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Rytas vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 98-77
20-29 25-12 24-22 29-14
Position#2
Record13-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game84.2
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#5
Record10-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game86.1
LithuaniaLKL· Active Vilnius Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Rytas v Gargzdai
28 Apr 2027
RYT v GAR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
RYT102
GAR105
29 Mar 2026
RYT98
GAR77
24 Sep 2025
RYT99
GAR73
16 Dec 2023
RYT110
GAR79
06 May 2023
RYT91
GAR65
11 Feb 2023
RYT102
GAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 89
A07/02
LKL
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
106-98
106
98
+8
95avg 89
A10/02
Champions League
Neptunas
#3
W
100-95
100
95
+5
100avg 89
H14/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 89
A17/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
106-89
106
89
+17
105avg 89
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-101
85
101
-16
65avg 89
A22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Le Mans
#14
W
101-81
101
81
+20
99avg 89
H11/03
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
75avg 89
A15/03
LKL
Galatasaray
#8
W
90-81
90
81
+9
91avg 89
A18/03
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#6
W
96-81
96
81
+15
90avg 89
H22/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
30-23
25-23
26-13
26-25
28-26
28-22
24-25
31-23
25-22
21-24
23-26
21-26
22-19
22-12
22-25
29-20
27-17
26-22
24-30
21-25
16-37
27-22
21-17
28-25
17-16
24-20
32-20
9-35
24-23
24-25
24-15
23-22
25-19
16-21
26-19
23-28
22-12
22-23
29-18
184.3Avg total
95.3Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)91.584.2175.7+7.262%
Season at home (10)94.484.0178.4+10.470%
Season away (11)88.884.5173.3+4.455%
Last 10 (10)95.389.0184.3+6.380%
Last 5 (5)90.688.4179.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.592.0172.5-11.50%
vs Similar (5)93.287.6180.8+5.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)95.985.2181.1+10.776%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
78-104
78
104
-26
71avg 76
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
79avg 76
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
68avg 76
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 76
A01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
63avg 76
A08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-69
63
69
-6
50avg 76
H15/02
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
87avg 76
A17/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 76
H07/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
77avg 76
H14/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
93avg 76
H21/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
23-32
14-20
22-25
17-19
24-18
22-20
19-18
15-16
21-15
23-25
23-22
20-18
16-12
24-16
19-24
14-23
6-23
28-21
25-16
12-14
14-19
19-18
18-18
20-21
22-27
25-22
23-25
23-30
19-17
22-23
24-11
22-18
11-22
24-21
24-9
21-24
21-25
24-16
23-17
161.2Avg total
80.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.286.1168.3-3.945%
Season at home (12)84.081.8165.8+2.258%
Season away (10)80.191.3171.4-11.230%
Last 10 (10)80.580.7161.2-0.260%
Last 5 (5)82.279.4161.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.387.8164.1-11.530%
vs Similar (12)85.083.9168.9+1.150%
vs Weaker (8)87.885.2173.0+2.550%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
RytasGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A07/02
LKL
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A10/02
Champions League
Neptunas
#3
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H14/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A17/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Le Mans
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/03
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A15/03
LKL
Galatasaray
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A18/03
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H22/03
LKL
93.5Avg total
46.7Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.843.890.6+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.342.490.7+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)45.245.290.4+0.053%-
Last 10 (10)46.746.893.5-0.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.648.490.0-6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.553.089.5-16.50%-
vs Similar (5)49.041.490.4+7.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)48.242.690.8+5.671%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H15/02
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A17/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H07/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H14/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H21/03
LKL
78.0Avg total
36.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.283.6-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.581.1+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)39.147.486.6-8.336%-
Last 10 (10)36.042.078.0-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.480.4-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.043.379.3-7.330%-
vs Similar (12)42.143.785.8-1.658%-
vs Weaker (8)43.542.485.9+1.150%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.4
53.3%
55.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.712.8
43.1%
35.5%38.4
🏀 Free throws25.120.1
80.1%
74.3%20.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.423.0
51.8%
55.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.2
30.0%
35.5%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.915.5
74.2%
74.3%15.5
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WWLWLWWWWW
Gargzdai
WWWLLLWWWL
#2
League position
#5
+7.3
Net rating
-0.5
110.4
Offensive rating
95.3
103.1
Defensive rating
95.8
58.6%
Effective FG%
49.6%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
12.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
43.1%
3-point %
30.0%
64.4%
Assist %
61.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 95.3Defence103.1 · 95.8Shooting58.6% · 49.6%3-point %43.1% · 30.0%Ball care12.7% · 13.9%Off. rebounds- · 28.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Rytas   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rytas wins
1
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Gargzdai v Rytas82-78
24/09/25Rytas v Gargzdai99-73
16/12/23Rytas v Gargzdai110-79
01/10/23Gargzdai v Rytas82-98
06/05/23Rytas v Gargzdai91-65
11/02/23Rytas v Gargzdai102-72
19/11/22Gargzdai v Rytas81-99
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HLietkabelis96-81
18/03/26AGalatasaray90-81
15/03/26AZalgiris Kaunas81-98
11/03/26HLe Mans101-81
22/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas85-101
21/02/26HLietkabelis106-89
17/02/26AJuventus87-82
14/02/26HNeptunas100-95
10/02/26AHapoel Holon106-98
07/02/26AJonava101-84
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HJuventus89-82
14/03/26HNeptunas81-70
07/03/26HNevezis88-81
17/02/26AJonava90-95
15/02/26HZalgiris Kaunas63-69
08/02/26ASiauliai73-83
01/02/26ALietkabelis79-70
10/01/26HRytas82-78
03/01/26AJonava82-75
27/12/25AJuventus78-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLLLWW70%
AwayLLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%70%55%
Points / game91.594.488.8
Allowed / game84.284.084.5
Point differential+7.2+10.4+4.4
Avg total175.7178.4173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW45%
HomeWLWWW58%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %45%58%30%
Points / game82.284.080.1
Allowed / game86.181.891.3
Point differential-3.9+2.2-11.2
Avg total168.3165.8171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2221195%90.675.0+15.6
2 Rytas2113862%91.584.2+7.2
3 Neptunas2213959%92.790.0+2.7
4 Siauliai22121055%86.388.8-2.5
5 Lietkabelis22101245%84.283.4+0.8
6 Gargzdai22101245%82.286.1-3.9
7 Juventus2181338%86.688.5-2.0
8 Nevezis2271532%82.089.3-7.3
9 Jonava2241818%85.095.4-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas2025242998
Gargzdai2912221477
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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