Jilin vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Jilin host Guangzhou in the CBA. Pythia makes Guangzhou the favourite at 53% and projects 89-89, about 178 points in all. On the market's main spread (Jilin -5) Pythia gives Jilin 33% to cover. Overtime chance: 7%. Jilin are 3-3 this season (84.5 scored, 82.8 allowed a game), form LWWWL; Guangzhou are 3-3 this season (91.2 scored, 97.0 allowed a game), form WLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jilin winLost

47.3%fair 2.11

Best odds1.50

Implied61.6%

Edge-14.3pp

Guangzhou winWon

52.7%fair 1.90

Best odds2.66

Implied38.4%

Edge+14.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jilin

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJilin

Date

Competition

Zhejiang Chouzhou

66-82

-16

55avg 74

H16/04

CBA

Guangzhou

#13

75-93

-18

64avg 74

H18/04

CBA

Ningbo Rockets

#11

65-84

-19

49avg 74

A20/04

CBA

Beijing

55-105

105

-50

38avg 74

A24/04

CBA

Beijing

82-84

-2

no box

H18/10

CBA

Sichuan

#19

88-91

-3

no box

H20/10

CBA

Xinjiang

#15

89-83

no box

H22/10

CBA

Zhejiang Guangsha

82-81

no box

A24/10

CBA

Ningbo Rockets

#20

85-76

no box

A26/10

CBA

Shenzhen

#10

81-82

-1

no box

H30/10

CBA

11-18

21-22

20-22

14-20

9-20

23-22

13-26

30-25

13-26

14-25

18-21

20-12

8-27

13-34

25-23

9-21

25-16

21-21

12-18

24-29

22-24

20-24

26-22

20-21

21-18

28-21

29-20

11-24

20-24

22-23

19-22

21-12

18-29

23-21

27-15

17-11

22-19

22-26

16-18

21-19

162.9Avg total

76.8Scored

86.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	84.5	82.8	167.3	+1.7	50%
Season at home (4)	85.0	85.0	170.0	+0.0	25%
Season away (2)	83.5	78.5	162.0	+5.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	86.1	162.9	-9.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	82.6	167.6	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	79.9	93.4	173.2	-13.5	29%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	81.0	85.0	166.0	-4.0	50%
vs Weaker (5)	92.2	83.4	175.6	+8.8	60%

This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Guangzhou

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGuangzhou

Date

Competition

Shenzhen

86-99

-13

70avg 79

H24/04

CBA

Guangdong

93-76

+17

96avg 79

A28/04

CBA

Guangdong

64-85

-21

52avg 79

H01/05

CBA

Guangdong

80-90

-10

35avg 79

A03/05

CBA

Zhejiang Chouzhou

90-79

+11

no box

H18/10

CBA

Nanjing Tongxi

#18

114-81

114

+33

no box

A20/10

CBA

Tianjin

#16

86-102

102

-16

no box

A23/10

CBA

Beijing

73-117

117

-44

no box

A25/10

CBA

Beijing Royal Fighters

91-90 OT

no box

H27/10

CBA

Shanxi Zhongyu

93-113

113

-20

no box

H30/10

CBA

15-35

22-22

29-16

20-26

20-25

22-12

23-20

28-19

17-27

7-25

18-16

22-17

20-23

27-29

16-18

17-20

27-11

24-21

22-19

17-28

26-16

31-24

30-22

27-19

27-28

19-24

19-18

21-32

16-32

19-32

18-30

20-23

19-21

23-15

19-27

14-12

23-23

15-31

32-34

23-25

180.2Avg total

87.0Scored

93.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	91.2	97.0	188.2	-5.8	50%
Season at home (3)	91.3	94.0	185.3	-2.7	67%
Season away (3)	91.0	100.0	191.0	-9.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	93.2	180.2	-6.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	100.6	192.0	-9.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	84.9	93.4	178.2	-8.5	18%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	91.6	89.9	181.4	+1.7	56%
vs Weaker (4)	95.5	76.0	171.5	+19.5	100%

This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 170Actual: Under 170

Over 170

65.6%

@ 1.49

Under 170

34.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.49

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 175.25 · main lineActual: Under 175.25

Over 175.25

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under 175.25

no forecast

@ 1.80

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.82

Under

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 180Actual: Under 180

Over 180

45.3%

@ 2.00+0.5pp

Under 180

54.7%

@ 1.73-0.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

2.00

1xBet

2.00

Under

1xBet

1.73

Marathon Be

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Jilin total 86.5Actual: Jilin under 86.5

Over 86.5

56.8%

@ 1.44-3.6pp

Under 86.5

43.2%

@ 2.20+3.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.44

Under

1xBet

2.20

Jilin total 90.5 · main lineActual: Jilin under 90.5

Over 90.5

43.5%

@ 1.89-5.3pp

Under 90.5

56.5%

@ 1.83+5.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.89

Betano

1.87

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

1xBet

1.80

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.79

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.65

Jilin total 94.5Actual: Jilin under 94.5

Over 94.5

30.9%

@ 2.47-4.6pp

Under 94.5

69.1%

@ 1.36+4.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.47

Under

1xBet

1.36

Guangzhou total 81.5Actual: Guangzhou over 81.5

Over 81.5

74.7%

@ 1.42+13.2pp

Under 81.5

25.3%

@ 2.27-13.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.42

Under

1xBet

2.27

Guangzhou total 85.5 · main lineActual: Guangzhou over 85.5

Over 85.5

62.8%

@ 1.88+13.8pp

Under 85.5

37.2%

@ 1.83-13.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.88

Betano

1.87

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.76

Under

BetVictor

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.80

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.69

Guangzhou total 89.5Actual: Guangzhou over 89.5

Over 89.5

49.6%

@ 2.39+7.2pp

Under 89.5

50.4%

@ 1.75-7.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.39

Betano

1.88

Under

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Jilin -8Actual: Guangzhou +8

JILI -8

23.9%

@ 2.24-16.6pp

GUAN +8

76.1%

@ 1.52+16.6pp

Best 5 market prices

JILI

Marathon Be

2.24

GUAN

Marathon Be

1.52

Spread Jilin -5 · main lineActual: Guangzhou +5

JILI -5

33.1%

@ 1.86-17.4pp

GUAN +5

66.9%

@ 1.90+17.4pp

Best 5 market prices

JILI

Marathon Be

1.86

1xBet

1.86

Pinnacle

1.83

SBO

1.80

GUAN

SBO

1.90

Pinnacle

1.87

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.85

Spread Jilin -2Actual: Guangzhou +2

JILI -2

43.3%

@ 1.63-15.3pp

GUAN +2

56.7%

@ 2.22+15.3pp

Best 5 market prices

JILI

1xBet

1.63

Pinnacle

1.57

Marathon Be

1.51

GUAN

Pinnacle

2.22

Marathon Be

2.18

1xBet

2.09

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

JilinGuangzhou

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45
Last 30 (30)	19.5	23.9	43.4	-4.4	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	22.1	41.1	-3.1	44%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	26.0	46.1	-5.9	29%	57%
Last 10 (10)	16.9	22.1	39.0	-5.2	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.8	43.4	-2.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	18.9	24.0	43.0	-5.1	38%	48%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.5	24.2	43.8	-4.8	25%	25%
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	40%	60%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45
Last 30 (30)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.1	43%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	22.1	43.4	-0.8	50%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	23.9	46.4	-1.5	36%	57%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	24.1	45.1	-3.1	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.2	24.0	46.2	-1.8	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	21.0	24.1	45.1	-3.1	35%	41%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.2	23.2	46.4	+0.0	44%	67%
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	17.8	40.0	+4.5	75%	25%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.25
Last 30 (30)	20.9	24.2	45.2	-3.3	37%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	24.2	47.6	-0.8	50%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	24.3	42.4	-6.2	21%	50%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	23.9	44.6	-3.2	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	20.0	25.0	45.0	-5.0	29%	62%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	22.5	20.8	43.2	+1.8	50%	75%
vs Weaker (5)	23.4	23.8	47.2	-0.4	60%	60%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.25
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.8	44.9	-0.8	43%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.8	50%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	22.5	23.4	45.9	-0.9	36%	50%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	23.5	44.4	-2.6	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	25.2	46.6	-3.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	21.7	24.4	46.1	-2.6	29%	47%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.4	21.3	43.8	+1.1	67%	44%
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	19.8	42.2	+2.8	50%	50%

JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zhejiang Chouzhou

32-40

-8

H16/04

CBA

Guangzhou

#13

32-42

-10

H18/04

CBA

Ningbo Rockets

#11

27-51

-24

A20/04

CBA

Beijing

21-61

-40

A24/04

CBA

Beijing

46-37

H18/10

CBA

Sichuan

#19

42-48

-6

H20/10

CBA

Xinjiang

#15

49-39

+10

H22/10

CBA

Zhejiang Guangsha

42-47

-5

A24/10

CBA

Ningbo Rockets

#20

41-50

-9

A26/10

CBA

Shenzhen

#10

44-45

-1

H30/10

CBA

83.6Avg total

37.6Scored

46.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 89.25
Last 30 (30)	40.4	48.2	88.6	-7.7	30%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	46.3	88.8	-3.9	38%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	50.3	88.4	-12.1	21%	50%
Last 10 (10)	37.6	46.0	83.6	-8.4	20%	20%
Last 5 (5)	43.6	45.8	89.4	-2.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	39.0	49.0	88.0	-10.1	33%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	42.0	45.0	87.0	-3.0	25%	25%
vs Weaker (5)	45.4	47.0	92.4	-1.6	20%	80%

This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shenzhen

37-57

-20

H24/04

CBA

Guangdong

42-37

A28/04

CBA

Guangdong

24-52

-28

H01/05

CBA

Guangdong

47-52

-5

A03/05

CBA

Zhejiang Chouzhou

51-32

+19

H18/10

CBA

Nanjing Tongxi

#18

57-40

+17

A20/10

CBA

Tianjin

#16

46-52

-6

A23/10

CBA

Beijing

35-64

-29

A25/10

CBA

Beijing Royal Fighters

42-36

H27/10

CBA

Shanxi Zhongyu

38-54

-16

H30/10

CBA

89.5Avg total

41.9Scored

47.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 89.25
Last 30 (30)	43.9	45.8	89.7	-1.9	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	44.5	87.4	-1.6	50%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	44.9	47.3	92.2	-2.4	57%	57%
Last 10 (10)	41.9	47.6	89.5	-5.7	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	43.6	49.2	92.8	-5.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	42.7	48.4	91.1	-5.7	35%	59%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	45.7	44.6	90.2	+1.1	67%	33%
vs Weaker (4)	44.8	37.5	82.2	+7.2	100%	25%

This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Guangzhou win

JILI win

no forecast

@ 1.57

GUAN win

no forecast

@ 2.46

1st half Spread Jilin -0.5 · main lineActual: Guangzhou +0.5

JILI -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

GUAN +0.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Over/Under 89.25 · main lineActual: Over 89.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.82

Jilin 1st half total 46 · main lineActual: Jilin under 46

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.82

Guangzhou 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Guangzhou over 44.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.96

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: JILI + total 91.5

JILI & over

no forecast

@ 3.20

JILI & under

no forecast

@ 3.05

1st half: Draw + total 91.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: GUAN + total 91.5

GUAN & over

no forecast

@ 4.75

GUAN & under

no forecast

@ 4.50

1st half Over/Under 88Actual: Over 88

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Over/Under 90.5Actual: Over 90.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.00

Under

no forecast

@ 1.82

1st half Spread Jilin -1.5Actual: Guangzhou +1.5

JILI -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

GUAN +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half Spread Jilin +1Actual: Guangzhou -1

JILI +1

no forecast

@ 1.45

GUAN -1

no forecast

@ 2.50

1st half Over/Under 92.5Actual: Over 92.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Jilin -2.5Actual: Guangzhou +2.5

JILI -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.89

GUAN +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Spread Jilin -3.5Actual: Guangzhou +3.5

JILI -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

GUAN +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.77

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Guangzhou (regulation)

JILI

no forecast

@ 1.65

Draw

no forecast

@ 18.00

GUAN

no forecast

@ 2.35

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.5	37%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.0	38%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.1	36%	43%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.4	42.8	+4.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	19.8	23.5	43.2	-3.7	24%	52%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	50%	50%
vs Weaker (5)	24.6	18.0	42.6	+6.6	80%	40%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	57%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	21.7	44.4	+1.0	56%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.3	57%	36%
Last 10 (10)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	23.6	26.2	49.8	-2.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.1	41%	47%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.3	19.8	42.1	+2.6	78%	33%
vs Weaker (4)	26.2	18.2	44.5	+8.0	75%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.1	41.0	+0.7	47%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.6	44%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	50%	43%
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.3	43%	48%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	25%	0%
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	18.4	40.6	+3.8	80%	40%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.4	44.3	-0.5	43%	70%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	22.9	44.4	-1.4	44%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	21.9	44.3	+0.6	43%	79%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.2	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.8	35%	59%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.6	25.6	49.1	-2.0	56%	89%
vs Weaker (4)	24.5	20.2	44.8	+4.2	50%	75%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.5
Last 30 (30)	41.6	42.4	84.1	-0.8	47%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.7	43.1	85.8	-0.4	38%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	41.7	82.1	-1.3	57%	36%
Last 10 (10)	39.2	40.1	79.3	-0.9	40%	20%
Last 5 (5)	41.4	36.8	78.2	+4.6	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	40.9	44.3	85.2	-3.4	38%	48%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	39.0	40.0	79.0	-1.0	50%	0%
vs Weaker (5)	46.8	36.4	83.2	+10.4	80%	60%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.5
Last 30 (30)	43.9	43.7	87.6	+0.2	50%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	44.6	88.8	-0.4	50%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	42.7	86.3	+0.9	50%	64%
Last 10 (10)	43.5	44.1	87.6	-0.6	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	44.6	48.4	93.0	-3.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	41.2	44.1	85.3	-2.8	35%	65%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	45.9	45.3	91.2	+0.6	56%	67%
vs Weaker (4)	50.8	38.5	89.2	+12.2	100%	75%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

JILI win + total 175.5

🔒 Pro

GUAN win + total 175.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: JILI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: GUAN leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (JILI:GUAN): JILI wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Guangzhou +6	70.2%	1.70	SBO 1.75	Marathon Bet 1.74	Pinnacle 1.73	1xBet 1.59	-	+17.0pp	Won
Guangzhou +7	73.3%	1.62	Pinnacle 1.63	Marathon Bet 1.62	-	-	-	+16.9pp	Won
Guangzhou +8	76.1%	1.52	Marathon Bet 1.52	-	-	-	-	+16.6pp	Won
Guangzhou +6.5	71.2%	1.67	BetVictor 1.73	Marathon Bet 1.68	Pinnacle 1.68	1xBet 1.60	-	+16.3pp	Won
Guangzhou +7.5	74.1%	1.58	BetVictor 1.62	Pinnacle 1.59	Marathon Bet 1.58	1xBet 1.51	-	+16.3pp	Won
Guangzhou +8.5	76.8%	1.47	BetVictor 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.49	1xBet 1.43	-	-	+15.5pp	Won
Guangzhou +9.5	79.3%	1.39	Marathon Bet 1.42	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+14.0pp	Won
Guangzhou over 82.5	71.9%	1.48	1xBet 1.48	-	-	-	-	+13.4pp	Won
Guangzhou over 81.5	74.7%	1.42	1xBet 1.42	-	-	-	-	+13.2pp	Won
Guangzhou +10.5	81.6%	1.33	Marathon Bet 1.36	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+13.1pp	Won
Guangzhou over 80.5	77.3%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+12.7pp	Won
Guangzhou over 79.5	79.7%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Jilin under 95.5	71.9%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Jilin under 96.5	74.7%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Overtime: no	92.8%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	-
Guangzhou +11.5	83.6%	1.30	Marathon Bet 1.30	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Guangzhou +11	83.3%	1.32	Marathon Bet 1.32	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Guangzhou +10	81.1%	1.38	Marathon Bet 1.38	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Guangzhou +9	78.8%	1.44	Marathon Bet 1.44	-	-	-	-	-	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 76.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game

49%

31%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	18.8	50.4%	53.8%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.7	31.2%	35.0%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.0	70.3%	74.8%	13.0

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀25%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game

49%

31%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	18.7	45.8%	53.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.6	33.2%	35.0%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	28.4	20.6	72.5%	74.8%	20.6

They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	24.0	58.7%	53.8%	48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.6	37.2%	35.0%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	15.8	10.7	67.7%	74.8%	10.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	22.9	55.4%	53.8%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	10.8	37.4%	35.0%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.4	74.2%	74.8%	16.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	19.0	52.7%	53.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	9.4	34.3%	35.0%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.7	76.5%	74.8%	15.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	20.4	51.1%	53.8%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.0	35.7%	35.0%	26.9
🏀 Free throws	24.3	18.4	75.6%	74.8%	18.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	24.4	58.7%	53.8%	48.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.6	38.0%	35.0%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.2	74.5%	74.8%	13.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	21.7	53.1%	53.8%	43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	10.2	35.4%	35.0%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.2	75.4%	74.8%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Jilin

LWWWLLLLLL

Guangzhou

LWLLWWLLWL

#11

League position

-12.7

Net rating

-11.7

90.3

Offensive rating

90.5

103.1

Defensive rating

102.2

48.8%

Effective FG%

47.4%

57.6%

Opp. effective FG%

55.7%

13.9%

Turnover %

14.7%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.43

31.2%

3-point %

33.2%

66.2%

Assist %

60.4%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Jilin ■ Guangzhou

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Jilin wins

Guangzhou wins

Date	Game	Score
18/04/26	Jilin v Guangzhou	75-93
28/12/25	Guangzhou v Jilin	87-74
31/03/25	Guangzhou v Jilin	102-103
24/03/25	Jilin v Guangzhou	90-104
30/11/24	Guangzhou v Jilin	140-117
01/11/24	Jilin v Guangzhou	114-94
14/03/24	Jilin v Guangzhou	100-115
24/12/23	Guangzhou v Jilin	129-122
05/04/23	Jilin v Guangzhou	87-104
27/10/22	Guangzhou v Jilin	112-116 OT

Jilinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	H	Shenzhen	81-82
26/10/26	A	Ningbo Rockets	85-76
24/10/26	A	Zhejiang Guangsha	82-81
22/10/26	H	Xinjiang	89-83
20/10/26	H	Sichuan	88-91
18/10/26	H	Beijing	82-84
24/04/26	A	Beijing	55-105
20/04/26	A	Ningbo Rockets	65-84
18/04/26	H	Guangzhou	75-93
16/04/26	H	Zhejiang Chouzhou	66-82

Guangzhoulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	H	Shanxi Zhongyu	93-113
27/10/26	H	Beijing Royal Fighters	91-90 OT
25/10/26	A	Beijing	73-117
23/10/26	A	Tianjin	86-102
20/10/26	A	Nanjing Tongxi	114-81
18/10/26	H	Zhejiang Chouzhou	90-79
03/05/26	A	Guangdong	80-90
01/05/26	H	Guangdong	64-85
28/04/26	A	Guangdong	93-76
24/04/26	H	Shenzhen	86-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jilin

CBA 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	50%
Home	LLWL	25%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	50%	25%	100%
Points / game	84.5	85.0	83.5
Allowed / game	82.8	85.0	78.5
Point differential	+1.7	+0.0	+5.0
Avg total	167.3	170.0	162.0
Over 175.25	17%	25%	0%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Guangzhou

CBA 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	50%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	91.2	91.3	91.0
Allowed / game	97.0	94.0	100.0
Point differential	-5.8	-2.7	-9.0
Avg total	188.2	185.3	191.0
Over 175.25	83%	67%	100%
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	17%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Beijing	6	6	0	100%	104.2	78.8	+25.3
2	Shanghai	6	5	1	83%	96.7	86.7	+10.0
3	Liaoning	6	5	1	83%	97.5	89.7	+7.8
4	Beijing Royal Fighters	7	5	2	71%	99.1	81.0	+18.1
5	Shanxi Zhongyu	6	4	2	67%	102.0	91.2	+10.8
6	Zhejiang Chouzhou	6	4	2	67%	84.8	76.2	+8.7
7	Zhejiang Guangsha	6	4	2	67%	93.0	92.8	+0.2
8	Fujian	7	4	3	57%	91.7	88.3	+3.4
9	Jilin	6	3	3	50%	84.5	82.8	+1.7
10	Guangzhou	6	3	3	50%	91.2	97.0	-5.8
11	Shenzhen	6	3	3	50%	77.7	95.0	-17.3
12	Guangdong	7	3	4	43%	85.7	87.3	-1.6
13	Shandong	7	3	4	43%	91.0	93.6	-2.6
14	Xinjiang	7	3	4	43%	86.0	89.9	-3.9
15	Nanjing Tongxi	6	2	4	33%	88.0	96.8	-8.8
16	Sichuan	6	2	4	33%	79.2	95.7	-16.5
17	Qingdao	7	2	5	29%	88.6	91.0	-2.4
18	Tianjin	6	1	5	17%	92.3	97.3	-5.0
19	Jiangsu Dragons	6	1	5	17%	82.5	88.7	-6.2
20	Ningbo Rockets	6	0	6	0%	77.3	95.2	-17.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Jilin	21	24	18	16	79
Guangzhou	33	15	28	14	90

← all games of the day

Jilin vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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