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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 112-130
25-30 35-33 25-33 27-34
Position#16
Record12-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game116.9
Allowed / game113.2
vs
Position#6
Record13-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game124.5
Allowed / game115.2
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
121-98
121
98
+23
121avg 107
H11/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
123-114
123
114
+9
117avg 107
A13/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
133-98
133
98
+35
126avg 107
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
122-124
122
124
-2
112avg 107
H17/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
127-110
127
110
+17
116avg 107
A19/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
114-113
114
113
+1
110avg 107
H22/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-102
111
102
+9
99avg 107
H24/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
92-114
92
114
-22
74avg 107
H25/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
112-100
112
100
+12
104avg 107
A27/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
119-123
119
123
-4
109avg 107
A29/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
35-19
32-31
25-26
30-28
33-25
32-28
28-33
31-23
39-29
36-32
27-14
21-25
37-32
37-20
27-47
35-32
29-29
36-21
27-28
32-24
30-25
19-33
33-31
25-30
24-26
37-24
25-22
23-30
27-29
25-25
17-30
41-16
26-29
16-28
29-27
25-25
27-31
30-38
37-29
227.0Avg total
117.4Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)116.9113.2230.1+3.860%
Season at home (11)117.2108.6225.8+8.573%
Season away (9)116.6118.7235.2-2.144%
Last 10 (10)117.4109.6227.0+7.870%
Last 5 (5)109.6110.4220.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)110.1124.8234.9-14.718%
vs Similar ◀ (11)110.8113.9224.7-3.145%
vs Weaker (8)121.8109.2231.0+12.575%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
117-100
117
100
+17
118avg 115
H09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
122-108
122
108
+14
118avg 115
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
130-116
130
116
+14
123avg 115
A13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
123-112
123
112
+11
122avg 115
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
127-130
127
130
-3
117avg 115
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-118
125
118
+7
128avg 115
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
112-109
112
109
+3
111avg 115
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
123-128
123
128
-5
114avg 115
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
125-115
125
115
+10
124avg 115
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
136-139
136
139
-3
130avg 115
H29/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
25-29
39-35
22-18
33-34
27-22
25-26
37-26
39-35
24-33
43-22
24-26
29-31
26-29
32-26
36-26
28-30
36-33
29-40
34-27
26-30
36-28
35-25
28-35
25-12
21-37
34-29
32-31
35-30
30-31
27-30
31-37
27-23
35-31
31-31
32-30
33-41
41-18
30-44
32-36
241.5Avg total
124.0Scored
117.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)124.5115.2239.7+9.372%
Season at home (9)126.6115.1241.7+11.467%
Season away (9)122.4115.3237.8+7.178%
Last 10 (10)124.0117.5241.5+6.570%
Last 5 (5)124.2121.8246.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar ◀ (12)118.6113.0231.6+5.675%
vs Weaker (11)123.5114.6238.1+8.864%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H11/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A13/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H17/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A19/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H22/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H24/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H25/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A27/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A29/11
NBA
112.8Avg total
59.9Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.757.6113.3-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.156.6112.8-0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)55.158.8113.9-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)59.952.9112.8+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.0109.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)52.461.5113.8-9.118%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)55.358.0113.3-2.745%-
vs Weaker (8)60.851.9112.6+8.975%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H29/11
NBA
118.2Avg total
60.7Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.457.5115.9+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.454.9116.2+6.579%-
Last 30 away (16)55.959.8115.6-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)60.757.5118.2+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)61.856.2118.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)59.457.7117.1+1.850%-
vs Weaker (11)62.555.6118.1+6.8100%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.928.5
54.9%
54.8%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.514.0
37.3%
35.8%42.0
🏀 Free throws23.318.4
79.0%
78.1%18.4
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 124.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.830.7
57.1%
54.8%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.813.6
40.2%
35.8%40.8
🏀 Free throws26.921.8
81.0%
78.1%21.8
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWLWWWLWWW
Denver Nuggets
LWLWWLWWWW
#16
League position
#6
+7.6
Net rating
+6.4
115.1
Offensive rating
122.9
107.5
Defensive rating
116.4
55.4%
Effective FG%
58.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
13.5%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.3%
3-point %
40.2%
55.1%
Assist %
62.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 122.9Defence107.5 · 116.4Shooting55.4% · 58.3%3-point %37.3% · 40.2%Ball care15.6% · 13.5%Off. rebounds31.6% · 30.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Phoenix Suns wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25AOklahoma City Thunder119-123
27/11/25ASacramento Kings112-100
25/11/25HHouston Rockets92-114
24/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs111-102
22/11/25HMinnesota Timberwolves114-113
19/11/25APortland Trail Blazers127-110
17/11/25HAtlanta Hawks122-124
14/11/25HIndiana Pacers133-98
13/11/25ADallas Mavericks123-114
11/11/25HNew Orleans Pelicans121-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs136-139
25/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies125-115
23/11/25HSacramento Kings123-128
22/11/25AHouston Rockets112-109
20/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-118
18/11/25HChicago Bulls127-130
16/11/25AMinnesota Timberwolves123-112
13/11/25ALos Angeles Clippers130-116
12/11/25ASacramento Kings122-108
09/11/25HIndiana Pacers117-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayWWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %60%73%44%
Points / game116.9117.2116.6
Allowed / game113.2108.6118.7
Point differential+3.8+8.5-2.1
Avg total230.1225.8235.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL72%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%67%78%
Points / game124.5126.6122.4
Allowed / game115.2115.1115.3
Point differential+9.3+11.4+7.1
Avg total239.7241.7237.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%56%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2019195%122.2106.3+15.8
2 Detroit Pistons2016480%119.8114.0+5.8
3 Los Angeles Lakers1814478%118.9115.1+3.8
4 Houston Rockets1612475%121.1110.4+10.7
5 Denver Nuggets1813572%124.5115.2+9.3
6 San Antonio Spurs1813572%119.2112.9+6.3
7 Toronto Raptors2014670%118.8112.8+6.0
8 New York Knicks1812667%120.7114.0+6.7
9 Miami Heat2013765%123.5118.2+5.3
10 Orlando Magic2012860%119.2114.0+5.2
11 Phoenix Suns2012860%116.9113.2+3.8
12 Cleveland Cavaliers2012860%119.0115.5+3.5
13 Atlanta Hawks2012860%117.8115.7+2.0
14 Minnesota Timberwolves1911858%118.8114.2+4.6
15 Philadelphia 76ers1810856%117.3117.6-0.3
16 Boston Celtics1910953%114.8110.7+4.1
17 Golden State Warriors21111052%114.5113.6+1.0
18 Chicago Bulls1991047%119.9123.1-3.1
19 Milwaukee Bucks2191243%115.5117.7-2.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers1981142%118.4121.1-2.6
21 Memphis Grizzlies2081240%113.3117.0-3.7
22 Utah Jazz1861233%118.6125.2-6.6
23 Charlotte Hornets2061430%115.8120.2-4.3
24 Los Angeles Clippers1951426%111.9117.9-6.0
25 Dallas Mavericks2051525%110.0116.2-6.2
26 Sacramento Kings2051525%112.0123.3-11.3
27 Indiana Pacers2041620%109.8118.6-8.8
28 Brooklyn Nets1931616%108.4119.3-10.9
29 New Orleans Pelicans2031715%110.7121.5-10.8
30 Washington Wizards1821611%112.5127.7-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns25352527112
Denver Nuggets30333334130
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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