PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kretinga vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-91
21-19 21-31 17-27 17-14
Position#15
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#5
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaNKLRound 1· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kretinga v Neptunas 2
01 Oct 2026
KRET76
NEPT91
31 Jan 2026
KRET77
NEPT88
01 Mar 2025
KRET79
NEPT90
19 Oct 2024
KRET76
NEPT78
08 Feb 2024
KRET84
NEPT79
18 Nov 2023
KRET90
NEPT68
02 Feb 2023
KRET85
NEPT77
13 Oct 2022
KRET92
NEPT59
10 Feb 2022
KRET75
NEPT78
04 Nov 2021
KRET71
NEPT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
101-97
101
97
+4
99avg 77
H07/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
69avg 77
H12/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
99avg 77
A14/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
87avg 77
A19/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
94avg 77
H22/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
87avg 77
A27/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
78-96
78
96
-18
64avg 77
H31/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
96avg 77
A04/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 77
H08/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
67avg 77
A10/04
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
28-24
18-27
23-22
15-25
18-22
25-19
19-22
17-19
28-21
21-21
24-29
27-25
13-27
22-16
31-19
21-11
26-20
27-27
20-22
22-25
25-25
23-22
25-19
17-19
22-20
15-23
24-34
19-28
17-19
25-18
30-26
16-21
20-12
20-21
13-21
23-24
19-19
24-22
19-25
181.6Avg total
90.6Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.691.0181.6-0.460%
Last 5 (5)86.891.0177.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.792.4172.1-12.720%
vs Similar (16)83.482.8166.1+0.662%
vs Weaker (4)102.090.5192.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
69avg 71
A03/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
89-71
89
71
+18
85avg 71
H07/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
80-71
80
71
+9
71avg 71
A12/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
89-83
89
83
+6
80avg 71
H15/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
78avg 71
A18/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
69avg 71
A24/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
69-75
69
75
-6
63avg 71
H30/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
65-67
65
67
-2
44avg 71
A02/05
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
79-71
79
71
+8
73avg 71
H07/05
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 71
A09/05
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
21-17
21-18
17-23
22-21
20-17
18-19
29-14
23-18
21-24
27-8
9-21
25-23
31-18
26-20
7-22
25-18
14-16
23-21
22-28
20-20
19-16
16-17
18-15
13-21
13-17
23-24
20-13
15-16
20-18
12-15
18-18
25-23
12-17
21-14
21-17
18-14
19-18
14-24
17-20
151.5Avg total
77.5Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.574.0151.5+3.570%
Last 5 (5)70.871.4142.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.075.8144.8-6.833%
vs Similar (11)82.579.7162.2+2.773%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.870.9154.8+12.985%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
KretingaNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H07/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A14/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H22/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A27/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H31/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A04/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H08/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/04
NKL
85.5Avg total
42.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.382.7-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.340.983.1+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)38.843.582.2-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.085.5-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.482.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.144.580.6-8.420%-
vs Similar (16)40.241.281.4-0.944%-
vs Weaker (4)51.841.092.8+10.8100%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A03/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H15/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A18/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A24/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H30/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/05
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H07/05
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/05
NKL
76.5Avg total
39.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.679.1+1.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.739.982.6+2.864%-
Last 30 away (16)38.437.575.9+0.981%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.976.5+2.780%-
Last 5 (5)34.836.070.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.539.272.7-5.750%-
vs Similar (11)42.740.683.4+2.173%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.736.778.4+5.085%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.4
53.7%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.9
33.8%
31.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws26.217.1
65.3%
67.1%17.1
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.3
52.2%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
31.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.4
72.0%
67.1%14.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLWLWWWWLW
Neptunas 2
LWLLWWWWWW
#15
League position
#5
-0.4
Net rating
+3.5
96.8
Offensive rating
92.1
97.2
Defensive rating
88.6
52.6%
Effective FG%
50.0%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.8%
3-point %
31.2%
57.9%
Assist %
52.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 92.1Defence97.2 · 88.6Shooting52.6% · 50.0%3-point %33.8% · 31.2%Ball care13.2% · 15.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Kretinga   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kretinga wins
7
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
26/02/26Neptunas 2 v Kretinga86-58
31/01/26Kretinga v Neptunas 277-88
04/10/25Neptunas 2 v Kretinga98-71
01/03/25Kretinga v Neptunas 279-90
14/12/24Neptunas 2 v Kretinga97-89
19/10/24Kretinga v Neptunas 276-78
10/02/24Neptunas 2 v Kretinga96-84
08/02/24Kretinga v Neptunas 284-79
18/11/23Kretinga v Neptunas 290-68
16/11/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga74-83
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/26AVytis VDU85-90
08/04/26HVytis VDU69-75
04/04/26AVytis VDU107-103 OT
31/03/26HVytis VDU78-96
27/03/26AVytis VDU95-91
22/03/26HRytas 294-80
19/03/26ARytas 293-87
14/03/26AUkmerges Stekas107-103 OT
12/03/26HJurbarkas77-88
07/03/26HAlytaus Alytus101-97
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26ASuduva-Mantinga68-76
07/05/26HSuduva-Mantinga79-71
02/05/26ASuduva-Mantinga65-67
30/04/26HSuduva-Mantinga69-75
24/04/26ASuduva-Mantinga73-68
18/04/26AVytis VDU84-83
15/04/26HVytis VDU89-83
12/04/26AVytis VDU80-71
07/04/26HZalgiris Kaunas 289-71
03/04/26AZalgiris Kaunas 279-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Neptunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Omega-Tauras110100%127.089.0+38.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas 2220100%107.593.5+14.0
3 Vilkaviskis1010%104.0107.0-3.0
4 Alytaus Patriotai1010%83.0108.0-25.0
5 Kedainiai BC1010%89.0127.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga2121171776
Neptunas 21931271491
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.