PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 94-120
19-34 27-24 23-26 25-36
Position#8
Record11-19
FormWLLWL
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game97.5
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
vs
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record21-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.9
Allowed / game87.5
AustraliaNBLRound 21· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Sydney
04 Dec 2026
ILLA v SYDN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
ILLA82
SYDN108
13 Feb 2026
ILLA94
SYDN120
16 Nov 2025
ILLA71
SYDN98
07 Feb 2025
ILLA95
SYDN75
16 Nov 2024
ILLA86
SYDN79
03 Nov 2023
ILLA83
SYDN103
30 Sep 2023
ILLA81
SYDN96
16 Dec 2022
ILLA79
SYDN86
01 Oct 2022
ILLA97
SYDN106
29 Apr 2022
ILLA79
SYDN89
14 Apr 2022
ILLA102
SYDN107
13 Jan 2022
ILLA97
SYDN89
03 Jun 2021
ILLA73
SYDN79
24 Apr 2021
ILLA75
SYDN79
24 Jan 2020
ILLA79
SYDN102
31 Dec 2019
ILLA85
SYDN80
05 Jan 2019
ILLA78
SYDN71
16 Dec 2018
ILLA68
SYDN83
16 Nov 2017
ILLA97
SYDN93
29 Oct 2017
ILLA94
SYDN99
05 Dec 2016
ILLA93
SYDN99
13 Oct 2016
ILLA84
SYDN88
18 Dec 2015
ILLA102
SYDN83
25 Nov 2015
ILLA96
SYDN90
13 Dec 2014
ILLA82
SYDN77
07 Nov 2014
ILLA53
SYDN82
21 Mar 2014
ILLA100
SYDN87
07 Dec 2013
ILLA73
SYDN69
15 Mar 2013
ILLA81
SYDN74
05 Oct 2012
ILLA79
SYDN76
09 Mar 2012
ILLA81
SYDN92
31 Dec 2011
ILLA83
SYDN86
27 Mar 2011
ILLA86
SYDN70
26 Nov 2010
ILLA89
SYDN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
96-78
96
78
+18
90avg 87
H03/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
113-124 OT
113
124
-11
108avg 87
A08/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
96-101
96
101
-5
91avg 87
H11/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
A16/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
101-91
101
91
+10
102avg 87
A24/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
113-75
113
75
+38
117avg 87
A26/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
104-122
104
122
-18
94avg 87
A29/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
99-106
99
106
-7
89avg 87
H31/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
100-99
100
99
+1
94avg 87
H05/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
95-106
95
106
-11
93avg 87
A07/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
23-31
27-15
24-14
25-23
25-32
29-24
27-27
25-28
18-21
23-22
30-30
13-18
24-26
21-21
29-27
27-26
33-22
22-26
19-17
22-11
33-20
41-21
17-23
22-28
23-35
29-28
30-31
30-25
24-23
20-32
25-26
27-21
18-30
24-27
31-21
25-33
25-28
30-23
15-22
199.8Avg total
100.4Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)92.697.5190.0-4.937%
Season at home (15)92.894.9187.7-2.147%
Season away (15)92.3100.1192.4-7.727%
Last 10 (10)100.499.4199.8+1.040%
Last 5 (5)102.2101.6203.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)91.2100.9192.2-9.724%
vs Similar (7)88.399.7188.0-11.429%
vs Weaker (6)101.385.0186.3+16.383%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 90
A02/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
117-124
117
124
-7
110avg 90
H05/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
103-62
103
62
+41
104avg 90
A09/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
97-94
97
94
+3
90avg 90
H11/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-80
95
80
+15
no box
H15/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
105-94
105
94
+11
98avg 90
H22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
106-101
106
101
+5
102avg 90
H25/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
122-104
122
104
+18
124avg 90
H29/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
106-92
106
92
+14
92avg 90
A01/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
114-88
114
88
+26
114avg 90
A08/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
15-16
18-21
20-29
35-31
25-28
32-36
25-29
23-17
27-4
25-19
28-22
26-23
30-25
23-25
18-21
29-23
23-18
23-17
20-22
26-14
26-22
31-28
22-30
22-20
37-26
25-24
22-31
28-22
35-23
28-29
31-30
17-34
28-20
26-22
35-16
33-29
22-25
30-23
29-11
196.8Avg total
104.4Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)97.987.5185.4+10.470%
Season at home (16)99.288.4187.6+10.875%
Season away (14)96.486.4182.9+10.064%
Last 10 (10)104.492.4196.8+12.080%
Last 5 (5)110.695.8206.4+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)97.987.5185.4+10.470%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
Illawarra HawksSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H03/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A08/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H11/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A16/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A24/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A26/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A29/01
NBL
Perth
#5
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H31/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H05/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A07/02
NBL
98.3Avg total
48.4Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.548.895.3-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.747.894.5-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)46.349.996.1-3.633%-
Last 10 (10)48.449.998.3-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)49.850.8100.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)44.849.093.8-4.229%-
vs Similar (7)47.351.198.4-3.929%-
vs Weaker (6)50.545.796.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H05/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A09/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H11/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H15/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H25/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H29/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A08/02
NBL
97.2Avg total
53.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.044.494.4+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.243.996.1+8.288%-
Last 30 away (14)47.544.992.4+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)53.343.997.2+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)54.847.0101.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)50.044.494.4+5.677%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 100.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.929.1
59.5%
54.6%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.4%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
74.8%14.5
They take 74.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 103.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.128.2
62.5%
54.6%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.2
34.7%
33.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.216.2
73.0%
74.8%16.2
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LWLLWWLLLW
Sydney
WWWWWWWWLL
#8
League position
#1
+2.0
Net rating
+14.2
108.0
Offensive rating
114.5
106.0
Defensive rating
100.3
57.3%
Effective FG%
58.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
13.7%
Turnover %
10.4%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.4%
3-point %
34.7%
59.5%
Assist %
60.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 114.5Defence106.0 · 100.3Shooting57.3% · 58.4%3-point %35.4% · 34.7%Ball care13.7% · 10.4%Off. rebounds34.2% · 30.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Illawarra Hawks wins
4
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
29/01/26Sydney v Illawarra Hawks122-104
25/12/25Sydney v Illawarra Hawks108-84
16/11/25Illawarra Hawks v Sydney71-98
07/02/25Illawarra Hawks v Sydney95-75
25/12/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks108-111
16/11/24Illawarra Hawks v Sydney86-79
29/09/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks89-96
11/02/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks95-106
25/12/23Sydney v Illawarra Hawks90-94
03/11/23Illawarra Hawks v Sydney83-103
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ANew Zealand Breakers95-106
05/02/26HAdelaide100-99
31/01/26HPerth99-106
29/01/26ASydney104-122
26/01/26ABrisbane Bullets113-75
24/01/26ATasmania JackJumpers101-91
16/01/26APerth87-92
11/01/26HNew Zealand Breakers96-101
08/01/26ASouth East Melbourne113-124 OT
03/01/26HCairns Taipans96-78
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26ASouth East Melbourne114-88
01/02/26ACairns Taipans106-92
29/01/26HIllawarra Hawks122-104
25/01/26HAdelaide106-101
22/01/26HTasmania JackJumpers105-94
15/01/26HBrisbane Bullets95-80
11/01/26HMelbourne United97-94
09/01/26ANew Zealand Breakers103-62
05/01/26HSouth East Melbourne117-124
02/01/26AAdelaide79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL37%
HomeWWLLW47%
AwayLWWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %37%47%27%
Points / game92.692.892.3
Allowed / game97.594.9100.1
Point differential-4.9-2.1-7.7
Avg total190.0187.7192.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %70%75%64%
Points / game97.999.296.4
Allowed / game87.588.486.4
Point differential+10.4+10.8+10.0
Avg total185.4187.6182.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide3122971%92.887.6+5.2
2 Sydney3021970%97.987.5+10.4
3 South East Melbourne31211068%100.492.3+8.1
4 Perth30191163%91.186.3+4.8
5 Melbourne United31191261%92.187.5+4.5
6 Tasmania JackJumpers31141745%87.185.8+1.2
7 New Zealand Breakers31121939%90.993.0-2.1
8 Illawarra Hawks30111937%92.697.5-4.9
9 Cairns Taipans3292328%83.496.2-12.8
10 Brisbane Bullets3162519%82.596.3-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks1927232594
Sydney34242636120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.