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Real Madrid vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 90-89
22-21 20-24 22-22 26-22
Position#8
Record12-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#14
Record9-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23· WiZink Center
European cup2024
Meetings · Real Madrid v Baskonia
18 Mar 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
07 Feb 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
27 May 2026
MAD83
BAS88
11 Dec 2025
MAD94
BAS87
03 Jun 2025
MAD82
BAS76
16 Mar 2025
MAD83
BAS78
23 Jan 2025
MAD90
BAS89
12 May 2024
MAD106
BAS100
25 Apr 2024
MAD101
BAS90
23 Apr 2024
MAD90
BAS74
05 Apr 2024
MAD91
BAS95
19 Mar 2023
MAD88
BAS95
07 Mar 2023
MAD81
BAS85
04 Jun 2022
MAD83
BAS71
02 Jun 2022
MAD94
BAS84
06 Mar 2022
MAD72
BAS80
14 Jan 2022
MAD89
BAS74
05 Feb 2021
MAD64
BAS84
02 Dec 2020
MAD92
BAS83
10 Feb 2019
MAD82
BAS76
19 Oct 2018
MAD97
BAS79
22 Sep 2018
MAD80
BAS73
15 Jun 2018
MAD98
BAS91
13 Jun 2018
MAD90
BAS94
03 May 2018
MAD101
BAS89
17 Jan 2018
MAD75
BAS73
09 Apr 2017
MAD86
BAS82
25 Oct 2016
MAD87
BAS91
18 May 2016
MAD93
BAS88
05 Feb 2016
MAD68
BAS77
11 Jan 2015
MAD75
BAS74
20 Oct 2013
MAD105
BAS72
28 Oct 2012
MAD83
BAS81
02 Jun 2012
MAD76
BAS69
26 May 2012
MAD73
BAS64
24 May 2012
MAD71
BAS81
22 Jan 2012
MAD84
BAS73
23 Apr 2011
MAD76
BAS71
04 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS62
02 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS67
01 May 2010
MAD74
BAS80
04 Jun 2009
MAD102
BAS82
14 Feb 2009
MAD81
BAS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-69
80
69
+11
78avg 83
A26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
73-71
73
71
+2
63avg 83
H29/12
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
88-76
88
76
+12
81avg 83
H03/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
84avg 83
A06/01
ACB
Granada
#17
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 83
A08/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
83-64
83
64
+19
77avg 83
A10/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
96-86
96
86
+10
92avg 83
H12/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
116-113
116
113
+3
110avg 83
H14/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
86-96
86
96
-10
79avg 83
H16/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
100-84
100
84
+16
99avg 83
A19/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
17-19
16-17
19-18
21-15
15-16
21-20
16-20
23-16
24-14
15-20
26-26
28-18
19-21
16-17
26-26
18-25
20-23
18-16
28-15
15-26
20-8
20-12
28-18
15-20
30-22
34-16
17-28
33-30
24-33
34-27
25-23
19-22
19-25
16-26
32-23
22-24
34-17
21-18
23-25
171.5Avg total
89.5Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.082.9168.9+3.255%
Season at home (12)89.684.9174.5+4.767%
Season away (10)81.880.4162.2+1.440%
Last 10 (10)89.582.0171.5+7.590%
Last 5 (5)96.288.6184.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.581.7164.2+0.842%
vs Weaker (18)88.978.8167.8+10.183%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
W
94-81
94
81
+13
87avg 79
H27/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
83avg 79
A29/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
73-75
73
75
-2
63avg 79
H02/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 79
H06/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
114-66
114
66
+48
106avg 79
H08/01
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
74-76
74
76
-2
66avg 79
A10/01
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
67-96
67
96
-29
48avg 79
A12/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
101-102 OT
101
102
-1
102avg 79
H14/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
91-77
91
77
+14
88avg 79
H17/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
97-91
97
91
+6
89avg 79
H19/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
13-31
23-15
30-9
11-24
20-19
24-18
27-19
16-16
12-26
24-18
21-15
18-28
21-19
17-16
26-26
22-12
33-11
26-21
33-22
20-14
18-23
16-22
20-17
13-22
12-23
22-29
20-22
17-16
25-24
27-27
20-22
22-13
26-25
22-19
21-20
22-18
18-22
30-26
27-25
170.8Avg total
87.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.181.6161.7-1.541%
Season at home (12)84.980.2165.2+4.758%
Season away (10)74.383.3157.6-9.020%
Last 10 (10)87.583.3170.8+4.250%
Last 5 (5)86.088.4174.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.892.2176.0-8.420%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.180.7160.9-0.640%
vs Weaker (5)90.685.0175.6+5.680%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.8+4.8
Real MadridBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/12
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H03/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A06/01
ACB
Granada
#17
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A08/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A10/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H14/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H16/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A19/01
ACB
85.3Avg total
44.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.982.6+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.783.2+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)41.640.281.8+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.985.3+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.491.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.141.179.2-3.033%-
vs Weaker (18)45.739.284.8+6.578%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H27/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A29/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H02/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H06/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H08/01
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A10/01
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A12/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H17/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H19/01
ACB
79.9Avg total
38.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.382.3-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.642.283.8-0.731%-
Last 30 away (14)38.342.480.6-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.279.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.078.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.044.583.5-5.530%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.742.182.8-1.540%-
vs Weaker (5)40.238.478.6+1.820%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.6
56.7%
54.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
78.0%16.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.5
53.9%
54.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.1
36.7%
36.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.316.2
76.1%
78.0%16.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWWW
Baskonia
WWLLLWLLWW
#8
League position
#14
+9.6
Net rating
+7.2
119.5
Offensive rating
117.3
110.0
Defensive rating
110.1
54.9%
Effective FG%
54.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.6%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.9%
3-point %
36.7%
55.3%
Assist %
58.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.5 · 117.3Defence110.0 · 110.1Shooting54.9% · 54.4%3-point %34.9% · 36.7%Ball care15.1% · 15.6%Off. rebounds34.3% · 32.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
06/01/25Baskonia v Real Madrid82-89
15/10/24Baskonia v Real Madrid76-72
12/05/24Real Madrid v Baskonia106-100
01/05/24Baskonia v Real Madrid98-102
25/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia101-90
23/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia90-74
05/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia91-95
07/01/24Baskonia v Real Madrid85-99
06/10/23Baskonia v Real Madrid77-79
19/03/23Real Madrid v Baskonia88-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25AMoraBanc Andorra100-84
16/01/25HOlympiacos86-96
14/01/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv116-113
12/01/25HTenerife96-86
10/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas83-64
08/01/25AGranada84-79
06/01/25ABaskonia89-82
03/01/25HBayern88-76
29/12/24HBarcelona73-71
26/12/24AAlba Berlin80-69
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HBreogan97-91
17/01/25HPanathinaikos91-77
14/01/25HOlympiacos101-102 OT
12/01/25ABasquet Girona67-96
10/01/25AVirtus Bologna74-76
08/01/25HLeyma Coruna114-66
06/01/25HReal Madrid82-89
02/01/25HCrvena zvezda73-75
29/12/24AManresa82-80
27/12/24HParis94-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game86.089.681.8
Allowed / game82.984.980.4
Point differential+3.2+4.7+1.4
Avg total168.9174.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%42%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW41%
HomeLWLLW58%
AwayWLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %41%58%20%
Points / game80.184.974.3
Allowed / game81.680.283.3
Point differential-1.5+4.7-9.0
Avg total161.7165.2157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2216673%88.082.0+6.0
2 Fenerbahce2114767%80.780.0+0.7
3 Monaco2314961%87.583.0+4.5
4 Panathinaikos2314961%86.782.3+4.4
5 Barcelona2213959%86.283.5+2.6
6 Paris2213959%85.884.8+1.0
7 Crvena zvezda23131057%83.081.3+1.6
8 Real Madrid22121055%86.082.9+3.2
9 Bayern22121055%85.488.2-2.8
10 Partizan23121152%83.880.5+3.3
11 Olimpia Milano23121152%86.085.8+0.2
12 Anadolu Efes23111248%84.682.3+2.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas23111248%77.178.3-1.1
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne22101245%80.684.2-3.6
15 Baskonia2291341%80.181.6-1.5
16 Virtus Bologna2371630%80.784.2-3.5
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2361726%84.889.8-5.0
18 Alba Berlin2231914%79.592.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2220222690
Baskonia2124222289
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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