Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 79-102

16-22 18-24 23-26 22-30

Position#9

Record5-18

FormLLLLL

Points / game86.7

Allowed / game95.4

Illawarra Hawks

Sydney 🏆

Position#1

Record16-7

FormLWWLW

Points / game92.9

Allowed / game87.7

NBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

73-94

-21

H16/12

NBL

Adelaide

93-84

A20/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

89-91

-2

H22/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

102-112

102

112

-10

A28/12

NBL

Sydney

85-80

H31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

91-104

104

-13

H04/01

NBL

Adelaide

96-102

102

-6

A06/01

NBL

Perth

77-99

-22

H10/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

82-90

-8

H12/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

77-106

106

-29

A18/01

NBL

24-25

16-14

16-26

17-29

22-23

30-19

17-17

24-25

17-23

26-29

25-19

21-20

27-29

31-29

23-33

21-21

21-31

20-15

19-22

25-12

26-28

24-27

24-17

17-32

32-32

29-27

22-28

13-15

17-27

19-27

24-19

17-26

26-18

13-29

23-28

20-15

26-24

21-23

17-36

13-23

182.7Avg total

86.5Scored

96.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	86.7	95.4	182.1	-8.7	22%
Season at home (12)	84.8	92.0	176.8	-7.2	25%
Season away (11)	88.7	99.2	187.9	-10.5	18%
Last 10 (10)	86.5	96.2	182.7	-9.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	100.2	184.8	-15.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	87.0	97.7	184.8	-10.7	18%
vs Similar (2)	96.0	88.0	184.0	+8.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

98-109

109

-11

H08/12

NBL

Melbourne United

104-81

104

+23

A14/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

80-87

-7

A21/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

110-98

110

+12

H23/12

NBL

Perth

85-98

-13

H28/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

80-85

-5

A31/12

NBL

Adelaide

91-77

+14

H04/01

NBL

Cairns

92-83

H11/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

81-88

-7

A17/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

98-81

+17

H19/01

NBL

19-30

24-19

20-25

35-35

31-18

21-18

23-23

29-22

29-21

16-27

13-21

22-18

29-27

30-20

29-24

22-27

22-24

28-20

15-26

20-28

31-21

15-20

22-19

12-25

25-23

22-19

26-13

18-22

23-16

21-21

24-23

24-24

24-19

22-25

11-20

27-24

30-26

18-18

23-13

180.6Avg total

91.9Scored

88.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	92.9	87.7	180.6	+5.2	70%
Season at home (12)	97.8	89.1	186.8	+8.7	83%
Season away (11)	87.6	86.2	173.8	+1.5	55%
Last 10 (10)	91.9	88.7	180.6	+3.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	82.8	171.2	+5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	86.0	95.0	181.0	-9.0	0%
vs Similar (20)	91.2	89.0	180.2	+2.2	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	94.4	86.0	180.4	+8.4	89%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	26.5	50.3	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	25.5	49.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	27.5	51.3	-3.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	26.0	49.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	25.8	51.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	23.2	26.6	49.8	-3.5	21%	-
vs Similar (2)	32.0	24.5	56.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.4	22.6	48.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.9	22.6	48.4	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.9	22.7	47.6	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	22.8	48.8	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	21.6	47.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	12.0	38.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Similar (20)	25.2	23.2	48.5	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	25.8	22.4	48.2	+3.3	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	24.2	46.4	-1.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	23.2	43.5	-2.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.3	25.1	49.4	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	23.9	46.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	26.6	47.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	22.4	24.1	46.6	-1.7	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	24.5	44.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	21.9	44.9	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.0	21.2	46.2	+3.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	12.0	16.0	28.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	22.3	22.6	44.9	-0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	26.0	20.9	46.9	+5.1	78%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

40-39

H16/12

NBL

Adelaide

52-42

+10

A20/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-52

-9

H22/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

58-58

A28/12

NBL

Sydney

41-46

-5

H31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

50-55

-5

H04/01

NBL

Adelaide

61-59

A06/01

NBL

Perth

36-54

-18

H10/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

39-47

-8

H12/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-47

A18/01

NBL

96.6Avg total

46.7Scored

49.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	50.7	96.7	-4.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	48.7	92.7	-4.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.0	52.7	100.7	-4.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	49.9	96.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	52.4	99.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	45.6	50.8	96.4	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	52.0	49.0	101.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

43-49

-6

H08/12

NBL

Melbourne United

52-36

+16

A14/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

45-48

-3

A21/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

59-47

+12

H23/12

NBL

Perth

50-44

H28/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-41

A31/12

NBL

Adelaide

47-42

H04/01

NBL

Cairns

44-37

H11/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-43

A17/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

57-50

H19/01

NBL

92.8Avg total

49.1Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.5	44.5	93.0	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	50.9	43.8	94.6	+7.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.7	45.4	91.1	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.1	43.7	92.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	42.6	91.0	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	28.0	66.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Similar (20)	47.5	45.9	93.3	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	51.8	43.3	95.1	+8.4	100%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	24.1	45.0	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	27.2	47.9	-6.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	24.5	45.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	25.6	47.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	20.8	24.4	45.2	-3.6	36%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	21.3	44.2	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.3	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.6	41.9	-1.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.2	38.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	20.0	21.8	41.7	-1.8	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.9	43.5	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	23.6	46.2	-1.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.3	44.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	26.0	48.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.6	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	45.7	86.7	-4.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.0	42.6	83.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.0	48.8	89.8	-7.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	46.3	86.1	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	47.8	85.8	-9.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	40.8	46.2	87.0	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	44.0	39.0	83.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	42.9	85.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.5	44.9	90.4	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.8	40.6	80.4	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	45.0	87.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.2	80.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	39.0	49.0	88.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	43.7	43.2	86.9	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.3	41.6	82.9	-0.2	44%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
31/12/19	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	85-80
17/11/19	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	92-87
13/01/19	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	84-96
05/01/19	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	78-71
16/12/18	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	68-83
02/11/18	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	86-79
16/11/17	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	97-93 OT
05/11/17	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	83-93
29/10/17	Illawarra Hawks v Sydney	94-99 OT
15/10/17	Sydney v Illawarra Hawks	103-87

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/01/20	A	Brisbane Bullets	77-106
12/01/20	H	South East Melbourne	82-90
10/01/20	H	Perth	77-99
06/01/20	A	Adelaide	96-102
04/01/20	H	Melbourne United	91-104
31/12/19	H	Sydney	85-80
28/12/19	A	South East Melbourne	102-112
22/12/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	89-91
20/12/19	A	Adelaide	93-84
16/12/19	H	Melbourne United	73-94

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/20	H	South East Melbourne	98-81
17/01/20	A	New Zealand Breakers	81-88
11/01/20	H	Cairns	92-83
04/01/20	H	Adelaide	91-77
31/12/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	80-85
28/12/19	H	Perth	85-98
23/12/19	H	South East Melbourne	110-98
21/12/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	80-87
14/12/19	A	Melbourne United	104-81
08/12/19	H	Cairns	98-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	22%
Home	LWLLL	25%
Away	LWLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	22%	25%	18%
Points / game	86.7	84.8	88.7
Allowed / game	95.4	92.0	99.2
Point differential	-8.7	-7.2	-10.5
Avg total	182.1	176.8	187.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	0%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Sydney

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	70%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	LWLLL	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	70%	83%	55%
Points / game	92.9	97.8	87.6
Allowed / game	87.7	89.1	86.2
Point differential	+5.2	+8.7	+1.5
Avg total	180.6	186.8	173.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	58%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	23	16	7	70%	92.9	87.7	+5.2
2	Perth	23	15	8	65%	91.0	87.0	+4.0
3	Cairns	23	13	10	57%	92.0	89.9	+2.1
4	Brisbane Bullets	23	12	11	52%	92.6	91.8	+0.8
5	Melbourne United	22	11	11	50%	94.9	93.4	+1.5
6	New Zealand Breakers	23	11	12	48%	90.2	90.3	-0.1
7	Adelaide	23	11	12	48%	96.0	98.3	-2.3
8	South East Melbourne	23	9	14	39%	96.0	98.2	-2.2
9	Illawarra Hawks	23	5	18	22%	86.7	95.4	-8.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	16	18	23	22	79
Sydney	22	24	26	30	102

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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