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Lietkabelis vs Gargzdai Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:10
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game87.3
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Gargzdai
13 Feb 2027
LIE v GAR
upcoming
17 Jan 2027
LIE v GAR
upcoming
06 May 2026
LIE69
GAR78
01 Feb 2026
LIE70
GAR79
07 Oct 2023
LIE84
GAR66
04 Mar 2023
LIE82
GAR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
PAOK
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 71
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 71
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 71
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 71
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#15
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 71
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
W
99-79
99
79
+20
91avg 71
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
61-99
61
99
-38
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
19-33
29-20
25-11
26-15
14-24
14-21
17-22
21-13
20-21
22-25
23-14
20-21
19-22
16-25
9-32
17-20
22-21
23-21
19-15
17-16
156.8Avg total
77.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.780.3160.0-0.660%
Season at home (5)83.678.4162.0+5.280%
Season away (5)75.882.2158.0-6.440%
Last 10 (10)77.279.6156.8-2.460%
Last 5 (5)78.482.4160.8-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.087.2165.2-9.231%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.079.0159.0+1.045%
vs Weaker (6)72.871.7144.5+1.267%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 80
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 80
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 80
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 80
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 80
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 80
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 80
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
82-97
82
97
-15
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
25-28
16-19
22-24
19-26
174.7Avg total
89.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.387.3175.6+1.060%
Season at home (4)84.283.8168.0+0.575%
Season away (6)91.089.7180.7+1.350%
Last 10 (10)89.085.7174.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)82.682.4165.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.887.8168.5-7.042%
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.286.8176.0+2.467%
vs Weaker (9)89.084.7173.7+4.367%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
LietkabelisGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#15
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/11
LKL
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.080.3-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.142.280.3-4.120%-
Last 30 away (15)38.641.780.3-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.686.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.844.283.9-4.415%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.844.081.8-6.218%-
vs Weaker (6)36.233.569.7+2.767%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
LKL
88.5Avg total
44.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.885.7-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.643.781.3-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)44.145.990.0-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.344.288.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.144.985.0-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.245.185.3-4.922%-
vs Weaker (9)42.644.386.9-1.844%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.8
35.0%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
70.8%14.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLWLWLLWWW
Gargzdai
LWLWWLWWWW
#4
League position
#3
-2.7
Net rating
+3.6
95.5
Offensive rating
99.4
98.3
Defensive rating
95.8
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.3%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.0%
3-point %
34.6%
56.1%
Assist %
60.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 99.4Defence98.3 · 95.8Shooting51.9% · 54.5%3-point %35.0% · 34.6%Ball care15.3% · 13.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lietkabelis wins
3
Gargzdai wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATaurage81-73
11/11/26ABahcesehir Kol.61-99
07/11/26HRytas85-81
04/11/26HManresa66-80
31/10/26HNeptunas99-79
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASiauliai82-97
08/11/26AJonava91-70
02/11/26ANevezis76-87
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game79.783.675.8
Allowed / game80.378.482.2
Point differential-0.6+5.2-6.4
Avg total160.0162.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game88.384.291.0
Allowed / game87.383.889.7
Point differential+1.0+0.5+1.3
Avg total175.6168.0180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas10100100%92.676.7+15.9
2 Rytas96367%90.384.7+5.7
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas105550%84.984.9+0.0
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
8 Jonava103730%78.583.4-4.9
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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