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Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 86-79
22-22 22-13 23-19 19-25
Position#1
Record6-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#4
Record7-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game82.3
AustraliaNBLRound 9· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Sydney
04 Dec 2026
ILLA v SYDN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
ILLA82
SYDN108
13 Feb 2026
ILLA94
SYDN120
16 Nov 2025
ILLA71
SYDN98
07 Feb 2025
ILLA95
SYDN75
16 Nov 2024
ILLA86
SYDN79
03 Nov 2023
ILLA83
SYDN103
30 Sep 2023
ILLA81
SYDN96
16 Dec 2022
ILLA79
SYDN86
01 Oct 2022
ILLA97
SYDN106
29 Apr 2022
ILLA79
SYDN89
14 Apr 2022
ILLA102
SYDN107
13 Jan 2022
ILLA97
SYDN89
03 Jun 2021
ILLA73
SYDN79
24 Apr 2021
ILLA75
SYDN79
24 Jan 2020
ILLA79
SYDN102
31 Dec 2019
ILLA85
SYDN80
05 Jan 2019
ILLA78
SYDN71
16 Dec 2018
ILLA68
SYDN83
16 Nov 2017
ILLA97
SYDN93
29 Oct 2017
ILLA94
SYDN99
05 Dec 2016
ILLA93
SYDN99
13 Oct 2016
ILLA84
SYDN88
18 Dec 2015
ILLA102
SYDN83
25 Nov 2015
ILLA96
SYDN90
13 Dec 2014
ILLA82
SYDN77
07 Nov 2014
ILLA53
SYDN82
21 Mar 2014
ILLA100
SYDN87
07 Dec 2013
ILLA73
SYDN69
15 Mar 2013
ILLA81
SYDN74
05 Oct 2012
ILLA79
SYDN76
09 Mar 2012
ILLA81
SYDN92
31 Dec 2011
ILLA83
SYDN86
27 Mar 2011
ILLA86
SYDN70
26 Nov 2010
ILLA89
SYDN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
102-75
102
75
+27
95avg 85
A21/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
113-101
113
101
+12
105avg 85
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
86avg 85
A29/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
100-102
100
102
-2
86avg 85
H05/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
109-76
109
76
+33
98avg 85
H12/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
79avg 85
A19/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
68avg 85
H24/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 85
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
105-113
105
113
-8
94avg 85
A01/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 85
A10/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
28-24
18-15
30-15
38-25
21-35
30-20
24-21
27-15
21-32
27-20
21-22
32-27
22-25
27-29
19-21
32-17
25-22
27-13
25-24
17-24
23-14
19-20
28-17
21-18
16-22
21-19
29-33
15-19
30-20
29-26
14-17
31-39
22-23
30-27
22-24
22-26
19-24
26-26
12-17
186.4Avg total
96.6Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)96.689.8186.4+6.860%
Season at home (4)102.292.8195.0+9.550%
Season away (6)92.887.8180.7+5.067%
Last 10 (10)96.689.8186.4+6.860%
Last 5 (5)89.291.0180.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)81.8100.7182.5-18.911%
vs Similar (1)92.095.0187.0-3.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)96.689.8186.4+6.860%
This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 84
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 84
A05/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
66avg 84
A11/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-73
99
73
+26
95avg 84
H13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
79avg 84
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
84-87
84
87
-3
75avg 84
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
89-93
89
93
-4
75avg 84
H27/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 84
A31/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-60
88
60
+28
86avg 84
H03/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
67avg 84
H08/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
32-21
20-27
22-21
22-17
25-10
28-28
16-27
22-26
15-23
25-19
17-21
28-18
25-21
23-18
23-16
13-21
20-24
16-8
31-18
21-21
23-20
16-24
24-22
25-18
20-31
24-23
20-21
20-21
23-25
21-20
19-21
27-19
14-14
26-18
21-9
14-22
18-14
17-20
25-13
166.3Avg total
85.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.282.3169.5+4.858%
Season at home (5)87.878.2166.0+9.660%
Season away (7)86.785.3172.0+1.457%
Last 10 (10)85.680.7166.3+4.950%
Last 5 (5)83.679.2162.8+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)89.096.0185.0-7.00%
vs Similar (14)90.991.8182.6-0.936%
vs Weaker (15)92.185.5177.7+6.653%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
Illawarra HawksSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A21/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A29/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H05/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H12/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A19/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A01/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A10/11
NBL
96.0Avg total
48.8Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.148.491.5-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.048.693.6-3.629%-
Last 30 away (16)41.448.289.6-6.838%-
Last 10 (10)48.847.296.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.889.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.449.588.8-10.116%-
vs Similar (1)57.039.096.0+18.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.847.296.0+1.660%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A05/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H03/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/11
NBL
83.5Avg total
42.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.644.190.8+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.945.193.0+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)45.343.288.5+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.383.5+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.082.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)47.048.095.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (14)47.943.991.8+3.964%-
vs Weaker (15)45.544.189.5+1.453%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.526.6
54.8%
52.3%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.5
36.3%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
74.7%13.7
They take 74.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.6
51.1%
52.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.4
33.1%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.512.2
69.7%
74.7%12.2
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LLWLWWLWWW
Sydney
WWLLLWWLWL
#1
League position
#4
+7.9
Net rating
+6.2
118.1
Offensive rating
107.7
110.2
Defensive rating
101.4
54.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.8%
11.3%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.3%
3-point %
33.1%
46.3%
Assist %
62.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 107.7Defence110.2 · 101.4Shooting54.7% · 50.5%3-point %36.3% · 33.1%Ball care11.3% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.3% · 31.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illawarra Hawks wins
7
Sydney wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24AAdelaide79-93
01/11/24APerth105-113
26/10/24ASouth East Melbourne88-82
24/10/24HMelbourne United87-92
19/10/24ACairns Taipans87-75
12/10/24HTasmania JackJumpers109-76
05/10/24HAdelaide100-102
29/09/24ASydney96-89
27/09/24HBrisbane Bullets113-101
21/09/24ACairns Taipans102-75
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/24HSouth East Melbourne74-69
03/11/24HTasmania JackJumpers88-60
31/10/24AMelbourne United83-87
27/10/24HNew Zealand Breakers89-93
25/10/24APerth84-87
18/10/24ATasmania JackJumpers80-71
13/10/24HCairns Taipans99-73
11/10/24AAdelaide79-89
05/10/24ABrisbane Bullets91-82
29/09/24HIllawarra Hawks89-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL60%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game96.6102.292.8
Allowed / game89.892.887.8
Point differential+6.8+9.5+5.0
Avg total186.4195.0180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW58%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%60%57%
Points / game87.287.886.7
Allowed / game82.378.285.3
Point differential+4.8+9.6+1.4
Avg total169.5166.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Zealand Breakers107370%85.282.5+2.7
2 Melbourne United139469%93.987.0+6.9
3 Illawarra Hawks106460%96.689.8+6.8
4 Adelaide106460%90.592.5-2.0
5 Sydney127558%87.282.3+4.8
6 Perth126650%89.492.0-2.6
7 South East Melbourne135838%86.284.2+2.0
8 Tasmania JackJumpers135838%78.983.5-4.5
9 Brisbane Bullets93633%89.793.7-4.0
10 Cairns Taipans123925%82.492.7-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks2222231986
Sydney2213192579
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