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Gorica vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 95-80
26-18 28-25 20-24 21-13
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game92.7
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#14
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game83.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 4· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gorica v Hermes
02 Nov 2024
GORI95
HERM80
11 Nov 2023
GORI99
HERM87
29 Mar 2021
GORI97
HERM65
24 Nov 2020
GORI113
HERM67
19 Oct 2019
GORI85
HERM66
08 Dec 2018
GORI98
HERM99
26 Nov 2016
GORI124
HERM113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 77
H16/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
69avg 77
A23/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
58avg 77
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
91-70
91
70
+21
97avg 77
A06/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-93
70
93
-23
58avg 77
A13/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
71avg 77
H16/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
71avg 77
A13/10
Prva Liga
Sencur
#11
L
78-108
78
108
-30
no box
H15/10
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#6
W
94-82
94
82
+12
95avg 77
H19/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 77
A26/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
19-15
19-28
16-26
30-29
16-12
21-20
15-14
16-20
23-22
18-19
14-14
26-12
22-25
23-11
20-22
19-25
11-16
23-22
17-30
16-34
21-19
25-16
16-23
21-27
12-26
20-25
18-35
25-24
17-25
19-35
17-24
20-24
33-23
22-19
19-16
17-27
18-12
22-22
28-22
167.6Avg total
80.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.392.7176.0-9.367%
Season at home (1)94.082.0176.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)78.098.0176.0-20.050%
Last 10 (10)80.087.6167.6-7.640%
Last 5 (5)81.295.6176.8-14.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.487.1161.6-12.714%
vs Similar (7)84.379.3163.6+5.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.973.9157.8+10.186%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
69-102
69
102
-33
65avg 85
H03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
84-98
84
98
-14
78avg 85
A06/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
79-77
79
77
+2
48avg 85
A09/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
99avg 85
H19/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
69-82
69
82
-13
66avg 85
A24/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
98-85
98
85
+13
100avg 85
A26/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
80avg 85
A06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 85
H12/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 85
A22/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
95-91
95
91
+4
90avg 85
H27/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-36
14-22
20-19
12-25
19-21
26-25
17-26
22-26
20-22
23-17
24-11
12-27
19-15
30-26
31-22
13-30
20-20
18-22
13-19
18-21
19-28
30-22
29-14
20-21
23-17
25-18
21-9
21-25
27-21
24-19
18-17
15-19
26-27
10-25
22-14
21-17
33-28
19-11
17-22
26-30
172.2Avg total
85.0Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.083.3169.3+2.767%
Season at home (2)89.583.5173.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)79.083.0162.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)85.087.2172.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)89.280.8170.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.392.0175.3-8.733%
vs Similar (5)90.887.4178.2+3.460%
vs Weaker (13)96.685.5182.2+11.162%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -6.1-6.1
GoricaHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A23/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A06/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H16/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A13/10
Prva Liga
Sencur
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H15/10
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H19/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A26/10
Prva Liga
84.1Avg total
40.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.781.2-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.440.883.1+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)38.540.679.1-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.384.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.048.288.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.942.379.1-5.429%-
vs Similar (7)44.740.785.4+4.086%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.638.379.9+3.350%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A06/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H19/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A24/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A26/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H12/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A22/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H27/10
Prva Liga
89.0Avg total
44.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.143.191.2+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.642.993.5+7.875%-
Last 30 away (14)45.243.488.6+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.844.289.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.243.290.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.547.591.0-4.025%-
vs Similar (5)48.042.490.4+5.680%-
vs Weaker (13)52.439.491.8+13.092%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.6
53.6%
52.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.2
33.1%
33.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws12.39.1
74.0%
70.4%9.1
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.3
55.0%
52.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.212.3
40.7%
33.7%36.9
🏀 Free throws13.39.2
69.2%
70.4%9.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
WWLLLLWLWL
Hermes
WLWWWLLWLL
#7
League position
#14
-5.0
Net rating
+1.2
102.4
Offensive rating
109.1
107.4
Defensive rating
108.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
57.8%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
18.0%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.20
33.1%
3-point %
40.7%
66.6%
Assist %
69.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 109.1Defence107.4 · 108.0Shooting52.0% · 57.8%3-point %33.1% · 40.7%Ball care19.6% · 18.0%Off. rebounds29.1% · 25.6%Free throws0.18 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Gorica   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Gorica wins
2
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Hermes v Gorica89-84
11/11/23Gorica v Hermes99-87
29/03/21Gorica v Hermes97-65
07/02/21Hermes v Gorica88-115
24/11/20Gorica v Hermes113-67
11/01/20Hermes v Gorica82-117
19/10/19Gorica v Hermes85-66
06/04/19Hermes v Gorica90-109
12/01/19Hermes v Gorica73-89
08/12/18Gorica v Hermes98-99
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ADakovo85-83
19/10/24HMarsonia94-82
15/10/24HSencur78-108
13/10/24AJazine71-113
16/04/24HKvarner78-92
13/04/24AKvarner70-93
06/04/24APodstrana91-70
28/03/24HKvarner71-75
23/03/24AOmis82-75
16/03/24HSamobor80-85
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HBosco95-91
22/10/24ASamobor79-83
12/10/24HOmis84-76
06/04/24ACrikvenica90-69
26/03/24AJazine98-85
24/03/24AKK Zagreb69-82
19/03/24HMarsonia103-109 OT
09/03/24APodstrana79-77
06/03/24AMladost84-98
03/03/24HKvarner69-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game83.394.078.0
Allowed / game92.782.098.0
Point differential-9.3+12.0-20.0
Avg total176.0176.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game86.089.579.0
Allowed / game83.383.583.0
Point differential+2.7+6.0-4.0
Avg total169.3173.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor440100%92.881.8+11.0
2 Skrljevo43175%89.878.8+11.0
3 Mladost43175%82.580.0+2.5
4 Jazine32167%99.787.0+12.7
5 Marsonia32167%87.779.3+8.3
6 Hermes32167%86.083.3+2.7
7 Gorica32167%83.392.7-9.3
8 Omis42250%71.266.5+4.8
9 Kastela42250%71.070.8+0.2
10 KK Zagreb31233%60.767.3-6.7
11 Sonik Puntamika41325%64.864.0+0.8
12 Dakovo41325%76.090.2-14.2
13 Crikvenica4040%66.878.5-11.8
14 Bosco3030%80.393.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2628202195
Hermes1825241380
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