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Fortitudo Bologna vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 95-92
22-18 19-23 28-16 26-35
Position#9
Record10-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game78.9
Fortitudo Bologna 🏆
Italy
vs
Virtus Roma
Italy
Position#15
Record7-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game84.6
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Virtus Roma
17 Jan 2021
FBO v VRO
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
FBO95
VRO92
01 May 2019
FBO103
VRO100
18 Oct 2008
FBO58
VRO82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
93-68
93
68
+25
95avg 71
H07/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A15/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
78-72
78
72
+6
75avg 71
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
62-94
62
94
-32
55avg 71
A25/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
69-89
69
89
-20
57avg 71
A29/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 71
H05/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
H11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
70-80
70
80
-10
69avg 71
A18/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
79-76
79
76
+3
79avg 71
H26/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
66-78
66
78
-12
64avg 71
A02/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-13
20-19
24-19
19-17
25-19
18-21
15-27
22-19
20-14
20-18
21-22
17-18
11-22
14-23
21-20
16-29
16-16
23-19
18-32
12-22
17-19
19-19
25-19
25-12
18-22
16-19
17-21
26-18
17-21
20-15
14-20
19-24
24-20
20-28
20-13
15-15
15-18
14-21
22-21
15-18
155.2Avg total
76.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.578.9155.4-2.550%
Season at home (10)82.075.5157.5+6.580%
Season away (10)70.982.3153.2-11.420%
Last 10 (10)76.079.2155.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)75.676.6152.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.282.3157.6-7.144%
vs Similar (8)81.680.1161.8+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.079.5162.5+3.562%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
L
69-99
69
99
-30
62avg 70
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
82avg 70
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
86avg 70
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
38avg 70
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
74avg 70
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
88-96
88
96
-8
74avg 70
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
52avg 70
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
83avg 70
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
75avg 70
H02/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-34
20-24
15-21
15-20
27-22
18-13
20-19
17-18
30-30
17-22
13-15
28-15
15-25
13-22
12-16
13-20
17-10
26-30
21-18
13-21
19-31
22-27
25-16
22-22
14-22
15-28
21-21
18-26
15-20
20-12
23-23
18-21
22-32
29-26
24-22
17-23
21-21
27-15
14-25
18-20
165.8Avg total
77.8Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.384.6161.9-7.235%
Season at home (10)75.682.2157.8-6.640%
Season away (10)79.187.0166.1-7.930%
Last 10 (10)77.888.0165.8-10.220%
Last 5 (5)81.893.0174.8-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.287.2164.3-10.022%
vs Similar (7)76.476.7153.1-0.329%
vs Weaker (5)88.275.4163.6+12.8100%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
Fortitudo BolognaVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A25/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A29/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A18/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H26/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A02/02
Lega A
76.3Avg total
37.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.180.9-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.939.782.6+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)36.742.579.2-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.676.3-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.476.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.140.879.9-1.756%-
vs Similar (8)39.241.580.8-2.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.541.281.7-0.631%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/02
Lega A
87.2Avg total
40.6Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.183.6-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.640.581.1+0.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.445.786.1-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.646.687.2-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.887.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.645.984.4-7.333%-
vs Similar (7)41.938.380.1+3.657%-
vs Weaker (5)45.639.885.4+5.880%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.0
51.6%
52.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.5
35.0%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.014.5
80.6%
73.6%14.5
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.6
51.8%
52.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.0
33.5%
35.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.811.6
65.2%
73.6%11.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
LWLLWLLWLW
Virtus Roma
LLLLLLLWWL
#9
League position
#15
-4.6
Net rating
-14.4
107.3
Offensive rating
103.8
111.9
Defensive rating
118.2
52.0%
Effective FG%
51.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
20.9%
Turnover %
19.4%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.0%
3-point %
33.5%
59.6%
Assist %
55.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 103.8Defence111.9 · 118.2Shooting52.0% · 51.3%3-point %35.0% · 33.5%Ball care20.9% · 19.4%Off. rebounds30.9% · 31.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fortitudo Bologna wins
3
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
20/10/19Virtus Roma v Fortitudo Bologna79-65
01/05/19Fortitudo Bologna v Virtus Roma103-100 OT
28/04/19Virtus Roma v Fortitudo Bologna77-77
01/02/09Virtus Roma v Fortitudo Bologna87-71
18/10/08Fortitudo Bologna v Virtus Roma58-82
Fortitudo Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/20ATreviso66-78
26/01/20HVarese79-76
18/01/20AVenezia70-80
11/01/20HPesaro77-80
05/01/20HReggiana86-69
29/12/19ATrieste69-89
25/12/19AVirtus Bologna62-94
22/12/19HBrindisi78-72
15/12/19ASassari80-86
07/12/19HTrento93-68
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/20HPistoia80-81
26/01/20ACremona92-103
19/01/20ABrindisi81-88 OT
12/01/20HVirtus Bologna68-97
29/12/19AReggiana88-96
26/12/19AVenezia77-79
22/12/19HBrescia53-83
14/12/19ATrento88-82
08/12/19HTrieste82-72
01/12/19AVarese69-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game76.582.070.9
Allowed / game78.975.582.3
Point differential-2.5+6.5-11.4
Avg total155.3157.5153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game77.375.679.1
Allowed / game84.682.287.0
Point differential-7.2-6.6-7.9
Avg total161.9157.8166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2015575%85.275.3+9.8
3 Brescia2013765%81.574.0+7.5
4 Olimpia Milano2013765%80.574.0+6.5
5 Cremona1912763%81.781.1+0.7
6 Brindisi2012860%83.781.0+2.7
7 Venezia20101050%78.075.5+2.5
8 Trento20101050%77.879.7-1.9
9 Fortitudo Bologna20101050%76.578.9-2.5
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu1991047%76.979.0-2.1
12 Reggiana2091145%83.183.8-0.8
13 Treviso2081240%77.379.2-1.9
14 Virtus Roma2071335%77.384.6-7.2
15 Trieste2061430%75.080.7-5.7
16 Pistoia2061430%73.782.8-9.2
17 Pesaro191185%79.391.9-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fortitudo Bologna2219282695
Virtus Roma1823163592
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