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Illinois vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 87-64
38-45 49-19
Position#27
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game58.7
vs
Position#355
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game62.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois v Valparaiso
17 Nov 2023
ILLI87
VALP64
14 Mar 2017
ILLI82
VALP57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#340
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A05/03
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A16/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
80-52
80
52
+28
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H11/11
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
43-40
19-37
47-25
29-41
31-31
33-31
37-39
26-47
45-29
30-31
46-48
26-36
37-37
37-25
43-27
28-27
36-26
31-36
33-35
140.7Avg total
71.3Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.358.7128.0+10.767%
Season at home (3)69.358.7128.0+10.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.369.4140.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)69.465.6135.0+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)70.275.2145.4-5.128%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)74.155.8129.8+18.3100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A09/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H23/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
50-78
50
78
-28
A03/03
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-46
23-38
42-38
39-38
19-27
43-39
36-41
37-33
30-42
36-34
32-33
33-32
25-38
25-40
62-23
38-38
25-21
31-45
26-31
38-28
140.7Avg total
69.0Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.362.0135.3+11.367%
Season at home (3)73.362.0135.3+11.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.071.7140.7-2.730%
Last 5 (5)69.268.2137.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)64.673.7138.3-9.113%
vs Similar (10)70.673.0143.6-2.450%
vs Weaker (5)81.865.0146.8+16.880%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: -2.2-2.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: -2.2-2.2
IllinoisValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#340
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H03/03
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A05/03
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H09/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A16/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H11/11
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H15/11
NCAA
63.4Avg total
29.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.433.465.8-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.131.164.1+2.059%-
Last 30 away (13)31.536.568.0-5.146%-
Last 10 (10)29.434.063.4-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)30.431.061.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)31.638.369.8-6.728%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)33.626.259.8+7.492%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#84
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H23/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A03/03
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#695
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H07/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H15/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.466.6-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.831.165.9+3.856%-
Last 30 away (12)30.836.867.6-6.133%-
Last 10 (10)33.634.067.6-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.029.263.2+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.335.464.7-6.120%-
vs Similar (10)34.233.868.0+0.460%-
vs Weaker (5)42.826.469.2+16.4100%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois wins
0
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
14/03/17Illinois v Valparaiso82-57
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HMarquette64-71
11/11/23HOakland64-53
07/11/23HEastern Illinois80-52
16/03/23AArkansas63-73
09/03/23HPenn State76-79
05/03/23APurdue71-76
03/03/23HMichigan91-87 OT
26/02/23AOhio State60-72
24/02/23HNorthwestern66-62
21/02/23HMinnesota78-69
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HWisc. Green Bay64-59
11/11/23HIUPUI56-66
07/11/23HTrinity (IL)100-61
03/03/23AMurray State50-78
26/02/23AMurray State76-77 OT
23/02/23HBradley66-76
19/02/23AIllinois (Chi.)73-74
15/02/23HSouthern Illinois62-66
12/02/23HIllinois State81-76
09/02/23AIndiana State62-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game69.369.3-
Allowed / game58.758.7-
Point differential+10.7+10.7-
Avg total128.0128.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game73.373.3-
Allowed / game62.062.0-
Point differential+11.3+11.3-
Avg total135.3135.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue330100%89.357.7+31.7
2 Penn State440100%77.553.5+24.0
3 Nebraska440100%78.254.8+23.5
4 UCLA330100%73.750.7+23.0
5 Oregon220100%78.566.0+12.5
6 Indiana330100%76.769.0+7.7
7 Northwestern330100%68.762.0+6.7
8 Michigan43175%91.575.8+15.8
9 Rutgers43175%66.857.5+9.2
10 Iowa32167%97.375.7+21.7
11 Minnesota32167%83.368.7+14.7
12 Washington32167%80.769.0+11.7
13 Illinois32167%69.358.7+10.7
14 USC32167%75.766.0+9.7
15 Ohio State32167%73.766.0+7.7
16 Michigan State42250%72.264.5+7.8
17 Wisconsin42250%78.074.0+4.0
18 Maryland31233%64.061.0+3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville330100%88.055.7+32.3
2 Southern Illinois330100%83.360.0+23.3
3 Drake220100%86.068.5+17.5
4 Bradley330100%77.066.7+10.3
5 Indiana State32167%88.773.0+15.7
6 Murray State32167%83.372.0+11.3
7 Valparaiso32167%73.362.0+11.3
8 Illinois State32167%71.765.7+6.0
9 Belmont32167%86.081.7+4.3
10 Illinois (Chi.)32167%72.069.0+3.0
11 Northern Iowa21150%83.566.5+17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois384987
Valparaiso451964
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