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Rytas vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 91-65
23-19 21-15 20-21 27-10
Position#2
Record26-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game83.3
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#11
Record6-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game84.2
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Rytas v Gargzdai
28 Apr 2027
RYT v GAR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
RYT102
GAR105
29 Mar 2026
RYT98
GAR77
24 Sep 2025
RYT99
GAR73
16 Dec 2023
RYT110
GAR79
06 May 2023
RYT91
GAR65
11 Feb 2023
RYT102
GAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
92-91
92
91
+1
90avg 84
H25/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
118-73
118
73
+45
118avg 84
H29/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
103-101
103
101
+2
96avg 84
H01/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
A10/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
66avg 84
A17/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
109-84
109
84
+25
112avg 84
H20/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
106-81
106
81
+25
112avg 84
A23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
99-93
99
93
+6
92avg 84
H26/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
102-98
102
98
+4
94avg 84
H01/05
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
97-86
97
86
+11
100avg 84
A04/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
27-15
30-28
22-23
27-19
33-21
35-17
23-16
27-31
24-25
23-22
29-23
25-18
26-29
19-19
20-20
25-20
22-20
13-20
15-21
23-21
31-19
29-20
26-24
23-17
31-23
21-21
31-20
27-24
18-15
31-21
23-33
18-27
26-28
29-16
29-27
25-25
19-23
22-17
31-21
186.5Avg total
99.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)93.183.3176.4+9.881%
Season at home (16)95.887.0182.8+8.875%
Season away (16)90.479.6170.0+10.888%
Last 10 (10)99.187.4186.5+11.790%
Last 5 (5)102.688.4191.0+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.890.2173.0-7.420%
vs Similar (6)87.888.8176.7-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)95.179.6174.6+15.589%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 70
H21/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 70
A26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
73-87
73
87
-14
64avg 70
H02/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
74avg 70
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
60avg 70
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 70
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 70
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 70
H02/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
22-17
27-25
13-20
19-27
24-20
14-29
13-20
13-21
16-30
25-14
19-22
20-25
12-22
28-21
17-22
14-14
26-29
18-9
19-24
15-14
16-10
19-18
15-25
15-19
13-9
20-17
8-15
20-27
20-18
22-23
16-21
19-20
28-22
18-18
21-31
9-25
17-26
18-13
21-22
155.6Avg total
73.2Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.184.2160.3-8.119%
Season at home (16)71.178.8149.9-7.825%
Season away (16)81.289.6170.8-8.412%
Last 10 (10)73.282.4155.6-9.220%
Last 5 (5)70.078.6148.6-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.884.8159.6-10.012%
vs Similar (5)80.677.4158.0+3.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -6.0-6.0
RytasGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H29/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H01/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A10/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A17/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H20/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H26/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H01/05
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A04/05
LKL
93.5Avg total
49.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.387.3+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.644.089.6+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)44.240.084.2+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)49.044.593.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.244.492.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.044.886.8-2.840%-
vs Similar (6)41.347.388.7-6.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.040.087.0+7.063%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H02/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/05
LKL
77.6Avg total
36.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.242.379.5-5.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.039.974.9-4.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.444.784.1-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)36.141.577.6-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.072.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.842.779.4-5.920%-
vs Similar (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 98.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.724.6
65.3%
54.9%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.2
40.2%
35.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.719.0
76.9%
74.2%19.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.6
49.7%
54.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.7
31.6%
35.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.912.5
69.8%
74.2%12.5
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WWWWWLWWWW
Gargzdai
LLLLLWLLLW
#2
League position
#11
+17.1
Net rating
-13.4
133.9
Offensive rating
100.6
116.8
Defensive rating
114.1
63.2%
Effective FG%
48.8%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
21.8%
42.6%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.2%
3-point %
31.6%
59.2%
Assist %
68.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence133.9 · 100.6Defence116.8 · 114.1Shooting63.2% · 48.8%3-point %40.2% · 31.6%Ball care17.0% · 21.8%Off. rebounds42.6% · 35.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Rytas   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rytas wins
0
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Rytas v Gargzdai102-72
19/11/22Gargzdai v Rytas81-99
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/23APrienai97-86
01/05/23HBC Wolves102-98
26/04/23HNevezis99-93
23/04/23AJonava106-81
20/04/23HSiauliai109-84
17/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas75-81
10/04/23ANeptunas90-86
01/04/23HJuventus103-101
29/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes118-73
25/03/23HLietkabelis92-91
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/23HLietkabelis65-86
29/04/23ANeptunas86-91
26/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes78-89
24/04/23HSiauliai56-60
18/04/23AJonava65-67
16/04/23HJuventus77-76
11/04/23APrienai77-90
02/04/23HNevezis73-87
26/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas70-96
21/03/23HBC Wolves85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWLWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %81%75%88%
Points / game93.195.890.4
Allowed / game83.387.079.6
Point differential+9.8+8.8+10.8
Avg total176.4182.8170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%31%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won91% (11)83% (6)100% (5)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %19%25%12%
Points / game76.171.181.2
Allowed / game84.278.889.6
Point differential-8.1-7.8-8.4
Avg total160.3149.9170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)38% (8)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3127487%87.172.2+15.0
2 Rytas3226681%93.183.3+9.8
3 BC Wolves32221069%85.878.9+7.0
4 Lietkabelis32221069%85.881.4+4.5
5 Jonava32181456%80.580.4+0.0
6 Juventus33181555%86.686.5+0.2
7 Neptunas32161650%80.581.8-1.3
8 Nevezis32131941%86.588.5-1.9
9 Siauliai32131941%83.286.3-3.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3382524%79.889.8-10.0
11 Gargzdai3262619%76.184.2-8.1
12 Prienai3342912%79.290.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas2321202791
Gargzdai1915211065
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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