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Gargzdai vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 64-89
18-21 11-22 20-29 15-17
Position#5
Record10-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#6
Record10-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game83.9
LithuaniaLKL· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Lietkabelis
25 Apr 2027
GAR v LIE
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
GAR83
LIE80
12 Apr 2026
GAR64
LIE89
08 Nov 2025
GAR80
LIE89
02 May 2023
GAR65
LIE86
02 Oct 2022
GAR71
LIE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
79avg 76
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
68avg 76
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 76
A01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
63avg 76
A08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-69
63
69
-6
50avg 76
H15/02
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
87avg 76
A17/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 76
H07/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
77avg 76
H14/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
93avg 76
H21/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
63avg 76
A29/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
24-18
22-20
19-18
15-16
21-15
23-25
23-22
20-18
16-12
24-16
19-24
14-23
6-23
28-21
25-16
12-14
14-19
19-18
18-18
20-21
22-27
25-22
23-25
23-30
19-17
22-23
24-11
22-18
11-22
24-21
24-9
21-24
21-25
24-16
23-17
29-20
12-25
22-24
14-29
160.5Avg total
80.4Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.086.6168.6-4.643%
Season at home (12)84.081.8165.8+2.258%
Season away (11)79.891.9171.7-12.127%
Last 10 (10)80.480.1160.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)85.085.2170.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.488.7165.1-12.427%
vs Similar (11)85.083.1168.1+1.955%
vs Weaker (8)87.885.2173.0+2.550%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
80-81
80
81
-1
72avg 76
A07/02
LKL
London Lions
#17
W
66-58
66
58
+8
65avg 76
A11/02
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 76
H18/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
89-106
89
106
-17
82avg 76
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
94-73
94
73
+21
52avg 76
A22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
82avg 76
A07/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 76
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
68avg 76
A22/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
78avg 76
A28/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-94
82
94
-12
70avg 76
H04/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
28-22
18-21
17-20
12-14
23-11
12-20
19-13
17-17
22-24
24-19
12-17
20-29
17-27
22-26
30-24
16-24
31-12
24-21
23-16
13-28
28-12
19-21
23-19
21-26
27-23
23-12
20-19
28-23
12-22
23-22
18-29
18-30
20-19
24-22
23-14
18-24
22-24
29-27
13-19
166.9Avg total
82.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.183.9168.0+0.243%
Season at home (11)85.382.7168.0+2.545%
Season away (12)83.084.9167.9-1.942%
Last 10 (10)82.884.1166.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)84.889.2174.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.088.3169.3-7.310%
vs Similar (10)78.881.7160.5-2.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.077.2161.2+6.870%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
GargzdaiLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H15/02
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A17/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H07/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H14/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H21/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A29/03
LKL
76.5Avg total
35.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.383.7-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.480.9+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.347.386.5-8.033%-
Last 10 (10)35.940.676.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.885.8-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.543.579.9-7.027%-
vs Similar (11)42.043.985.9-1.955%-
vs Weaker (8)43.542.485.9+1.150%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A07/02
LKL
London Lions
#17
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A11/02
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H18/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A07/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A28/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H04/04
LKL
83.9Avg total
41.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.280.4-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.340.578.8-2.231%-
Last 30 away (17)39.941.781.6-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.983.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.446.287.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.843.883.6-4.030%-
vs Similar (10)36.741.478.1-4.730%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.138.379.4+2.860%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.5
50.3%
55.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.5
30.5%
35.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.115.7
74.4%
74.3%15.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.3
54.7%
55.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.8
37.8%
35.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.910.6
66.7%
74.3%10.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWWWLLLWWW
Lietkabelis
LLLWWWLLWL
#5
League position
#6
+0.3
Net rating
-4.1
93.0
Offensive rating
97.5
92.7
Defensive rating
101.7
48.9%
Effective FG%
55.5%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.5%
3-point %
37.8%
58.6%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 97.5Defence92.7 · 101.7Shooting48.9% · 55.5%3-point %30.5% · 37.8%Ball care13.9% · 16.1%Off. rebounds24.2% · -Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gargzdai wins
5
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26Lietkabelis v Gargzdai70-79
08/11/25Gargzdai v Lietkabelis80-89
07/10/23Lietkabelis v Gargzdai84-66
02/05/23Gargzdai v Lietkabelis65-86
04/03/23Lietkabelis v Gargzdai82-73
02/10/22Gargzdai v Lietkabelis71-91
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ARytas77-98
21/03/26HJuventus89-82
14/03/26HNeptunas81-70
07/03/26HNevezis88-81
17/02/26AJonava90-95
15/02/26HZalgiris Kaunas63-69
08/02/26ASiauliai73-83
01/02/26ALietkabelis79-70
10/01/26HRytas82-78
03/01/26AJonava82-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HZalgiris Kaunas82-94
28/03/26ANeptunas87-96 OT
22/03/26ARytas81-96
15/03/26HJonava91-80
07/03/26AJuventus83-80
22/02/26ANeptunas94-73
21/02/26ARytas89-106
18/02/26HSiauliai75-77
11/02/26ALondon Lions66-58
07/02/26ANevezis80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeWLWWW58%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%58%27%
Points / game82.084.079.8
Allowed / game86.681.891.9
Point differential-4.6+2.2-12.1
Avg total168.6165.8171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWLLWL45%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%45%42%
Points / game84.185.383.0
Allowed / game83.982.784.9
Point differential+0.2+2.5-1.9
Avg total168.0168.0167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2423196%90.975.6+15.3
2 Rytas2415962%92.285.2+7.1
3 Neptunas24141058%92.690.1+2.5
4 Siauliai24141058%87.588.4-0.8
5 Lietkabelis23101343%84.183.9+0.2
6 Gargzdai23101343%82.086.6-4.6
7 Juventus2481633%86.588.9-2.5
8 Nevezis2481633%82.889.9-7.1
9 Jonava2451921%84.795.0-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai1811201564
Lietkabelis2122291789
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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