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Gargzdai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:10
Final 81-70
22-18 11-22 24-21 24-9
Position#5
Record8-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#3
Record12-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game91.1
LithuaniaLKL· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Neptunas
06 Feb 2027
GAR v NEP
upcoming
26 Sep 2026
GAR87
NEP78
23 May 2026
GAR74
NEP84
14 Mar 2026
GAR81
NEP70
13 Dec 2025
GAR87
NEP104
06 Nov 2023
GAR73
NEP92
25 Oct 2023
GAR87
NEP97
13 Mar 2023
GAR54
NEP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 75
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
84avg 75
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
78-104
78
104
-26
71avg 75
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
79avg 75
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
68avg 75
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 75
A01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
63avg 75
A08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-69
63
69
-6
50avg 75
H15/02
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
87avg 75
A17/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 75
H07/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
20-11
30-20
14-20
24-24
18-26
19-37
26-17
19-27
23-32
14-20
22-25
17-19
24-18
22-20
19-18
15-16
21-15
23-25
23-22
20-18
16-12
24-16
19-24
14-23
6-23
28-21
25-16
12-14
14-19
19-18
18-18
20-21
22-27
25-22
23-25
23-30
19-17
22-23
24-11
164.5Avg total
81.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.087.1169.1-5.140%
Season at home (10)83.882.9166.7+0.950%
Season away (10)80.191.3171.4-11.230%
Last 10 (10)81.283.3164.5-2.150%
Last 5 (5)78.679.6158.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.891.0167.8-14.218%
vs Similar (11)84.684.1168.7+0.545%
vs Weaker (8)87.885.2173.0+2.550%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 83
H24/01
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
98-92
98
92
+6
96avg 83
H28/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 83
H31/01
LKL
Aris
#13
L
64-83
64
83
-19
55avg 83
A04/02
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
67avg 83
A08/02
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
74avg 83
H11/02
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
95-100
95
100
-5
85avg 83
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
81-119
81
119
-38
70avg 83
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-94
73
94
-21
38avg 83
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
77avg 83
A08/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
17-21
24-19
27-24
33-25
21-30
23-17
21-20
30-19
22-26
23-22
20-20
21-21
13-19
8-25
22-18
27-19
10-32
18-20
21-16
21-30
24-20
22-20
19-21
23-31
22-25
24-21
26-23
22-31
22-25
20-35
17-28
24-16
12-31
21-24
16-23
21-14
35-22
16-22
18-23
177.6Avg total
85.5Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)95.391.1186.4+4.263%
Season at home (8)97.687.8185.4+9.975%
Season away (11)93.593.5187.1+0.055%
Last 10 (10)85.592.1177.6-6.640%
Last 5 (5)85.097.0182.0-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)88.1102.7190.8-14.618%
vs Similar (9)89.886.3176.1+3.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)100.090.2190.2+9.880%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
GargzdaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H15/02
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A17/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H07/03
LKL
78.8Avg total
37.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.383.9-2.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.281.1+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.247.486.6-8.233%-
Last 10 (10)37.341.578.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.874.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.944.181.0-7.227%-
vs Similar (11)42.143.285.3-1.164%-
vs Weaker (8)43.542.485.9+1.150%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H24/01
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H28/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H31/01
LKL
Aris
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/02
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/02
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H11/02
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A08/03
LKL
92.9Avg total
44.9Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.347.894.1-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.447.694.0-1.336%-
Last 30 away (16)46.247.994.1-1.656%-
Last 10 (10)44.948.092.9-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.249.094.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)44.753.297.9-8.518%-
vs Similar (9)45.945.090.9+0.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.444.392.7+4.170%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.7
52.8%
55.4%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.8
28.0%
35.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws22.216.0
72.1%
74.3%16.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.2
54.3%
55.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.6
33.6%
35.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.019.2
76.8%
74.3%19.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
WLLLWWWLLW
Neptunas
WLLLLLLWWW
#5
League position
#3
-2.7
Net rating
-6.3
97.9
Offensive rating
101.0
100.5
Defensive rating
107.2
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
61.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.41
28.0%
3-point %
33.6%
64.4%
Assist %
66.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 101.0Defence100.5 · 107.2Shooting49.4% · 52.4%3-point %28.0% · 33.6%Ball care13.8% · 14.3%Off. rebounds30.2% · -Free throws0.34 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
9
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Gargzdai v Neptunas87-104
11/10/25Neptunas v Gargzdai102-74
14/01/24Neptunas v Gargzdai100-81
16/11/23Neptunas v Gargzdai84-78
06/11/23Gargzdai v Neptunas73-92
25/10/23Gargzdai v Neptunas87-97
29/04/23Neptunas v Gargzdai91-86
13/03/23Gargzdai v Neptunas54-73
24/10/22Neptunas v Gargzdai94-69
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HNevezis88-81
17/02/26AJonava90-95
15/02/26HZalgiris Kaunas63-69
08/02/26ASiauliai73-83
01/02/26ALietkabelis79-70
10/01/26HRytas82-78
03/01/26AJonava82-75
27/12/25AJuventus78-104
13/12/25HNeptunas87-104
10/12/25HNevezis90-74
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26ASiauliai90-81
22/02/26HLietkabelis73-94
21/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas81-119
14/02/26ARytas95-100
11/02/26HBahcesehir Kol.86-91
08/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas76-87
04/02/26AAris64-83
31/01/26HRytas95-87
28/01/26HHapoel Jerusalem98-92
24/01/26HLietkabelis97-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game82.083.880.1
Allowed / game87.182.991.3
Point differential-5.2+0.9-11.2
Avg total169.1166.7171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW63%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %63%75%55%
Points / game95.397.693.5
Allowed / game91.187.893.5
Point differential+4.2+9.9+0.0
Avg total186.4185.4187.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2019195%90.175.2+14.9
2 Rytas1912763%91.883.7+8.1
3 Neptunas1912763%95.391.1+4.2
4 Siauliai2011955%87.288.7-1.4
5 Lietkabelis1991047%83.882.3+1.6
6 Juventus2081240%86.888.5-1.7
7 Gargzdai2081240%82.087.1-5.2
8 Nevezis2171433%81.889.4-7.6
9 Jonava2031715%85.497.2-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2211242481
Neptunas182221970
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