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Rytas vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 102-72
17-24 24-17 37-16 24-15
Position#2
Record13-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game81.8
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai
Lithuania
Position#11
Record3-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game84.5
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Rytas v Gargzdai
28 Apr 2027
RYT v GAR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
RYT102
GAR105
29 Mar 2026
RYT98
GAR77
24 Sep 2025
RYT99
GAR73
16 Dec 2023
RYT110
GAR79
06 May 2023
RYT91
GAR65
11 Feb 2023
RYT102
GAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
64avg 80
H07/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
L
78-81
78
81
-3
74avg 80
A11/01
Champions League
Prienai
#12
W
98-77
98
77
+21
102avg 80
H14/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
82-63
82
63
+19
75avg 80
H17/01
Champions League
Nevezis
#5
W
98-78 OT
98
78
+20
no box
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Manresa
#14
L
69-82
69
82
-13
58avg 80
A24/01
Champions League
Neptunas
#7
W
82-70
82
70
+12
77avg 80
A28/01
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
95-88
95
88
+7
93avg 80
H31/01
Champions League
Jonava
#6
W
75-62
75
62
+13
69avg 80
A04/02
LKL
Bonn
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 80
H08/02
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
15-26
24-16
23-22
23-17
11-29
24-11
20-24
19-26
39-12
19-19
21-20
18-15
23-22
22-13
19-13
22-23
27-19
13-20
19-11
19-19
18-26
12-18
20-19
22-15
20-21
27-11
13-23
26-14
22-17
22-26
25-31
14-15
18-20
19-12
24-15
16-28
23-26
20-12
20-20
160.7Avg total
83.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.181.8169.9+6.376%
Season at home (8)91.486.5177.9+4.962%
Season away (9)85.277.7162.9+7.689%
Last 10 (10)83.277.5160.7+5.760%
Last 5 (5)80.077.6157.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.884.5166.2-2.850%
vs Similar (5)80.883.0163.8-2.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)87.579.1166.6+8.471%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
77avg 74
H19/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
85-92
85
92
-7
85avg 74
A28/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 74
H04/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
A12/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
92-99
92
99
-7
85avg 74
A19/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
65avg 74
H21/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 74
H09/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
68-69
68
69
-1
65avg 74
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 74
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A06/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
12-25
31-27
18-24
17-26
15-22
26-25
27-19
18-23
23-14
18-25
9-23
26-24
18-30
16-21
22-21
25-21
24-35
26-18
17-25
14-20
19-17
17-33
21-19
12-27
27-15
17-16
18-13
18-15
10-25
22-19
18-10
18-17
22-17
14-10
25-25
15-29
20-16
27-19
28-28
165.1Avg total
79.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.184.5162.6-6.417%
Season at home (10)72.779.7152.4-7.020%
Season away (8)84.990.5175.4-5.612%
Last 10 (10)79.086.1165.1-7.120%
Last 5 (5)76.478.0154.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.186.9163.0-10.70%
vs Similar (4)85.076.2161.2+8.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
RytasGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H07/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A11/01
Champions League
Prienai
#12
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H14/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H17/01
Champions League
Nevezis
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Manresa
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A24/01
Champions League
Neptunas
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/01
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H31/01
Champions League
Jonava
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A04/02
LKL
Bonn
#1
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H08/02
Champions League
82.3Avg total
40.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.682.7+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.240.184.2+4.175%-
Last 30 away (14)41.939.181.0+2.757%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.482.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.279.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.047.889.8-5.825%-
vs Similar (5)41.640.882.4+0.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.737.881.5+5.976%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H19/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A12/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A19/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H21/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A06/02
LKL
81.4Avg total
37.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)36.943.280.1-6.317%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.540.175.6-4.620%-
Last 30 away (8)38.647.085.6-8.412%-
Last 10 (10)37.344.181.4-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.674.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.944.480.2-8.57%-
vs Similar (4)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.8
54.7%
54.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.1
34.9%
35.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.812.2
77.2%
74.2%12.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.5
53.0%
54.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.1
34.8%
35.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.615.1
66.8%
74.2%15.1
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
LWWWLWWWLL
Gargzdai
LWLWLLLLLL
#2
League position
#11
+8.6
Net rating
-9.3
112.7
Offensive rating
108.7
104.1
Defensive rating
118.0
53.7%
Effective FG%
52.7%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
21.1%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.9%
3-point %
34.8%
54.8%
Assist %
65.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 108.7Defence104.1 · 118.0Shooting53.7% · 52.7%3-point %34.9% · 34.8%Ball care18.2% · 21.1%Off. rebounds35.3% · 35.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Rytas   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rytas wins
0
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22Gargzdai v Rytas81-99
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23HBonn79-86
04/02/23AJonava75-62
31/01/23HBahcesehir Kol.95-88
28/01/23ANeptunas82-70
24/01/23AManresa69-82
21/01/23HNevezis98-78 OT
17/01/23HPAOK82-63
14/01/23HPrienai98-77
11/01/23APAOK78-81
07/01/23HBC Wolves76-88
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/23AJuventus90-92
30/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes79-69
15/01/23HJonava68-69
09/01/23HPrienai74-71
21/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-89
19/12/22ANevezis92-99
12/12/22ABC Wolves82-96
04/12/22HJuventus68-85
28/11/22AJonava85-92
19/11/22HRytas81-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%62%89%
Points / game88.191.485.2
Allowed / game81.886.577.7
Point differential+6.3+4.9+7.6
Avg total169.9177.9162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%25%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL17%
HomeLLWLW20%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %17%20%12%
Points / game78.172.784.9
Allowed / game84.579.790.5
Point differential-6.4-7.0-5.6
Avg total162.6152.4175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1815383%86.371.4+14.9
2 Rytas1713476%88.181.8+6.3
3 BC Wolves1813572%84.479.2+5.2
4 Juventus1813572%85.882.5+3.3
5 Jonava1811761%80.678.0+2.6
6 Lietkabelis1911858%84.382.5+1.8
7 Siauliai189950%82.483.4-0.9
8 Nevezis1881044%80.882.1-1.2
9 Neptunas1871139%77.481.2-3.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1841422%78.187.1-9.0
11 Gargzdai1831517%78.184.5-6.4
12 Prienai181176%77.590.1-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas17243724102
Gargzdai2417161572
← all games of the day
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