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Sydney vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 90-94
29-17 19-29 25-31 17-17
Position#7
Record9-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game93.8
Sydney
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record5-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game89.6
AustraliaNBLRound 12· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sydney v Illawarra Hawks
25 Dec 2026
SYDN v ILLA
upcoming
27 Sep 2026
SYDN121
ILLA100
29 Jan 2026
SYDN122
ILLA104
25 Dec 2025
SYDN108
ILLA84
25 Dec 2024
SYDN108
ILLA111
29 Sep 2024
SYDN89
ILLA96
11 Feb 2024
SYDN95
ILLA106
25 Dec 2023
SYDN90
ILLA94
15 Jan 2023
SYDN84
ILLA79
20 Nov 2022
SYDN83
ILLA82
01 May 2022
SYDN99
ILLA87
24 Apr 2022
SYDN84
ILLA87
11 Dec 2021
SYDN84
ILLA92
11 Mar 2021
SYDN69
ILLA89
14 Feb 2021
SYDN82
ILLA85
14 Feb 2020
SYDN98
ILLA82
17 Nov 2019
SYDN92
ILLA87
13 Jan 2019
SYDN84
ILLA96
02 Nov 2018
SYDN86
ILLA79
05 Nov 2017
SYDN83
ILLA93
15 Oct 2017
SYDN103
ILLA87
23 Dec 2016
SYDN75
ILLA87
24 Oct 2016
SYDN90
ILLA73
09 Jan 2016
SYDN90
ILLA114
17 Oct 2015
SYDN86
ILLA100
15 Feb 2015
SYDN73
ILLA75
11 Oct 2014
SYDN86
ILLA83
15 Feb 2014
SYDN84
ILLA102
14 Dec 2013
SYDN63
ILLA69
15 Dec 2012
SYDN70
ILLA63
09 Nov 2012
SYDN65
ILLA51
24 Mar 2012
SYDN68
ILLA77
23 Oct 2011
SYDN95
ILLA89
21 Jan 2011
SYDN81
ILLA71
12 Dec 2010
SYDN80
ILLA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
80-87
80
87
-7
64avg 90
A28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
103-83
103
83
+20
101avg 90
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 90
H05/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
104-95
104
95
+9
103avg 90
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
93-105
93
105
-12
82avg 90
A19/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
105-114
105
114
-9
98avg 90
A01/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
89avg 90
A07/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
94-104
94
104
-10
83avg 90
H10/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 90
A17/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
101-109
101
109
-8
97avg 90
A22/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
22-25
19-18
19-18
20-17
32-25
32-18
19-23
27-21
28-23
17-23
15-18
20-26
25-25
31-20
28-24
22-21
31-17
19-27
21-40
26-23
31-27
26-33
22-31
33-15
15-22
23-21
15-25
30-32
19-26
22-24
23-22
21-24
18-9
18-19
33-30
17-29
36-24
15-33
33-23
189.0Avg total
94.3Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)95.493.8189.2+1.656%
Season at home (6)98.095.8193.8+2.267%
Season away (10)93.992.6186.5+1.350%
Last 10 (10)94.394.7189.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)95.298.4193.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)89.788.1177.8+1.650%
vs Weaker (14)95.794.3190.0+1.457%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
91-101
91
101
-10
67avg 71
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
71avg 71
H26/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
68avg 71
A29/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
83-103
83
103
-20
65avg 71
H03/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
50avg 71
A11/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
69-65
69
65
+4
66avg 71
A19/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 71
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
100-82
100
82
+18
94avg 71
H08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
100-72
100
72
+28
98avg 71
A16/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 71
H23/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
29-30
12-18
28-24
24-15
20-23
17-22
23-23
29-24
22-28
18-19
15-25
17-20
25-32
18-32
23-19
18-14
20-19
17-23
16-25
19-12
17-23
17-16
16-14
26-28
23-22
12-15
16-13
38-18
20-25
15-22
27-17
22-27
26-12
25-19
27-14
10-23
20-28
26-22
33-27
170.9Avg total
84.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.489.6175.0-4.336%
Season at home (7)91.695.9187.4-4.343%
Season away (7)79.183.4162.6-4.329%
Last 10 (10)84.886.1170.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)87.079.4166.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)82.595.0177.5-12.55%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.286.7167.9-5.433%
vs Weaker (2)106.589.0195.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
SydneyIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H05/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A19/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A01/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A07/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H10/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A17/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A22/12
NBL
95.0Avg total
49.3Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.846.393.1+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.549.396.8-1.838%-
Last 30 away (17)46.344.090.3+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)49.345.795.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)49.246.295.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.944.289.1+0.750%-
vs Weaker (14)49.048.797.7+0.343%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H20/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A29/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H03/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A11/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A16/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H23/12
NBL
89.9Avg total
44.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.946.990.9-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.649.895.4-4.129%-
Last 30 away (16)42.444.486.9-2.044%-
Last 10 (10)44.745.289.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.687.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)42.948.691.5-5.621%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.843.487.2+0.356%-
vs Weaker (2)54.047.0101.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 93.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.9
52.6%
50.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.812.1
35.8%
33.9%36.3
🏀 Free throws22.817.0
74.6%
73.8%17.0
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.323.7
50.1%
50.9%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.9
30.3%
33.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
73.8%12.7
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
LWLWLLWWWL
Illawarra Hawks
LWWLWLLLWL
#7
League position
#4
-1.2
Net rating
-2.2
111.8
Offensive rating
108.3
113.0
Defensive rating
110.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
13.1%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.8%
3-point %
30.3%
59.1%
Assist %
50.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 108.3Defence113.0 · 110.5Shooting53.1% · 48.4%3-point %35.8% · 30.3%Ball care17.8% · 13.1%Off. rebounds32.3% · 30.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Sydney   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Sydney wins
1
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
03/11/23Illawarra Hawks v Sydney83-103
30/09/23Illawarra Hawks v Sydney81-96
15/01/23Sydney v Illawarra Hawks84-79
16/12/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney79-86
20/11/22Sydney v Illawarra Hawks83-82
01/10/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney97-106
01/05/22Sydney v Illawarra Hawks99-87
29/04/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney79-89
24/04/22Sydney v Illawarra Hawks84-87
14/04/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney102-107 OT
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23ANew Zealand Breakers101-109
17/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers90-82
10/12/23HSouth East Melbourne94-104
07/12/23ACairns Taipans86-83
01/12/23APerth105-114
19/11/23AMelbourne United93-105
12/11/23HBrisbane Bullets104-95
05/11/23HNew Zealand Breakers87-85
03/11/23AIllawarra Hawks103-83
28/10/23ACairns Taipans80-87
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-100
16/12/23ASouth East Melbourne100-72
08/12/23HPerth100-82
03/12/23ABrisbane Bullets77-78
19/11/23ANew Zealand Breakers69-65
11/11/23ACairns Taipans71-81
03/11/23HSydney83-103
29/10/23AMelbourne United84-96
26/10/23HCairns Taipans84-83
20/10/23HMelbourne United91-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %56%67%50%
Points / game95.498.093.9
Allowed / game93.895.892.6
Point differential+1.6+2.2+1.3
Avg total189.2193.8186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL36%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game85.491.679.1
Allowed / game89.695.983.4
Point differential-4.3-4.3-4.3
Avg total175.0187.4162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1714382%95.386.1+9.2
2 Sydney169756%95.493.8+1.6
3 Perth169756%91.091.1-0.1
4 Tasmania JackJumpers1810856%89.284.2+5.1
5 South East Melbourne189950%89.691.6-1.9
6 Cairns Taipans178947%88.989.4-0.5
7 Brisbane Bullets1771041%86.589.8-3.2
8 New Zealand Breakers156940%89.689.9-0.3
9 Illawarra Hawks145936%85.489.6-4.3
10 Adelaide1651131%85.692.4-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney2919251790
Illawarra Hawks1729311794
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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