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Gorica vs Podstrana Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-69
26-11 23-20 23-17 15-21
Position#4
Record7-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.1
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#14
Record4-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game82.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 13· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podstrana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
78avg 73
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
44-100
44
100
-56
no box
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
95avg 73
H11/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
82-63
82
63
+19
85avg 73
A19/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 73
H25/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 73
A02/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 73
A10/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
68-59
68
59
+9
62avg 73
H16/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
61avg 73
A23/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-7
23-9
22-27
13-23
12-28
10-26
12-23
10-23
21-19
22-6
9-18
12-21
18-35
21-16
23-17
37-19
17-11
16-23
24-9
25-20
19-22
25-13
19-21
26-11
21-24
19-17
16-17
13-21
20-22
20-31
14-19
20-13
21-16
13-17
16-17
18-9
10-29
24-22
16-25
21-18
154.0Avg total
75.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.074.1152.1+3.958%
Season at home (5)80.071.4151.4+8.680%
Season away (7)76.676.0152.6+0.643%
Last 10 (10)75.678.4154.0-2.850%
Last 5 (5)74.276.8151.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.791.8166.5-17.20%
vs Similar (17)82.380.9163.2+1.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)80.269.0149.2+11.283%
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodstranaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodstrana
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 62
H22/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
88avg 62
H29/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 62
A18/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 62
H26/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
79-93
79
93
-14
61avg 62
A03/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
62avg 62
H10/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
68-57
68
57
+11
60avg 62
H13/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
72-95
72
95
-23
59avg 62
A16/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
76-66
76
66
+10
66avg 62
H23/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
20-21
21-20
21-22
29-12
14-25
21-14
24-24
18-16
24-24
17-19
16-16
16-26
22-22
25-16
13-18
12-26
22-20
15-30
25-16
22-29
23-29
22-16
12-19
18-24
19-26
19-6
16-11
19-19
16-16
20-11
13-11
15-25
16-24
20-26
21-20
26-12
8-11
21-22
21-21
155.7Avg total
75.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.282.8156.0-9.533%
Season at home (7)73.777.0150.7-3.357%
Season away (5)72.690.8163.4-18.20%
Last 10 (10)75.780.0155.7-4.340%
Last 5 (5)73.475.6149.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.082.8155.8-9.836%
vs Similar (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
GoricaPodstrana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-16
48
16
+32
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H25/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A10/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A23/12
Prva Liga
77.0Avg total
37.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.078.4+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.938.978.8+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.139.178.1+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.377.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.681.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.344.579.8-9.217%-
vs Similar (17)42.137.980.0+4.165%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.034.073.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodstranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A18/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H26/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A03/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H13/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H23/12
Prva Liga
80.2Avg total
37.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)35.843.479.2-7.625%-
Last 30 at home (7)35.640.375.9-4.729%-
Last 30 away (5)36.247.884.0-11.620%-
Last 10 (10)37.043.280.2-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.079.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.643.078.6-7.427%-
vs Similar (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.5
55.7%
52.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.811.4
67.9%
71.2%11.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podstranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podstrana: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.120.4
46.3%
52.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.0
31.5%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws12.08.6
71.7%
71.2%8.6
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LWLLWWWLLW
Podstrana
WLWWLLLLWL
#4
League position
#14
+3.8
Net rating
-9.7
103.3
Offensive rating
92.2
99.6
Defensive rating
101.9
51.6%
Effective FG%
46.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
18.0%
Turnover %
21.3%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.17
30.1%
3-point %
31.5%
62.8%
Assist %
48.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 92.2Defence99.6 · 101.9Shooting51.6% · 46.6%3-point %30.1% · 31.5%Ball care18.0% · 21.3%Off. rebounds27.5% · 28.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Gorica   ■ Podstrana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
0
Podstrana wins
No previous meetings.
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AKvarner71-94
16/12/23HOmis68-59
10/12/23ASamobor74-85
02/12/23AStoja69-79
25/11/23HKastela89-67
19/11/23AMladost82-63
11/11/23HHermes99-87
04/11/23AOsijek77-84 OT
30/10/23HLTH Castings44-100
28/10/23HCrikvenica83-66
Podstranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HStoja76-66
16/12/23AKastela72-95
13/12/23HJazine68-57
10/12/23HMladost72-67
03/12/23AHermes79-93
26/11/23HOsijek74-92
18/11/23ACrikvenica76-82
04/11/23AKK Zagreb79-85 OT
29/10/23HMarsonia88-75
22/10/23HSamobor73-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%80%43%
Points / game78.080.076.6
Allowed / game74.171.476.0
Point differential+3.9+8.6+0.6
Avg total152.1151.4152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%0%14%
Podstrana
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW33%
HomeWLWWW57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%57%0%
Points / game73.273.772.6
Allowed / game82.877.090.8
Point differential-9.5-3.3-18.2
Avg total156.0150.7163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1211192%92.075.1+16.9
2 Osijek1211192%87.773.9+13.8
3 KK Zagreb139469%81.872.8+8.9
4 Kastela138562%80.875.8+4.9
5 Gorica127558%78.074.1+3.9
6 Samobor127558%80.782.5-1.8
7 Hermes126650%90.388.3+2.0
8 Omis126650%77.378.2-0.8
9 Jazine126650%85.388.6-3.2
10 Podstrana124833%73.282.8-9.5
11 Mladost123925%78.084.0-6.0
12 Marsonia123925%80.586.8-6.2
13 Stoja1221017%80.389.0-8.7
14 Crikvenica1221017%72.587.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2623231587
Podstrana1120172169
← all games of the day
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