiacos75-67
08/10/21Olympiacos v Real Madrid74-68
02/04/21Real Madrid v Olympiacos72-63
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv116-113
12/01/25HTenerife96-86
10/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas83-64
08/01/25AGranada84-79
06/01/25ABaskonia89-82
03/01/25HBayern88-76
29/12/24HBarcelona73-71
26/12/24AAlba Berlin80-69
22/12/24AValencia84-85
19/12/24HMonaco94-72
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25ABaskonia102-101 OT
12/01/25HAS Karditsas93-72
10/01/25HBayern112-69
04/01/25AAris88-77
02/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas92-85
29/12/24HLavrio87-77
26/12/24AOlimpia Milano84-83
22/12/24HMaroussi106-94
20/12/24HAlba Berlin90-85
18/12/24HVirtus Bologna87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayWLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%73%40%
Points / game86.089.981.8
Allowed / game82.283.980.4
Point differential+3.8+6.0+1.4
Avg total168.3173.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%90%55%
Points / game87.690.285.3
Allowed / game81.876.786.5
Point differential+5.8+13.5-1.2
Avg total169.4166.9171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2115671%87.681.8+5.8
2 Fenerbahce2013765%79.879.8+0.1
3 Monaco2113862%87.882.9+5.0
4 Panathinaikos2113862%87.082.1+4.9
5 Paris2113862%85.884.5+1.3
6 Real Madrid2112957%86.082.2+3.8
7 Barcelona2112957%86.083.7+2.3
8 Crvena zvezda2112957%83.281.1+2.0
9 Bayern2112957%86.088.5-2.4
10 Olimpia Milano22121055%86.984.7+2.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas21111052%76.876.8-0.0
12 Partizan22111150%83.480.2+3.2
13 Anadolu Efes21101148%83.682.7+1.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne22101245%80.684.2-3.6
15 Baskonia2181338%79.681.9-2.3
16 Virtus Bologna2161529%80.684.7-4.0
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2251723%84.890.6-5.8
18 Alba Berlin2231914%79.592.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1919163286
Olympiacos2225262396
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