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Karsiyaka vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 89-85
24-20 28-19 21-23 16-23
Position#27
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#29
Record3-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game76.5
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final· Mustafa Kemal Ataturk Sport Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · Karsiyaka v Breogan
17 Jan 2024
KAR86
BRE76
03 Jan 2024
KAR89
BRE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarsiyakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
90-82
90
82
+8
84avg 83
H20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
94-85
94
85
+9
95avg 83
H25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
87-72
87
72
+15
82avg 83
H28/11
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
93-85
93
85
+8
87avg 83
A01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
W
98-76
98
76
+22
no box
H09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oldenburg
#36
L
88-97
88
97
-9
84avg 83
A13/12
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
W
82-80
82
80
+2
83avg 83
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#30
L
76-78
76
78
-2
73avg 83
A19/12
Champions League
Tofas
#11
W
98-71
98
71
+27
103avg 83
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
94-107
94
107
-13
93avg 83
A29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
22-24
23-26
23-14
20-17
17-18
31-21
26-29
20-18
20-11
31-22
16-21
22-22
28-27
22-22
21-14
22-24
26-16
25-19
25-17
27-25
31-21
11-25
19-26
22-12
18-18
13-14
29-36
14-12
19-16
25-28
18-22
26-19
17-14
22-17
33-21
26-17
25-30
20-31
23-29
173.3Avg total
90.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.581.2163.7+1.350%
Season at home (3)88.777.3166.0+11.3100%
Season away (3)76.385.0161.3-8.70%
Last 10 (10)90.083.3173.3+6.770%
Last 5 (5)87.686.6174.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.584.9168.4-1.450%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.182.6168.7+3.564%
vs Weaker (11)90.582.5172.9+8.073%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 63
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 63
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 63
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
38avg 63
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
65-77
65
77
-12
56avg 63
A06/12
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
W
76-68
76
68
+8
72avg 63
A09/12
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 63
H17/12
ACB
Bonn
#9
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
94avg 63
H20/12
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 63
H23/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
60-86
60
86
-26
47avg 63
A30/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
28-15
15-19
16-23
22-17
19-16
19-22
22-17
16-23
18-17
18-17
30-20
19-17
9-24
12-27
18-23
15-19
15-22
11-18
24-18
13-22
18-12
18-19
27-15
16-31
18-15
18-14
22-23
21-19
15-20
21-17
23-24
22-23
18-23
24-20
24-24
10-22
25-28
9-23
16-13
158.8Avg total
76.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.076.5153.5+0.550%
Season at home (3)82.370.7153.0+11.7100%
Season away (3)71.782.3154.0-10.70%
Last 10 (10)76.582.3158.8-5.840%
Last 5 (5)79.083.8162.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.984.3153.2-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.979.5158.4-0.547%
vs Weaker (3)64.066.3130.3-2.333%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
KarsiyakaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H28/11
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oldenburg
#36
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A13/12
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#30
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A19/12
Champions League
Tofas
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.3Avg total
44.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.339.683.9+4.680%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.337.983.3+7.493%-
Last 30 away (15)43.241.384.5+1.967%-
Last 10 (10)44.437.982.3+6.5100%-
Last 5 (5)45.036.881.8+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.142.584.6-0.462%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.138.682.7+5.582%-
vs Weaker (11)46.038.584.5+7.591%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A06/12
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A09/12
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H17/12
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H23/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
ACB
77.6Avg total
36.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.439.373.7-4.920%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.838.173.9-2.329%-
Last 30 away (16)33.240.473.6-7.212%-
Last 10 (10)36.141.577.6-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.078.2-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.240.873.1-8.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.039.476.4-2.433%-
vs Weaker (3)30.033.063.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.6
53.9%
51.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.411.6
45.7%
34.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.117.0
76.9%
74.5%17.0
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.5
51.7%
51.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.4
28.7%
34.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.016.7
75.9%
74.5%16.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karsiyaka
LWLWLWWWWW
Breogan
LLWLWLLWWL
#27
League position
#29
+9.3
Net rating
-7.2
123.9
Offensive rating
101.3
114.6
Defensive rating
108.5
60.1%
Effective FG%
48.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
13.8%
Turnover %
20.4%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
45.7%
3-point %
28.7%
73.8%
Assist %
62.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence123.9 · 101.3Defence114.6 · 108.5Shooting60.1% · 48.1%3-point %45.7% · 28.7%Ball care13.8% · 20.4%Off. rebounds24.7% · 30.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Karsiyaka   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karsiyaka wins
0
Breogan wins
No previous meetings.
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AMerkezefendi94-107
24/12/23HTofas98-71
19/12/23AOostende76-78
16/12/23ASamsunspor82-80
13/12/23AOldenburg88-97
09/12/23HGalatasaray98-76
01/12/23ABahcesehir Kol.93-85
28/11/23HStrasbourg87-72
25/11/23HBesiktas94-85
20/11/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor90-82
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AGran Canaria60-86
23/12/23HObradoiro CAB88-90
20/12/23HBonn97-92 OT
17/12/23HMurcia74-83
09/12/23ABilbao76-68
06/12/23ABursaspor65-77
03/12/23AReal Madrid58-91
26/11/23HBasket Zaragoza82-77
22/11/23HHapoel Holon82-72
18/11/23ABasquet Girona83-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karsiyaka
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.588.776.3
Allowed / game81.277.385.0
Point differential+1.3+11.3-8.7
Avg total163.7166.0161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.082.371.7
Allowed / game76.570.782.3
Point differential+0.5+11.7-10.7
Avg total153.5153.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia65183%86.271.2+15.0
2 Dijon65183%87.773.5+14.2
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%85.573.3+12.2
4 AEK Athens65183%88.076.8+11.2
5 Tortona65183%83.380.7+2.7
6 Strasbourg97278%81.277.4+3.8
7 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
8 Rytas64267%84.875.8+9.0
9 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
10 Tenerife64267%81.773.8+7.8
11 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
12 Cholet96367%81.980.4+1.4
13 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
14 Ludwigsburg74357%80.379.0+1.3
15 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
16 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
17 Promitheas63350%86.079.2+6.8
18 Bonn63350%82.878.8+4.0
19 Galatasaray63350%85.582.0+3.5
20 Le Mans63350%79.577.2+2.3
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Karsiyaka63350%82.581.2+1.3
23 Hapoel Holon63350%77.276.0+1.2
24 Breogan63350%77.076.5+0.5
25 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
26 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
27 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
28 Peristeri63350%77.282.2-5.0
29 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
30 Oostende63350%77.083.2-6.2
31 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
32 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
33 Tofas73443%89.687.7+1.9
34 Darussafaka73443%78.783.1-4.4
35 PAOK73443%74.081.9-7.9
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
38 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
39 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
40 Sassari62433%84.890.5-5.7
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karsiyaka2428211689
Breogan2019232385
← all games of the day
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