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Keravnos vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 80-95
15-23 16-28 25-15 24-29
Position#38
Record1-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Varese 🏆
Position#7
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Costas Papaellinas Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keravnos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeravnosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
Apollon
#4
W
96-71
96
71
+25
no box
H23/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H07/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
55-85
55
85
-30
no box
A10/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
96-87
96
87
+9
no box
H14/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A17/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H22/05
Division A
Feniks 2010
#52
W
107-60
107
60
+47
114avg 92
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
74-93
74
93
-19
63avg 92
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
106-69
106
69
+37
116avg 92
H10/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 92
A14/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
28-18
20-17
25-20
21-21
23-19
28-24
11-20
11-19
15-14
11-27
18-25
20-20
26-26
24-18
26-23
26-12
7-20
17-11
19-21
15-14
16-20
17-21
22-17
19-13
29-21
40-17
19-9
15-22
19-26
24-17
16-28
27-15
35-21
30-13
14-20
17-18
25-19
26-11
12-19
158.8Avg total
83.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.576.5167.0+14.050%
Season at home (1)107.060.0167.0+47.0100%
Season away (1)74.093.0167.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)83.675.2158.8+8.460%
Last 5 (5)87.472.2159.6+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)69.285.6154.8-16.420%
vs Similar (6)77.778.3156.0-0.750%
vs Weaker (19)92.068.8160.8+23.2100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
72avg 82
A16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 82
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A23/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
95-81
95
81
+14
98avg 82
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
69avg 82
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 82
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
88-96
88
96
-8
86avg 82
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 82
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
70avg 82
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 82
H15/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
21-19
23-22
22-15
20-27
25-24
30-12
18-23
18-23
18-19
17-21
28-29
32-16
14-21
23-20
26-24
24-23
15-20
22-27
21-28
23-21
12-18
14-21
24-11
22-25
22-24
34-23
10-24
27-24
17-26
18-23
21-9
22-33
17-25
28-23
17-34
23-24
17-17
18-20
20-19
172.1Avg total
84.0Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.088.1172.1-4.150%
Last 5 (5)81.288.8170.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.0100.8185.8-15.80%
vs Similar (14)86.388.4174.7-2.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)98.992.3191.2+6.689%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
KeravnosVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#4
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H23/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H07/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A10/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H14/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A17/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/05
Division A
Feniks 2010
#52
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H10/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/10
Division A
79.1Avg total
41.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.080.6+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.236.683.8+10.681%-
Last 30 away (14)39.537.677.1+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)41.737.479.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.881.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.042.877.8-7.820%-
vs Similar (6)39.037.576.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (19)47.335.482.7+11.995%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A23/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
Lega A
85.9Avg total
40.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.647.792.2-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.745.391.0+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)43.649.893.3-6.212%-
Last 10 (10)40.645.385.9-4.710%-
Last 5 (5)40.447.487.8-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.451.892.2-11.40%-
vs Similar (14)44.445.690.0-1.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)49.250.099.2-0.844%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.8
34.5%
33.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws12.89.7
75.8%
73.0%9.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.716.0
52.1%
52.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.013.2
37.7%
33.8%39.6
🏀 Free throws14.110.9
77.3%
73.0%10.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keravnos
WWLWLWWLLW
Varese
LLWLWLWLWW
#38
League position
#7
-6.0
Net rating
-5.5
102.6
Offensive rating
105.7
108.6
Defensive rating
111.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.5%
3-point %
37.7%
66.5%
Assist %
65.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 105.7Defence108.6 · 111.2Shooting53.5% · 54.5%3-point %34.5% · 37.7%Ball care19.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds23.5% · 19.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Keravnos   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keravnos wins
0
Varese wins
No previous meetings.
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23APAEEK80-67
10/10/23HApollon106-69
05/10/23ARostock74-93
03/10/23HFeniks 2010107-60
22/05/23HAEK Larnaca70-72
17/05/23AAEK Larnaca69-64
14/05/23HAEK Larnaca96-87
10/05/23AAEK Larnaca55-85
07/05/23HAEK Larnaca83-84
23/04/23HApollon96-71
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HTortona78-80
08/10/23AVirtus Bologna84-115
04/10/23HPistoia83-82
29/09/23ACholet88-96
27/09/23AFMP Beograd73-71
07/05/23AVirtus Bologna82-98
30/04/23HScafati95-81
23/04/23AVenezia81-92
19/04/23HBrindisi93-86
16/04/23ATrieste83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keravnos
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game90.5107.074.0
Allowed / game76.560.093.0
Point differential+14.0+47.0-19.0
Avg total167.0167.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Jonava110100%104.088.0+16.0
3 Caledonia Gladiators110100%80.068.0+12.0
4 Basket Zaragoza220100%87.576.5+11.0
5 Manisa220100%89.079.0+10.0
6 Trepca220100%77.068.0+9.0
7 Sabah Baku330100%82.774.7+8.0
8 AEK Larnaca110100%78.076.0+2.0
9 Levice110100%93.091.0+2.0
10 Nymburk110100%89.088.0+1.0
11 Rostock32167%90.074.7+15.3
12 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
13 FC Porto32167%83.078.3+4.7
14 Keravnos21150%90.576.5+14.0
15 Kataja21150%83.581.5+2.0
16 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
17 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
18 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
19 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
20 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
21 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
22 Bahcesehir Kol.1010%88.089.0-1.0
23 CSM Oradea1010%91.093.0-2.0
24 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
25 Norrkoping1010%71.079.0-8.0
26 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
27 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
28 CSU Sibiu1010%68.080.0-12.0
29 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
30 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
31 Karhu Basket1010%88.0104.0-16.0
32 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keravnos1516252480
Varese2328152995
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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